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Short Trade on 2Z

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30 Sep 2026 at 17:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2128.1 2Z at 0.0587$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06246 (6.41 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 17:15 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.0587$

Qty 2128.101 2Z

Size 124.9195$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 124.92$

SL 0.06246 (-6.41%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.85% / -1.07$ MAE -2.23% MFE +0.96% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 20:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168192)
#76 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2150

Quality Score
0.327
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#76 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#76 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.41 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.15×ATR
4h clear 0.87×ATR
1d clear 2.94×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4493
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 85.0%
4h 11.7%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% +0.01%
4h 30.0% -1.62%
24h 45.0% -0.36%
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.7061
Rank
#39 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5366
Rank Norm SMA
0.6931
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6868 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644%
Force Relative 25% 0.5774 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086
Volume 20% 0.6656 rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7531 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3273
Score SMA
0.5736
Rank
#76 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2150
Rank Norm SMA
0.5772
Calculé le
30/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1244 r1h: -2.076% · r4h: -7.031% · r1d: -10.57% · r3d: -12.56% · ema21_slope: -0.2665% · dist_ema21: -6.729%
Force Relative 25% 0.0633 rs_1h: -2.167% · rs_4h: -6.226% · rs_1d: -10.66% · rs_3d: -11.57% · beta_24h: 0.952
Volume 20% 0.5997 rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.848 · trend: 71.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7257 ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4298
Score SMA
0.6539
Rank
#52 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3245
Rank Norm SMA
0.7223
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4122 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.638% · r1d: -8.60% · r3d: -11.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0378% · dist_ema21: -6.769%
Force Relative 25% 0.3233 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.004% · rs_1d: -8.62% · rs_3d: -10.39% · beta_24h: 2.773
Volume 20% 0.5203 rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 0.920 · trend: 7.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5716 ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3547 ATR%: 4.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.406% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.963% 0.2R -1.041% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 36
4h +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 48
8h +3.399% 0.5R -2.232% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +3.399% 0.5R -2.232% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.55 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.33 bull_high +1.54% -0.78 30/09 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.1ATR — 0.30 range_medium -0.14% -0.76 30/09 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
60%
ranging_calm 54% late — — 0.47 range_low -0.13% -0.63 30/09 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177664 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
mid 3b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.678

—

near 0.2ATR

1.73 value -2.13 ATR — #97299 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
185933 		↔ neutral bull_high
50%
late 9b -1.7ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.427

—

—

1.64 below_value -6.51 ATR — #100923 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:19
1h anchor
186309 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
51%
late 18b -3.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.312

near -0.1ATR

—

1.64 below_value -7.00 ATR — #101157 30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:11
15m
186230 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
60%
late 4b -3.0ATR ranging_calm 54% 0.751

—

—

0.45 below_value -6.51 ATR — #100923 30/09 16:45
upd 30/09 17:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 2.621×ATR p4 +1.443×ATR p72
4h ↓ down late 9b — 3.231×ATR p29 -1.662×ATR p80
1h ↓ down late 18b — 5.65×ATR p95 -3.406×ATR p98
15m ↓ down late 4b — 2.283×ATR p22 -3.003×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06245922
  2. atr: 0.00125307
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T00:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.1475
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0587 0.06246 0.03051
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0587
  • Stop Loss: 0.06246
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06246 - 0.0587 = 0.00376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0587 - = 0.0587

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0587 / 0.00376 = 15.6117

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
124.9195 100 2128.101 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00376

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00376 = 2127.66

Taille de position USD = 2127.66 x 0.0587 = 124.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 2127.66 avec un stoploss a 0.06246

Avec un position size USD de 124.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2127.66 x 0.00376 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2127.66 x 0.0587 = 124.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 124.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2127.66
  • Taille de position USD 124.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 124.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 15.6117

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 124.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.07 $ -0.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2317 % 34.84 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0587 0.06246 0.03051
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0587
  • Stop Loss: 0.06246
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06246 - 0.0587 = 0.00376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0587 - = 0.0587

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0587 / 0.00376 = 15.6117

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.406% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.963% 0.2R -1.041% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 36
4h +0.963% 0.2R -2.232% 0.4R 0.4× 48
8h +3.399% 0.5R -2.232% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +3.399% 0.5R -2.232% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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