Short Trade on LDO

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30 Sep 2026 at 17:15:15 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 318.42 LDO at 0.451$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4396 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.476 (5.57 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 17:15 → 22:45 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4509$

Qty 318.417 LDO

Size 143.5615$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4396 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.6$

SL 0.476 (-5.57%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.45

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.6$ MAE -3.04% MFE +3.35% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 23:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168140)

#54 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3777

Quality Score

0.457

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#54 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.57 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#54 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.57 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.42×ATR
4h	clear	1.27×ATR
1d	clear	3.30×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4493

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 25.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.7%
1h	85.0%
4h	11.7%
24h	46.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.3%	+0.01%
4h	30.0%	-1.62%
24h	45.0%	-0.36%

Dispersion : 0.234

Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6788

Score SMA

0.6696

Rank

#17 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8049

Rank Norm SMA

0.6364

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8497	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.62% · r3d: -2.54% · ema21_slope: 1.3664% · dist_ema21: 10.689%
Force Relative	25%	0.7228	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.42% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 1.501
Volume	20%	0.6416	rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 1.033 · trend: 93.75%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7655	ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.4568

Score SMA

0.5836

Rank

#54 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3777

Rank Norm SMA

0.5988

Calculé le

30/09/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3066	r1h: -2.423% · r4h: -4.099% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: -7.86% · ema21_slope: -0.0406% · dist_ema21: -3.807%
Force Relative	25%	0.2026	rs_1h: -2.514% · rs_4h: -3.294% · rs_1d: -5.34% · rs_3d: -6.87% · beta_24h: 0.922
Volume	20%	0.6010	rvol_20: 2.07× · zscore_50: 0.969 · trend: 13.46%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6263	ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 41.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.354% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4601

Score SMA

0.6013

Rank

#44 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3904

Rank Norm SMA

0.5981

Calculé le

30/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4766	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.846% · r1d: -0.93% · r3d: -6.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0188% · dist_ema21: -1.289%
Force Relative	25%	0.5657	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.211% · rs_1d: -0.96% · rs_3d: -5.15% · beta_24h: 2.286
Volume	20%	0.2448	rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.434 · trend: 0.34%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5103	ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5018	ATR%: 4.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.567% (0.0251)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.541%	0.1R	-0.974%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.541%	0.1R	-3.036%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.541%	0.1R	-3.036%	0.6R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	72
8h	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.82

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.65	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.92	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.51	bull_high	+1.54%	-0.43	30/09 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.44	range_medium	-0.14%	-0.48	30/09 16:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.48	range_low	-0.13%	-0.27	30/09 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177461	↑ up	bull_high	66%	early 13b 1.0ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.698	— —	1.63	value	-2.16 ATR	—	#97240	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:19
4h 185799	↑ up	bull_high	57%	early 10b -0.3ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.534	— —	0.54	above_value	-2.92 ATR	—	#100870	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 16:13
1h anchor 186256	↔ neutral	bear_high	52%	mid 8b -1.6ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.574	near 0.4ATR —	2.07	below_value	-3.76 ATR	—	#101104	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 17:09
15m 186180	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	55%	late 1b -2.7ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.556	— —	3.87	above_value	-2.92 ATR	—	#100870	30/09 16:45 upd 30/09 17:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	3.524×ATR	p42	+1.023×ATR	p49
4h	↑ up	early	10b	—	1.56×ATR	p0	-0.286×ATR	p20
1h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	4.299×ATR	p80	-1.575×ATR	p78
15m	↓ down	late	1b	—	3.921×ATR	p66	-2.736×ATR	p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.47598429
tp_price: 0.4395885
atr: 0.01004972
expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:15+00:00

Details

rank: 71
total: 77
score: 0.3066
delta_2h: -0.0867
extension_atr: -1.34
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3794
confidence: 0.921

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4509	0.476	0.4396	0.45	0.3916

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4509
Stop Loss: 0.476
Take Profit: 0.4396

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.476 - 0.4509 = 0.0251
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4509 - 0.4396 = 0.0113
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0113 / 0.0251 = 0.4502

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
143.5615	100	318.417	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0251

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0251 = 318.73

Taille de position USD = 318.73 x 0.4509 = 143.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 318.73 avec un stoploss a 0.476

Avec un position size USD de 143.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 318.73 x 0.0251 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 318.73 x 0.0113 = 3.6

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.6$

Résumé

Taille de position 318.73
Taille de position USD 143.72
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.6
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4502

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.6 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.57 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
3.6 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.0361 %	54.54 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4509	0.476	0.4396	0.45	0.3916

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4509
Stop Loss: 0.476
Take Profit: 0.4396

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.476 - 0.4509 = 0.0251
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4509 - 0.4396 = 0.0113
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0113 / 0.0251 = 0.4502

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.567% (0.0251)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.541%	0.1R	-0.974%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.541%	0.1R	-3.036%	0.6R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.541%	0.1R	-3.036%	0.6R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	72
8h	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+3.349%	0.6R	-3.036%	0.6R	1.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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