30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 19.8 NEAR at 5.328$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.9242 (7.58 %)

NEAR LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 5.3283$

Qty 19.7983 NEAR

Size 105.4913$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 105.49$

SL 4.9242 (-7.58%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.39% / -0.41$ MAE -2.88% MFE +0.83% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168388)
#9 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8986

Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
348.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168388)
#9 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8986

Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.40×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
348.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.5%
1h 39.3%
4h 83.6%
24h 63.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.2% -0.08%
4h 83.6% +0.93%
24h 63.9% +0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.115
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7113
Score SMA
0.7684
Rank
#13 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8537
Rank Norm SMA
0.8906
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8149 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.30% · r3d: -3.17% · ema21_slope: 5.3289% · dist_ema21: 24.772%
Force Relative 25% 0.7037 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.10% · rs_3d: -2.23% · beta_24h: 1.664
Volume 20% 0.7045 rvol_20: 1.63× · zscore_50: 1.864 · trend: 135.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 1.0000 ADX: 61.6 (trend) · Chop: 16.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6074
Score SMA
0.5815
Rank
#9 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8986
Rank Norm SMA
0.6332
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7134 r1h: 0.154% · r4h: 0.576% · r1d: 9.36% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: 0.3571% · dist_ema21: 2.025%
Force Relative 25% 0.6393 rs_1h: 0.245% · rs_4h: 0.552% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 0.05% · beta_24h: 1.164
Volume 20% 0.1442 rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -1.254 · trend: -29.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5653 ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.717% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5987
Score SMA
0.5903
Rank
#14 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8410
Rank Norm SMA
0.6003
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7445 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.576% · r1d: 9.36% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1470% · dist_ema21: 5.666%
Force Relative 25% 0.7541 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.552% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 0.05% · beta_24h: 1.925
Volume 20% 0.2612 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: 12.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6352 ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3340 ATR%: 4.998% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.584% (0.4041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.130% 0.0R -0.974% 0.1R 0.1× 12
2h +0.130% 0.0R -2.573% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.828% 0.1R -2.879% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +2.177% 0.3R -2.879% 0.4R 0.8× 48
8h +3.804% 0.5R -2.879% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +3.804% 0.5R -5.216% 0.7R 0.7× 144
24h +3.804% 0.5R -10.974% 1.5R 0.4× 288
48h +3.804% 0.5R -13.898% 1.8R 0.3× 576
72h +3.804% 0.5R -13.898% 1.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 769 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 23 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.61
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.54 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.40 bull_high +1.53% +0.35 30/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 38% early — near 0.4ATR 0.31 range_medium -0.21% +0.70 30/09 19:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.3ATR — 0.47 range_low -0.17% -0.06 30/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#177535
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.728 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late 16b 1.5ATR — — 1.63 99% ↑ +0.90 above_value -0.26 — #97258 0.54 bull_high +12.90% +1.00
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:22
4h
#187475
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.508 normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 37% mid 11b 1.1ATR — — 0.62 75% ↔ -0.05 above_value +2.82 — #101587 0.40 bull_high +1.53% +0.35
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:14
1h anchor
#187474
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.736 normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 38% early 7b 0.7ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.24 6% ↑ +0.16 above_value +2.82 — #101587 0.31 range_medium -0.21% +0.70
30/09 19:00
upd 30/09 20:14
15m
#187368
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.496 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early 7b -0.1ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.27 8% ↓ -0.73 value +2.67 — #101433 0.47 range_low -0.17% -0.06
30/09 19:45
upd 30/09 20:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 16b — 5.475×ATR p83 +1.544×ATR p73
4h ↑ up mid 11b — 2.993×ATR p38 +1.082×ATR p63
1h ↓ down early 7b — 1.169×ATR p2 +0.671×ATR p49
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.636×ATR p7 -0.058×ATR p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.92422494
  2. atr: 0.13469169
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7495
  4. confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.3283 4.9242 5.1614
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.3283
  • Stop Loss: 4.9242
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.9242 - 5.3283 = -0.4041

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.3283 - = 5.3283

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.3283 / -0.4041 = -13.1856

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
105.4913 100 19.7983 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.4041

Taille de position = 8 / -0.4041 = -19.8

Taille de position USD = -19.8 x 5.3283 = -105.5

Donc, tu peux acheter -19.8 avec un stoploss a 4.9242

Avec un position size USD de -105.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -19.8 x -0.4041 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -19.8 x 5.3283 = -105.5

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -105.5$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -19.8
  • Taille de position USD -105.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -105.5
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -13.1856

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 105.49 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.41 $ -0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.879 % 37.96 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.3283 4.9242 5.1614
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.3283
  • Stop Loss: 4.9242
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.9242 - 5.3283 = -0.4041

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.3283 - = 5.3283

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.3283 / -0.4041 = -13.1856

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 5.3283
            [stop_loss] => 4.88379
            [rr_ratio] => 11.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 5.3283
            [stop_loss] => 4.84338
            [rr_ratio] => 10.99
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 5.3283
            [stop_loss] => 4.80297
            [rr_ratio] => 10.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 5.3283
            [stop_loss] => 4.72215
            [rr_ratio] => 8.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.584% (0.4041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.130% 0.0R -0.974% 0.1R 0.1× 12
2h +0.130% 0.0R -2.573% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.828% 0.1R -2.879% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +2.177% 0.3R -2.879% 0.4R 0.8× 48
8h +3.804% 0.5R -2.879% 0.4R 1.3× 96
12h +3.804% 0.5R -5.216% 0.7R 0.7× 144
24h +3.804% 0.5R -10.974% 1.5R 0.4× 288
48h +3.804% 0.5R -13.898% 1.8R 0.3× 576
72h +3.804% 0.5R -13.898% 1.8R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 359 min MAE in 769 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 23 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.