Long Trade on RUNE (BosPullback)
With 335.98 RUNE at 0.803$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8626 (7.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7792 (2.98 %)
Long Trade on RUNE (BosPullback)
With 335.98 RUNE at 0.803$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8626 (7.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7792 (2.98 %)
Position
Entry 0.8031$
Qty 335.9824 RUNE
Size 269.814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8626 (+7.41%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.7792 (-2.98%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6093
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 85.0% |
| 4h | 11.7% |
| 24h | 46.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 30.0% | -1.62% |
| 24h | 45.0% | -0.36% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7729 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.06% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: 2.4733% · dist_ema21: 20.700% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6918 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -2.10% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6573 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.121 · trend: 196.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9189 | ADX: 50.3 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6624 | r1h: 0.454% · r4h: -0.708% · r1d: 4.67% · r3d: 5.76% · ema21_slope: 0.3208% · dist_ema21: 1.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6308 | rs_1h: 0.363% · rs_4h: 0.097% · rs_1d: 4.58% · rs_3d: 6.76% · beta_24h: 1.632 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2882 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.532 · trend: 42.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7820 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.191% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7648 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.202% · r1d: 4.31% · r3d: 5.28% · ema21_slope: 0.3552% · dist_ema21: 5.181% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7426 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.433% · rs_1d: 4.29% · rs_3d: 6.60% · beta_24h: 2.875 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7833 | rvol_20: 2.84× · zscore_50: 1.355 · trend: 39.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6957 | ADX: 36.4 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5720 | ATR%: 4.284% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.440% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.811% | 0.3R | -0.946% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.874% | 0.6R | -2.462% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.874% | 0.6R | -3.129% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.54% | +0.56 | 30/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.14% | +0.57 | 30/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.08 | 30/09 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177502 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 2b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.569 |
— near 0.5ATR |
1.64 | above_value | -2.07 ATR | — | #97250 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
4h
185821 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
early 14b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.743 |
— near 0.5ATR |
2.84 | above_value | +0.37 ATR | — | #100881 |
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor
186267 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
early 3b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.823 |
near -0.5ATR — |
0.23 | above_value | +0.59 ATR | — | #101115 |
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:09
|
|
15m
186191 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 7b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.553 |
— — |
0.01 | above_value | +0.37 ATR | — | #100881 |
30/09 16:45
upd 30/09 17:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.835×ATR | p0 | +2.226×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.658×ATR | p19 | +1.106×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.263×ATR | p35 | +0.744×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.13×ATR | p0 | -0.408×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.84011
145
0.7467
0.6978
0.3222
0.2566
0.3758
1
0.2959
0.5849
0.6921
0.844
0.7707
0.7804
0.1419
0.0863
1
0.8904
1.7076
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.4868
0.7244
3.6086
0.65
2.0947
3.9929
1.7076
0.1868
0.2869
0.74
0.786
0.5778
0.5537
0.9197
0.7804
-2.5468
9.0484
1
0
0
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[label] => HL
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0.78083
0.84011
0.84011
0.78083
0.80913
0.7794
0.794265
0.8319
0.84011
0.82938
0.834745
0.5856
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:13 | 0.80306000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 17:35 | 0.80467000 | +0.195% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8031 | 0.7792 | 0.8626 | 2.49 | 0.6442 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7792 - 0.8031 = -0.0239
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8031 - 0.8626 = -0.0595
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0595 / -0.0239 = 2.4895
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269.814 | 100 | 335.9824 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0239 = -334.73
Taille de position USD = -334.73 x 0.8031 = -268.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -334.73 avec un stoploss a 0.7792
Avec un position size USD de -268.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -334.73 x -0.0239 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -334.73 x -0.0595 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.41 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -2.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.1291 % | 105.14 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8031 | 0.7792 | 0.8626 | 2.49 | 0.6442 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7792 - 0.8031 = -0.0239
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8031 - 0.8626 = -0.0595
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0595 / -0.0239 = 2.4895
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.440% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.585% | 0.2R | -0.705% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.811% | 0.3R | -0.946% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.874% | 0.6R | -2.462% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.874% | 0.6R | -3.129% | 1.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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