Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1033.5 ETHFI at 0.762$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7775 (2.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7543 (1.01 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1033.5 ETHFI at 0.762$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7775 (2.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7543 (1.01 %)
Position
Entry 0.762$
Qty 1033.4996 ETHFI
Size 787.5577$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7775 (+2.03%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.7543 (-1.01%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7583
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.518315 15m : 0.505724 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 23.3% |
| 24h | 48.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 91.7% | +0.33% |
| 4h | 35.0% | -0.79% |
| 24h | 43.3% | -0.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9190 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.09% · r3d: 6.04% · ema21_slope: 0.9260% · dist_ema21: 13.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8699 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.89% · rs_3d: 6.98% · beta_24h: 1.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4228 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.688 · trend: -0.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6666 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5963 | r1h: -1.755% · r4h: 1.334% · r1d: 0.64% · r3d: 9.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1038% · dist_ema21: 1.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5466 | rs_1h: -1.653% · rs_4h: 1.170% · rs_1d: 0.27% · rs_3d: 10.52% · beta_24h: 1.132 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3986 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.091 · trend: 44.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6738 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.151% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7526 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.289% · r1d: -1.06% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.3982% · dist_ema21: 4.770% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7083 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: -2.36% · rs_3d: 11.03% · beta_24h: 2.262 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5727 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.080 · trend: 26.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7007 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6763 | ATR%: 3.971% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.777% | 0.8R | -1.148% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.8R | -1.148% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.029% | 3.0R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.308% | 3.3R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.308% | 3.3R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.92 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +2.22% | +0.36 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.48 | range_medium | +0.17% | -0.03 | 30/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.07 | 30/09 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177580 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 13b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.679 |
— near -0.3ATR |
1.19 | above_value | +2.84 ATR | — | #97269 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
4h
184233 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
early 6b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.630 |
— — |
1.75 | above_value | +3.63 ATR | — | #100205 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:15
|
|
1h
anchor
185420 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 1b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.723 |
near 0.4ATR — |
1.00 | above_value | +3.68 ATR | — | #100743 |
30/09 14:00
upd 30/09 15:10
|
|
15m
185658 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
39%
|
mid 8b -1.1ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.690 |
near 0.3ATR — |
1.14 | above_value | +3.68 ATR | — | #100743 |
30/09 15:30
upd 30/09 15:47
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.842×ATR | p0 | +1.289×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.496×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.17×ATR | p37 | +0.539×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.053×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84027.5
-0.00590931
83531
0.518315
83779.7
-0.00110714
83687
0.505724
83786
0.000775442
83851
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0.3835
0.4927
0.6143
0.7338
-2.5151
6.932
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:54 | 0.76203000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 16:07 | 0.76150000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.79361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 0.76765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 0.78442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 0.76686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:30:00 | 0.77828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:20:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:30:00 | 0.78363 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 18:05:00 | 0.78147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 19:50:00 | 0.7596 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.76605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:00:00 | 0.79009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:30:00 | 0.77504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:30:00 | 0.77187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 0.75814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.79361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:15:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:45:00 | 0.76369 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 0.71779 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.75548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.69672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.73021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.66289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.72056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.67069 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 0.822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.762 | 0.7543 | 0.7775 | 2.01 | 0.6804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7543 - 0.762 = -0.0077
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.762 - 0.7775 = -0.0155
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0155 / -0.0077 = 2.013
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 787.5577 | 100 | 1033.4996 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0077 = -1038.96
Taille de position USD = -1038.96 x 0.762 = -791.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -1038.96 avec un stoploss a 0.7543
Avec un position size USD de -791.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0077 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0155 = 16.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.1$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.03 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.01 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -1.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1483 % | 113.64 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.762 | 0.7543 | 0.7775 | 2.01 | 0.6804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7543 - 0.762 = -0.0077
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.762 - 0.7775 = -0.0155
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0155 / -0.0077 = 2.013
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[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 22:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.777% | 0.8R | -1.148% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.8R | -1.148% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.029% | 3.0R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 1.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.308% | 3.3R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.308% | 3.3R | -1.646% | 1.6R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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