30 Sep 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 239.13 WLD at 0.527$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5398 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4931 (6.36 %)

WLD LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 18:15 → 18:30 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.5266$

Qty 239.1328 WLD

Size 125.9273$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5398 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.16$

SL 0.4931 (-6.36%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.16$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.84% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 00:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168224)
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8766

Quality Score
0.614
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
51.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 18:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.36 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.36 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.61×ATR
4h near 0.21×ATR
1d clear 1.90×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4497
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.7%
1h 60.0%
4h 33.3%
24h 50.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.0% -0.02%
4h 43.3% -0.73%
24h 41.7% +0.04%
Dispersion : 0.136
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 18:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6026
Score SMA
0.6607
Rank
#35 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5854
Rank Norm SMA
0.6049
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7134 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.60% · r3d: -7.60% · ema21_slope: 1.3341% · dist_ema21: 7.780%
Force Relative 25% 0.5649 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -6.66% · beta_24h: 1.522
Volume 20% 0.6615 rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 1.378 · trend: 113.01%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7670 ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.216% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6136
Score SMA
0.6025
Rank
#5 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8766
Rank Norm SMA
0.6386
Calculé le
30/09/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6809 r1h: -0.069% · r4h: 0.204% · r1d: 9.22% · r3d: -3.88% · ema21_slope: 0.4393% · dist_ema21: 2.019%
Force Relative 25% 0.5911 rs_1h: -0.171% · rs_4h: 0.517% · rs_1d: 8.88% · rs_3d: -2.83% · beta_24h: 0.387
Volume 20% 0.3424 rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.222 · trend: -10.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7719 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.588% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5422
Score SMA
0.6031
Rank
#22 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8152
Rank Norm SMA
0.5805
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6184 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.782% · r1d: 7.61% · r3d: -5.16% · ema21_slope: 0.0429% · dist_ema21: 4.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.6847 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.147% · rs_1d: 7.58% · rs_3d: -3.84% · beta_24h: 3.002
Volume 20% 0.3191 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.228 · trend: 29.20%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6257 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2780 ATR%: 5.166% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.362% (0.0335)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.428% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.428% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +3.838% 0.6R -2.605% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.47 bull_high +12.90% +0.70 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.2ATR 0.42 bull_high +1.54% -0.60 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.36 range_medium -0.04% +0.64 30/09 17:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.2ATR 0.51 range_low -0.02% -0.14 30/09 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177485
↑ up bull_high
66%
early 2b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.705

—

—

1.56 above_value -0.28 ATR — #97246 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:20
4h
185813
↑ up bull_high
58%
early 10b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.672

—

near 0.2ATR

0.68 above_value -0.85 ATR — #100877 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:13
1h anchor
186655
↑ up bull_high
66%
mid 8b 0.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.714

—

—

0.97 above_value +0.25 ATR — #101267 30/09 17:00
upd 30/09 18:10
15m
186579
↑ up bull_high
57%
early 13b 0.0ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.533

—

near 0.2ATR

0.60 above_value +0.27 ATR — #101111 30/09 17:45
upd 30/09 18:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 2b — 2.128×ATR p0 +0.655×ATR p27
4h ↑ up early 10b — 2.42×ATR p26 +0.831×ATR p42
1h ↓ down mid 8b — 2.656×ATR p55 +0.643×ATR p38
15m ↑ up early 13b — 1.725×ATR p9 +0.037×ATR p2

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.49314579
  2. tp_price: 0.539765
  3. atr: 0.01338168
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T04:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.6722
  4. delta_2h: 0.0183
  5. extension_atr: 0.13
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8799
  9. confidence: 0.934

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5266 0.4931 0.5398 0.39 0.5763
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5266
  • Stop Loss: 0.4931
  • Take Profit: 0.5398

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4931 - 0.5266 = -0.0335

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5266 - 0.5398 = -0.0132

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0132 / -0.0335 = 0.394

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
125.9273 100 239.1328 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0335

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0335 = -238.81

Taille de position USD = -238.81 x 0.5266 = -125.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -238.81 avec un stoploss a 0.4931

Avec un position size USD de -125.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -238.81 x -0.0335 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -238.81 x -0.0132 = 3.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -238.81
  • Taille de position USD -125.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.394

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.36 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
3.16 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5266 0.4931 0.5398 0.39 0.5763
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5266
  • Stop Loss: 0.4931
  • Take Profit: 0.5398

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4931 - 0.5266 = -0.0335

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5266 - 0.5398 = -0.0132

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0132 / -0.0335 = 0.394

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.362% (0.0335)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.428% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.428% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +3.838% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +3.838% 0.6R -2.605% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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