Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2494.53 2Z at 0.0595$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05801 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06271 (5.39 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 16:15:09
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 16:15
→ 22:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0595$
Qty 2494.5276 2Z
Size 148.4244$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.05801 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.72$
SL 0.06271 (-5.39%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.46
Status
win
PnL
+1.43%
/ +2.12$
MAE -0.86%
MFE +4.70%
0.9R
expires
30 Sep 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 168038)
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 16:00
score du 30/09/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2197
Quality Score
0.369
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 16:02
30/09 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#76 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.94×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4489
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
30.0%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 45.0% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 23.3% |
| 24h | 48.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.3% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 35.0% | -0.79% |
| 24h | 43.3% | -0.00% |
Dispersion :
0.165
Universe :
60
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 16:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.7061
Rank
#39
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5366
Rank Norm SMA
0.6931
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6868 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5774 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6656 | rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7531 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3687
Score SMA
0.5750
Rank
#76
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2197
Rank Norm SMA
0.5813
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1490 | r1h: -1.944% · r4h: -5.638% · r1d: -8.60% · r3d: -11.71% · ema21_slope: -0.2323% · dist_ema21: -5.389% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1372 | rs_1h: -1.540% · rs_4h: -5.004% · rs_1d: -8.62% · rs_3d: -10.39% · beta_24h: 0.980 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7763 | rvol_20: 2.30× · zscore_50: 1.584 · trend: 86.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6740 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 42.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4323
Score SMA
0.6540
Rank
#53
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3245
Rank Norm SMA
0.7220
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4122 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.638% · r1d: -8.60% · r3d: -11.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0378% · dist_ema21: -6.769% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3233 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.004% · rs_1d: -8.62% · rs_3d: -10.39% · beta_24h: 2.773 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5203 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.920 · trend: 7.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5716 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3547 | ATR%: 4.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.395%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.561% | 0.3R | -0.395% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.294% | 0.4R | -0.395% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.294% | 0.4R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.98 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.33 | bull_high | +2.22% | -0.61 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.30 | range_medium | +0.17% | -0.56 | 30/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.24% | -0.42 | 30/09 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177664 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
mid 3b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.678 |
— near 0.2ATR |
1.73 | value | -2.13 ATR | — | #97299 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
184312 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
53%
|
early 8b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.449 |
near 0.3ATR — |
0.63 | value | -3.89 ATR | — | #100232 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor
185444 |
↔ neutral | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
late 16b -2.3ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.314 |
— — |
3.76 | below_value | -5.65 ATR | — | #100767 |
30/09 14:00
upd 30/09 15:11
|
|
15m
185759 |
↓ down | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
late 2b -2.1ATR | noisy_chop 51% | 0.301 |
— — |
1.53 | below_value | -5.65 ATR | — | #100767 |
30/09 15:45
upd 30/09 16:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.621×ATR | p4 | +1.443×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.143×ATR | p4 | -0.502×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.137×ATR | p82 | -2.321×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.642×ATR | p0 | -2.085×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.06270702
- tp_price: 0.0580125
- atr: 0.00128281
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T02:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 77
- total: 77
- score: 0.1381
- delta_2h: -0.1583
- extension_atr: -2.95
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1901
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0595 | 0.06271 | 0.05801 | 0.46 | 0.03085 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0595
- Stop Loss: 0.06271
- Take Profit: 0.05801
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06271 - 0.0595 = 0.00321
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0595 - 0.05801 = 0.00149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00149 / 0.00321 = 0.4642
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148.4244 | 100 | 2494.5276 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00321
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00321 = 2492.21
Taille de position USD = 2492.21 x 0.0595 = 148.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 2492.21 avec un stoploss a 0.06271
Avec un position size USD de 148.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2492.21 x 0.00321 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2492.21 x 0.00149 = 3.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2492.21
- Taille de position USD 148.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4642
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.39 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.12 $ | 1.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8571 % | 15.89 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0595 | 0.06271 | 0.05801 | 0.46 | 0.03085 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0595
- Stop Loss: 0.06271
- Take Profit: 0.05801
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06271 - 0.0595 = 0.00321
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0595 - 0.05801 = 0.00149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00149 / 0.00321 = 0.4642
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.395%
(0.0032)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.561% | 0.3R | -0.395% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.294% | 0.4R | -0.395% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.294% | 0.4R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.698% | 0.9R | -0.857% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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