Short Trade on 2Z

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2176.84 2Z at 0.059$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0627 (6.24 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05902$

Qty 2176.8411 2Z

Size 128.4793$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 128.48$

SL 0.0627 (-6.24%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status win PnL +1.63% / +2.09$ MAE -1.19% MFE +3.92% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168422)

#32 / 76 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2787

Quality Score

0.499

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168422)

#32 / 76 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2787

Quality Score

0.499

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#32 / 76 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.24 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#32 / 76 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.24 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.08×ATR
4h	clear	0.87×ATR
1d	clear	2.94×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 71.6%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.5%
1h	39.3%
4h	83.6%
24h	63.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	31.2%	-0.08%
4h	83.6%	+0.93%
24h	63.9%	+0.59%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.115

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5965

Score SMA

0.7061

Rank

#39 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5366

Rank Norm SMA

0.6931

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6868	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644%
Force Relative	25%	0.5774	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086
Volume	20%	0.6656	rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7531	ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4990

Score SMA

0.5717

Rank

#32 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2787

Rank Norm SMA

0.5681

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2964	r1h: 0.810% · r4h: -0.774% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: -0.3463% · dist_ema21: -3.957%
Force Relative	25%	0.3266	rs_1h: 0.901% · rs_4h: -0.798% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 0.870
Volume	20%	0.7607	rvol_20: 2.36× · zscore_50: 1.782 · trend: 58.09%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7643	ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 35.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.161% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4038

Score SMA

0.6473

Rank

#65 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3311

Rank Norm SMA

0.7072

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4333	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.774% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0586% · dist_ema21: -6.857%
Force Relative	25%	0.3971	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.798% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 2.654
Volume	20%	0.4532	rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.478 · trend: 20.74%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6087	ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3712	ATR%: 4.887% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.235% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.034%	0.0R	-1.169%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	24
3h ★	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	36
4h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	48
8h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	96
12h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.637%	0.3R	2.4×	144
24h	+8.684%	1.4R	-1.637%	0.3R	5.3×	288
48h	+24.768%	4.0R	-1.661%	0.3R	14.9×	576
72h	+24.858%	4.0R	-1.661%	0.3R	15.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 984 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 21 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.21

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	near 0.2ATR	0.55	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.98	28/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.33	bull_high	+1.54%	-0.78	30/09 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.30	range_medium	-0.11%	-0.82	30/09 18:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	near -0.4ATR	0.46	range_low	-0.17%	-0.25	30/09 19:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #177664	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.678	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b 1.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.73	97%	↑ +0.94	value	-2.13	—	#97299	0.55	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.98	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:29
4h #185933	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.427	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	late 9b -1.7ATR	—	—	1.64	97%	↓ -0.54	below_value	-6.51	—	#100923	0.33	bull_high	+1.54%	-0.78	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 16:19
1h anchor #187090	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.312	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	50%	noisy_chop 42%	late 20b -2.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	1.18	67%	↑ +0.72	below_value	-6.67	—	#101468	0.30	range_medium	-0.11%	-0.82	30/09 18:00 upd 30/09 19:11
15m #187399	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.749	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 8b -0.5ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.37	62%	↔ -0.00	below_value	-6.67	—	#101468	0.46	range_low	-0.17%	-0.25	30/09 19:45 upd 30/09 20:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.621×ATR	p4	+1.443×ATR	p72
4h	↓ down	late	9b	—	3.231×ATR	p29	-1.662×ATR	p80
1h	↓ down	late	20b	—	5.526×ATR	p93	-2.44×ATR	p94
15m	↑ up	early	8b	—	2.89×ATR	p31	-0.467×ATR	p21

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06269605
atr: 0.00122502
expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 77
score: 0.2566
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05902	0.0627			0.03172

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05902
Stop Loss: 0.0627
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0627 - 0.05902 = 0.00368
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05902 - = 0.05902
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05902 / 0.00368 = 16.038

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
128.4793	100	2176.8411	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00368

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00368 = 2173.91

Taille de position USD = 2173.91 x 0.05902 = 128.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 2173.91 avec un stoploss a 0.0627

Avec un position size USD de 128.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2173.91 x 0.00368 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2173.91 x 0.05902 = 128.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 128.3$

Résumé

Taille de position 2173.91
Taille de position USD 128.3
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 128.3
Risk-Reward Ratio 16.038

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	128.48 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.24 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
2.09 $	1.63

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1877 %	19.05 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05902	0.0627			0.03172

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05902
Stop Loss: 0.0627
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0627 - 0.05902 = 0.00368
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05902 - = 0.05902
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05902 / 0.00368 = 16.038

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.235% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.034%	0.0R	-1.169%	0.2R	0.0×	12
2h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	24
3h ★	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	36
4h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	48
8h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.188%	0.2R	3.3×	96
12h	+3.922%	0.6R	-1.637%	0.3R	2.4×	144
24h	+8.684%	1.4R	-1.637%	0.3R	5.3×	288
48h	+24.768%	4.0R	-1.661%	0.3R	14.9×	576
72h	+24.858%	4.0R	-1.661%	0.3R	15.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 984 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 21 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.