Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 2789.77 RUNE at 0.797$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8023 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7937 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 2789.77 RUNE at 0.797$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8023 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7937 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 0.7966$
Qty 2789.7699 RUNE
Size 2222.3307$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8023 (+0.72%)
TP $ 15.9$
SL 0.7937 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8504
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8504
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.46×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.365724 15m : 0.586452 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 56.5% |
| 1h | 27.4% |
| 4h | 62.9% |
| 24h | 54.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.7% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 79.0% | +0.43% |
| 24h | 53.2% | +0.38% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 2.6439% · dist_ema21: 25.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8832 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 1.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6987 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 1.338 · trend: 162.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9251 | ADX: 51.0 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6989 | r1h: 0.125% · r4h: 0.532% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 0.3166% · dist_ema21: 1.506% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6528 | rs_1h: 0.216% · rs_4h: 0.508% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 1.635 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1968 | rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: -21.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7928 | ADX: 36.0 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.923% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7710 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.532% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 0.3472% · dist_ema21: 5.191% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7688 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.508% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 2.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2527 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.411 · trend: 10.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6569 | ADX: 37.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6461 | ATR%: 4.062% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -2.339% | 6.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -2.339% | 6.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -3.283% | 9.0R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -11.171% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -11.171% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.65 | 30/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.21% | +0.57 | 30/09 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | weak | grind | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.01 | 30/09 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187596
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.569 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 3b 2.5ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.81 | 97% | ↑ +0.92 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:21
|
|
4h
#187461
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.641 | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 15b 1.2ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.45 | 82% | ↔ +0.12 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.65 |
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #187460
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.833 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 6b 0.6ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.07 | 19% | ↑ +0.60 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.21% | +0.57 |
30/09 19:00
upd 30/09 20:14
|
|
15m
#187879
|
↑ up | range | range | weak | grind | 0.631 | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 8b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 26% | ↓ -0.56 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.57 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.01 |
30/09 20:30
upd 30/09 20:46
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.841×ATR | p0 | +2.535×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 2.919×ATR | p30 | +1.15×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.536×ATR | p48 | +0.583×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.643×ATR | p4 | -0.71×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83787.9
-0.00352045
83493
0.365724
83726.1
-0.00278436
83493
0.586452
83773.5
-0.003707
83463
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0.84011
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0.6921
0.592
0.7581
0.7691
0.1002
0.0819
1
0.8229
1.9
0.55
0.45
1
7
1
0.4858
0.7244
3.6086
0.7
2.0947
3.9929
1.9
0.1868
0.2805
0.32
0.6075
0.567
0.555
0.8635
0.7691
-3.2925
10.9651
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 19:50:00 | 0.7936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 20:20:00 | 0.80287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 21:35:00 | 0.80663 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:05:00 | 0.79744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:35:00 | 0.8078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 23:10:00 | 0.79851 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 23:35:00 | 0.80196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 00:00:00 | 0.79859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 00:30:00 | 0.80275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 00:45:00 | 0.7966 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 0.74514 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:30:00 | 0.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.80913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:45:00 | 0.78083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:45:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 18:45:00 | 0.78783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 0.79744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:30:00 | 0.8078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 00:30:00 | 0.80275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 00:45:00 | 0.7966 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.76681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 02:00:00 | 0.70801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.70607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.80358 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 06:00:00 | 0.7995 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 0.73837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 0.74285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:00:00 | 0.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7966 | 0.7937 | 0.8023 | 1.97 | 0.6371 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7937 - 0.7966 = -0.0029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7966 - 0.8023 = -0.0057
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0029 = 1.9655
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2222.3307 | 100 | 2789.7699 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0029 = -2758.62
Taille de position USD = -2758.62 x 0.7966 = -2197.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.7937
Avec un position size USD de -2197.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2758.62 x -0.0029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2758.62 x -0.0057 = 15.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.72$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.9 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1381 % | 37.94 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7966 | 0.7937 | 0.8023 | 1.97 | 0.6371 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7937 - 0.7966 = -0.0029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7966 - 0.8023 = -0.0057
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0057 / -0.0029 = 1.9655
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[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8082
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.80965
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8111
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.81255
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.814
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.81545
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8169
[stop_loss] => 0.7937
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 01:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.705% | 7.4R | -1.666% | 4.6R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -2.339% | 6.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -2.339% | 6.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -3.283% | 9.0R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -11.171% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.705% | 7.4R | -11.171% | 30.7R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 days ago
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