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Long Trade on PUMP

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30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 17453.15 PUMP at 0.0059$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005439 (7.77 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.005897$

Qty 17453.1492 PUMP

Size 102.9212$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 102.92$

SL 0.005439 (-7.77%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.32% / -2.39$ MAE -3.39% MFE +0.02% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168417)
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9070

Quality Score
0.617
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
146.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168417)
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9070

Quality Score
0.617
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.17×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
146.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.5%
1h 39.3%
4h 83.6%
24h 63.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.2% -0.08%
4h 83.6% +0.93%
24h 63.9% +0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.115
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8549
Score SMA
0.5683
Rank
#3 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3897
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9854 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1367% · dist_ema21: 34.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.9756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.9891 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 2.836 · trend: 114.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7837 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6172
Score SMA
0.6095
Rank
#6 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9070
Rank Norm SMA
0.6248
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7675 r1h: 0.135% · r4h: 2.753% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: 14.91% · ema21_slope: 0.1456% · dist_ema21: 2.305%
Force Relative 25% 0.6991 rs_1h: 0.226% · rs_4h: 2.729% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 15.89% · beta_24h: 0.928
Volume 20% 0.1919 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.628 · trend: -42.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5591 ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.791% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6566
Score SMA
0.6141
Rank
#5 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9007
Rank Norm SMA
0.5781
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8667 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.753% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: 14.91% · ema21_slope: 1.1978% · dist_ema21: 10.125%
Force Relative 25% 0.8147 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.729% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 15.89% · beta_24h: 1.339
Volume 20% 0.2586 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.292 · trend: 8.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7652 ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2460 ATR%: 5.262% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.767% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.017% 0.0R -2.255% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.017% 0.0R -2.662% 0.3R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.017% 0.0R -3.392% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.017% 0.0R -3.392% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +3.375% 0.4R -4.935% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +3.375% 0.4R -7.326% 0.9R 0.5× 144
24h +3.375% 0.4R -8.801% 1.1R 0.4× 288
48h +5.223% 0.7R -13.600% 1.8R 0.4× 576
72h +10.226% 1.3R -13.600% 1.8R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 379 min MAE in 914 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.27 bull_high +1.54% +0.99 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 34% early — near -0.2ATR 0.36 range_medium -0.11% +0.05 30/09 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 31% early near -0.4ATR near -0.3ATR 0.33 range_low -0.17% +0.03 30/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#177651
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.682 expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late 13b 2.7ATR — — 3.56 100% ↑ +0.45 value +4.00 inside #97293 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
#185918
 ↑ up range range moderate explosive 0.663 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% mid 10b 1.1ATR — — 0.91 93% ↔ -0.08 value +0.61 — #100918 0.27 bull_high +1.54% +0.99
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:18
1h anchor
#187085
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.595 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 34% early 5b 0.9ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.60 56% ↑ +0.20 value +0.92 — #101463 0.36 range_medium -0.11% +0.05
30/09 18:00
upd 30/09 19:11
15m
#187395
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.568 compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 31% early 3b -0.1ATR near -0.4ATR near -0.3ATR 0.65 19% ↓ -0.42 value +0.92 — #101463 0.33 range_low -0.17% +0.03
30/09 19:45
upd 30/09 20:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 13b — 4.413×ATR p70 +2.701×ATR p97
4h ↑ up mid 10b — 3.443×ATR p61 +1.148×ATR p62
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.622×ATR p0 +0.875×ATR p51
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.606×ATR p3 -0.088×ATR p11

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00543863
  2. atr: 0.00015279
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7688
  4. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005897 0.005439 0.004639
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005897
  • Stop Loss: 0.005439
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005439 - 0.005897 = -0.000458

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005897 - = 0.005897

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005897 / -0.000458 = -12.8755

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
102.9212 100 17453.1492 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000458

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000458 = -17467.25

Taille de position USD = -17467.25 x 0.005897 = -103

Donc, tu peux acheter -17467.25 avec un stoploss a 0.005439

Avec un position size USD de -103$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17467.25 x -0.000458 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17467.25 x 0.005897 = -103

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -103$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17467.25
  • Taille de position USD -103
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -103
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -12.8755

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 102.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.77 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-2.39 $ -2.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.3916 % 43.67 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005897 0.005439 0.004639
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005897
  • Stop Loss: 0.005439
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005439 - 0.005897 = -0.000458

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005897 - = 0.005897

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005897 / -0.000458 = -12.8755

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.005897
            [stop_loss] => 0.0053932
            [rr_ratio] => 11.71
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.005897
            [stop_loss] => 0.0053474
            [rr_ratio] => 10.73
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.005897
            [stop_loss] => 0.0053016
            [rr_ratio] => 9.9
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.005897
            [stop_loss] => 0.00521
            [rr_ratio] => 8.58
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.767% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.017% 0.0R -2.255% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.017% 0.0R -2.662% 0.3R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.017% 0.0R -3.392% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.017% 0.0R -3.392% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +3.375% 0.4R -4.935% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +3.375% 0.4R -7.326% 0.9R 0.5× 144
24h +3.375% 0.4R -8.801% 1.1R 0.4× 288
48h +5.223% 0.7R -13.600% 1.8R 0.4× 576
72h +10.226% 1.3R -13.600% 1.8R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 379 min MAE in 914 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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