30 Sep 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 19654.09 PUMP at 0.0059$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006051 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005496 (6.89 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 18:15 → 00:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.005903$

Qty 19654.0881 PUMP

Size 116.0181$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006051 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.91$

SL 0.005496 (-6.89%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.36

Status loss PnL -1.69% / -1.97$ MAE -3.49% MFE +1.58% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 00:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168264)
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8858

Quality Score
0.602
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
152.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.01×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4497
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.7%
1h 60.0%
4h 33.3%
24h 50.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.0% -0.02%
4h 43.3% -0.73%
24h 41.7% +0.04%
Dispersion : 0.136
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 18:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8549
Score SMA
0.5683
Rank
#3 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3897
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9854 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1367% · dist_ema21: 34.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.9756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.9891 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 2.836 · trend: 114.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7837 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6022
Score SMA
0.6070
Rank
#8 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8858
Rank Norm SMA
0.6154
Calculé le
30/09/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7170 r1h: 0.545% · r4h: 0.017% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: 16.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1227% · dist_ema21: 2.182%
Force Relative 25% 0.6653 rs_1h: 0.444% · rs_4h: 0.330% · rs_1d: 1.19% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 0.963
Volume 20% 0.1747 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.742 · trend: -33.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5577 ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6421
Score SMA
0.6077
Rank
#9 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8674
Rank Norm SMA
0.5575
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7885 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.050% · r1d: -1.77% · r3d: 17.62% · ema21_slope: 1.1461% · dist_ema21: 8.270%
Force Relative 25% 0.7627 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.685% · rs_1d: -1.80% · rs_3d: 18.93% · beta_24h: 1.217
Volume 20% 0.4154 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: 0.646 · trend: 29.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7689 ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 43.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1643 ATR%: 5.507% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.895% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.576% 0.2R -0.034% 0.0R 46.5× 12
2h +1.576% 0.2R -1.203% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.576% 0.2R -2.761% 0.4R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.576% 0.2R -3.490% 0.5R 0.5× 72
8h +1.576% 0.2R -3.490% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +3.270% 0.5R -7.420% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.27 bull_high +1.54% +0.99 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 32% early — near 0.0ATR 0.36 range_medium -0.04% -0.01 30/09 17:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 32% early — near -0.5ATR 0.33 range_low -0.02% +0.09 30/09 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177651
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 13b 2.7ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.682

—

—

3.56 value +4.00 ATR inside #97293 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
185918
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
57%
mid 10b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.663

—

—

0.91 value +0.61 ATR — #100918 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:18
1h anchor
186696
↑ up bull_high
57%
early 4b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.590

—

near 0.0ATR

0.51 value +0.79 ATR — #101308 30/09 17:00
upd 30/09 18:12
15m
186616
↑ up bull_high
60%
early 8b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.680

—

near -0.5ATR

0.12 above_value +0.54 ATR — #101152 30/09 17:45
upd 30/09 18:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 13b — 4.413×ATR p70 +2.701×ATR p97
4h ↑ up mid 10b — 3.443×ATR p61 +1.148×ATR p62
1h ↓ down early 4b — 0.775×ATR p0 +0.792×ATR p48
15m ↑ up early 8b — 2.019×ATR p13 +0.785×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00549596
  2. tp_price: 0.00605057
  3. atr: 0.00016282
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T04:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.724
  4. delta_2h: 0.0822
  5. extension_atr: 0.7
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8874
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:15 0.00590300 0%
2 19:15 0.00595300 +0.847%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005903 0.005496 0.006051 0.36 0.004478
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005903
  • Stop Loss: 0.005496
  • Take Profit: 0.006051

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005496 - 0.005903 = -0.000407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005903 - 0.006051 = -0.000148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000148 / -0.000407 = 0.3636

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
116.0181 100 19654.0881 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000407

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000407 = -19656.02

Taille de position USD = -19656.02 x 0.005903 = -116.03

Donc, tu peux acheter -19656.02 avec un stoploss a 0.005496

Avec un position size USD de -116.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -19656.02 x -0.000407 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -19656.02 x -0.000148 = 2.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -19656.02
  • Taille de position USD -116.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3636

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.89 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.97 $ -1.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4898 % 50.61 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005903 0.005496 0.006051 0.36 0.004478
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005903
  • Stop Loss: 0.005496
  • Take Profit: 0.006051

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005496 - 0.005903 = -0.000407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005903 - 0.006051 = -0.000148

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000148 / -0.000407 = 0.3636

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.895% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.576% 0.2R -0.034% 0.0R 46.5× 12
2h +1.576% 0.2R -1.203% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.576% 0.2R -2.761% 0.4R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.576% 0.2R -3.490% 0.5R 0.5× 72
8h +1.576% 0.2R -3.490% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +3.270% 0.5R -7.420% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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