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Long Trade on MON

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30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)

With 3323.78 MON at 0.0317$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02932 (7.6 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03173$

Qty 3323.7775 MON

Size 105.4601$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 105.46$

SL 0.02932 (-7.6%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +1.88% / +1.99$ MAE -0.76% MFE +4.15% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168424)
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9667

Quality Score
0.832
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
13.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168424)
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9667

Quality Score
0.832
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.60 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.60 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.50×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d near -0.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
13.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.5%
1h 39.3%
4h 83.6%
24h 63.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.2% -0.08%
4h 83.6% +0.93%
24h 63.9% +0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.115
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5099
Score SMA
0.5129
Rank
#62 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2561
Rank Norm SMA
0.2590
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6262 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.04% · r3d: -0.10% · ema21_slope: 0.5929% · dist_ema21: 4.281%
Force Relative 25% 0.4089 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.23% · rs_3d: 0.84% · beta_24h: 1.174
Volume 20% 0.6150 rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 0.793 · trend: 81.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6453 ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 44.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.063% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8319
Score SMA
0.5696
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9667
Rank Norm SMA
0.5597
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9229 r1h: 5.500% · r4h: 10.277% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.4348% · dist_ema21: 10.901%
Force Relative 25% 0.9918 rs_1h: 5.591% · rs_4h: 10.253% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 1.785
Volume 20% 0.9928 rvol_20: 3.22× · zscore_50: 3.537 · trend: 94.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7444 ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 26.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.666% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7150
Score SMA
0.5763
Rank
#2 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9473
Rank Norm SMA
0.4875
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8959 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.277% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1691% · dist_ema21: 14.009%
Force Relative 25% 0.9918 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 10.253% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 3.119
Volume 20% 0.6937 rvol_20: 1.77× · zscore_50: 2.141 · trend: 60.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5648 ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4527 ATR%: 4.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.595% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.148% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 24
3h ★ +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 36
4h +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 48
8h +9.200% 1.2R -0.763% 0.1R 12.1× 96
12h +9.200% 1.2R -0.905% 0.1R 10.2× 144
24h +11.229% 1.5R -0.905% 0.1R 12.4× 288
48h +13.246% 1.7R -3.590% 0.5R 3.7× 576
72h +13.246% 1.7R -3.590% 0.5R 3.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1174 min MAE in 599 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 42% early — near -0.1ATR 0.59 bull_high +12.90% +0.05 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early — near 0.2ATR 0.51 bull_high +1.54% +0.75 30/09 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.5ATR 0.54 range_medium -0.11% +0.80 30/09 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high_confirmed
71%
choppy 50% late — — 0.54 range_low -0.17% +0.74 30/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#177668
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.707 expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 42% early 14b 0.4ATR — near -0.1ATR 1.66 85% ↑ +0.61 above_value -1.80 — #97301 0.59 bull_high +12.90% +0.05
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
#185939
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.526 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b 0.9ATR — near 0.2ATR 1.07 93% ↓ -0.48 value +1.48 — #100925 0.51 bull_high +1.54% +0.75
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:19
1h anchor
#187092
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.463 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 44% late 7b 2.1ATR — near -1.5ATR 1.53 88% ↑ +0.79 above_value +3.16 inside #101470 0.54 range_medium -0.11% +0.80
30/09 18:00
upd 30/09 19:12
15m
#187401
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.717 expansion bull_high_confirmed
71%
choppy 50% late 7b 3.8ATR — — 1.86 97% ↑ +0.56 above_value +3.16 — #101470 0.54 range_low -0.17% +0.74
30/09 19:45
upd 30/09 20:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 2.46×ATR p0 +0.443×ATR p39
4h ↑ up early 3b — 1.776×ATR p0 +0.865×ATR p52
1h ↑ up late 7b — 3.989×ATR p80 +2.08×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 7b — 5.153×ATR p94 +3.834×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0293221
  2. atr: 0.0008023
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.9125
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03173 0.02932 0.02225
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03173
  • Stop Loss: 0.02932
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02932 - 0.03173 = -0.00241

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03173 - = 0.03173

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03173 / -0.00241 = -13.166

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
105.4601 100 3323.7775 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00241

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00241 = -3319.5

Taille de position USD = -3319.5 x 0.03173 = -105.33

Donc, tu peux acheter -3319.5 avec un stoploss a 0.02932

Avec un position size USD de -105.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3319.5 x -0.00241 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3319.5 x 0.03173 = -105.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -105.33$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3319.5
  • Taille de position USD -105.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -105.33
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -13.166

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 105.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.6 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
1.99 $ 1.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7627 % 10.04 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03173 0.02932 0.02225
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03173
  • Stop Loss: 0.02932
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02932 - 0.03173 = -0.00241

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03173 - = 0.03173

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03173 / -0.00241 = -13.166

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.595% (0.0024)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.148% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 24
3h ★ +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 36
4h +4.148% 0.6R -0.763% 0.1R 5.4× 48
8h +9.200% 1.2R -0.763% 0.1R 12.1× 96
12h +9.200% 1.2R -0.905% 0.1R 10.2× 144
24h +11.229% 1.5R -0.905% 0.1R 12.4× 288
48h +13.246% 1.7R -3.590% 0.5R 3.7× 576
72h +13.246% 1.7R -3.590% 0.5R 3.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1174 min MAE in 599 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 22 hours ago

Commentaires

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