30 Sep 2026 at 17:15:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 390.15 CRV at 0.395$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4049 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3745 (5.19 %)

CRV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 17:15 → 23:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.395$

Qty 390.1457 CRV

Size 154.0997$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4049 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.86$

SL 0.3745 (-5.19%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +0.58% / +0.9$ MAE -1.20% MFE +1.39% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168139)
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6481

Quality Score
0.606
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.27×ATR
4h near -0.14×ATR
1d clear 0.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4493
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 85.0%
4h 11.7%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% +0.01%
4h 30.0% -1.62%
24h 45.0% -0.36%
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7185
Score SMA
0.5337
Rank
#11 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8780
Rank Norm SMA
0.2771
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8463 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: 9.63% · ema21_slope: 0.4400% · dist_ema21: 8.960%
Force Relative 25% 0.7339 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.32% · rs_3d: 10.57% · beta_24h: 1.084
Volume 20% 0.9030 rvol_20: 2.69× · zscore_50: 2.799 · trend: 74.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6701 ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.163% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6057
Score SMA
0.5614
Rank
#8 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6481
Rank Norm SMA
0.4973
Calculé le
30/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6655 r1h: 1.377% · r4h: 0.364% · r1d: 1.36% · r3d: 13.32% · ema21_slope: 0.0647% · dist_ema21: 0.655%
Force Relative 25% 0.7131 rs_1h: 1.286% · rs_4h: 1.170% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 14.31% · beta_24h: 0.447
Volume 20% 0.2418 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.683 · trend: -34.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5295 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 56.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6018
Score SMA
0.5301
Rank
#14 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7945
Rank Norm SMA
0.3624
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6959 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.497% · r1d: 0.70% · r3d: 10.80% · ema21_slope: 0.7720% · dist_ema21: 3.316%
Force Relative 25% 0.7373 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.138% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 12.12% · beta_24h: 1.165
Volume 20% 0.2482 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.486 · trend: 10.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7293 ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4962 ATR%: 4.511% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.190% (0.0205)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.200% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.934% 0.2R -1.200% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +0.944% 0.2R -1.200% 0.2R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.395% 0.3R -1.200% 0.2R 1.2× 72
8h +1.395% 0.3R -1.200% 0.2R 1.2× 96
12h +1.395% 0.3R -2.489% 0.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.65 bull_high +12.90% +0.03 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.1ATR 0.40 bull_high +1.54% +0.84 30/09 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.3ATR 0.41 range_medium -0.14% +0.30 30/09 16:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -1.9ATR 0.35 range_low -0.13% +0.14 30/09 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177457
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
mid 13b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.720

—

—

2.69 above_value +3.38 ATR — #97239 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:18
4h
185797
↑ up bull_high
60%
early 4b 0.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.563

—

near -0.1ATR

0.48 above_value +4.58 ATR — #100869 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:13
1h anchor
186255
↔ neutral bull_high
63%
early 6b 0.3ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.670

—

near 0.3ATR

0.91 above_value +5.25 ATR — #101103 30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:09
15m
186179
↔ neutral range_high
38%
early 6b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.486

—

near -1.9ATR

0.18 above_value +4.58 ATR — #100869 30/09 16:45
upd 30/09 17:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 2.6×ATR p5 +1.006×ATR p62
4h ↑ up early 4b — 0.765×ATR p0 +0.576×ATR p35
1h ↑ up early 6b — 1.232×ATR p0 +0.297×ATR p26
15m ↑ up early 6b — 2.934×ATR p45 +0.926×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.37447484
  2. tp_price: 0.4048545
  3. atr: 0.00820207
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.6655
  4. delta_2h: 0.1245
  5. extension_atr: 0.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.653
  9. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.395 0.3745 0.4049 0.48 0.3725
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.395
  • Stop Loss: 0.3745
  • Take Profit: 0.4049

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3745 - 0.395 = -0.0205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.395 - 0.4049 = -0.0099

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0205 = 0.4829

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
154.0997 100 390.1457 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0205

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0205 = -390.24

Taille de position USD = -390.24 x 0.395 = -154.14

Donc, tu peux acheter -390.24 avec un stoploss a 0.3745

Avec un position size USD de -154.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -390.24 x -0.0205 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -390.24 x -0.0099 = 3.86

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.86$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -390.24
  • Taille de position USD -154.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.86
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4829

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.86 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.9 $ 0.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2 % 23.12 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.395 0.3745 0.4049 0.48 0.3725
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.395
  • Stop Loss: 0.3745
  • Take Profit: 0.4049

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3745 - 0.395 = -0.0205

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.395 - 0.4049 = -0.0099

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0205 = 0.4829

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.190% (0.0205)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.200% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.934% 0.2R -1.200% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +0.944% 0.2R -1.200% 0.2R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.395% 0.3R -1.200% 0.2R 1.2× 72
8h +1.395% 0.3R -1.200% 0.2R 1.2× 96
12h +1.395% 0.3R -2.489% 0.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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