Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1407.99 ETHFI at 0.758$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7697 (1.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7527 (0.75 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 1407.99 ETHFI at 0.758$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7697 (1.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7527 (0.75 %)
Position
Entry 0.7584$
Qty 1407.9946 ETHFI
Size 1067.7668$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7697 (+1.49%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 0.7527 (-0.75%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8368
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.556178 15m : 0.516888 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 51.7% |
| 1h | 68.3% |
| 4h | 31.7% |
| 24h | 48.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 41.7% | -0.63% |
| 24h | 46.7% | -0.12% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9190 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.09% · r3d: 6.04% · ema21_slope: 0.9260% · dist_ema21: 13.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8699 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.89% · rs_3d: 6.98% · beta_24h: 1.052 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4228 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.688 · trend: -0.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6666 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5164 | r1h: 0.640% · r4h: -3.234% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: 7.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0861% · dist_ema21: -0.786% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5073 | rs_1h: 0.549% · rs_4h: -2.429% · rs_1d: -2.58% · rs_3d: 8.07% · beta_24h: 1.300 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6625 | rvol_20: 1.97× · zscore_50: 0.960 · trend: 72.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6612 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.251% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6525 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.969% · r1d: -2.35% · r3d: 5.98% · ema21_slope: 0.4298% · dist_ema21: 2.455% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6097 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.335% · rs_1d: -2.38% · rs_3d: 7.30% · beta_24h: 2.228 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7290 | rvol_20: 2.18× · zscore_50: 1.825 · trend: 54.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6991 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5627 | ATR%: 4.312% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.2R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.637% | 3.5R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.92 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.54% | +0.42 | 30/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.14% | -0.19 | 30/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.49 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.17 | 30/09 17:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177580 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 13b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.679 |
— near -0.3ATR |
1.19 | above_value | +2.84 ATR | — | #97269 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
4h
185861 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
early 3b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.613 |
near 0.0ATR — |
2.18 | value | +2.34 ATR | — | #100899 |
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor
186285 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 3b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.705 |
near -0.6ATR — |
1.97 | above_value | +2.65 ATR | — | #101133 |
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:10
|
|
15m
186364 |
↓ down | bear_high |
58%
|
mid 4b -1.3ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.491 |
near 0.2ATR — |
0.54 | above_value | +2.65 ATR | — | #101133 |
30/09 17:00
upd 30/09 17:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.842×ATR | p0 | +1.289×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.307×ATR | p0 | +0.515×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.06×ATR | p69 | -0.365×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.104×ATR | p3 | -1.324×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84102.5
-0.00447759
83726
0.556178
83776.4
0.000125739
83787
0.516888
83763.2
2.11307E-5
83765
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0.5369
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0.4053
0.6367
0.6472
0.0084
0.0444
0.6667
-0.3437
0.5407
0.6
0.4
1
4
1
0.5913
0.6528
3.1514
0.55
1.8656
3.3717
0.5407
0.3845
0.3209
0.44
-0.088
0.4281
0.4646
0.7579
0.6472
-3.4964
6.4129
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 14:05:00 | 0.78442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:25:00 | 0.76686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 15:30:00 | 0.77828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:20:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:30:00 | 0.78363 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 18:05:00 | 0.78147 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 20:10:00 | 0.75325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 21:00:00 | 0.76816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 21:25:00 | 0.75806 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.76605 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:00:00 | 0.79009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 05:30:00 | 0.77504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:30:00 | 0.77187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 0.75814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 0.79361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 0.76519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:15:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 20:00:00 | 0.75325 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.75548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.69672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.73021 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.66289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.72056 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.67069 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 0.822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.75054 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.81821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 20:00:00 | 0.75325 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7584 | 0.7527 | 0.7697 | 1.98 | 0.6734 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7527 - 0.7584 = -0.0056999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7584 - 0.7697 = -0.0113
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0113 / -0.0056999999999999 = 1.9825
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1067.7668 | 100 | 1407.9946 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0056999999999999 = -1403.51
Taille de position USD = -1403.51 x 0.7584 = -1064.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.7527
Avec un position size USD de -1064.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0056999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1403.51 x -0.0113 = 15.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.49 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1788 % | 156.84 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7584 | 0.7527 | 0.7697 | 1.98 | 0.6734 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7527 - 0.7584 = -0.0056999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7584 - 0.7697 = -0.0113
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0113 / -0.0056999999999999 = 1.9825
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[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 22:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.2R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.637% | 3.5R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.799% | 5.1R | -1.179% | 1.6R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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