30 Sep 2026 at 22:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 451.7 CRV at 0.396$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4059 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3783 (4.47 %)

CRV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 22:15 → 04:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.396$

Qty 451.698 CRV

Size 178.8724$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4059 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.47$

SL 0.3783 (-4.47%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.56

Status loss PnL -2.06% / -3.68$ MAE -2.60% MFE +1.14% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 04:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168674)
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8136

Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
13.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168674)
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8136

Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.03×ATR
4h near 0.31×ATR
1d near 0.46×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
13.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4513
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 70.4%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 45.2%
1h 64.5%
4h 79.0%
24h 54.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.01%
4h 80.7% +0.80%
24h 54.8% +0.42%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.128
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 22:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6765
Score SMA
0.5762
Rank
#16 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3780
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9222 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 11.65% · ema21_slope: 0.5043% · dist_ema21: 11.350%
Force Relative 25% 0.8156 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.38% · rs_3d: 12.63% · beta_24h: 1.076
Volume 20% 0.4916 rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.457 · trend: 59.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6506 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5858
Score SMA
0.5656
Rank
#9 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8136
Rank Norm SMA
0.5154
Calculé le
30/09/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6467 r1h: 0.286% · r4h: 0.851% · r1d: 1.09% · r3d: 14.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0068% · dist_ema21: 0.888%
Force Relative 25% 0.6722 rs_1h: 0.268% · rs_4h: 1.146% · rs_1d: 0.98% · rs_3d: 15.09% · beta_24h: 0.409
Volume 20% 0.2165 rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: -0.678 · trend: -47.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5373 ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6575
Score SMA
0.5367
Rank
#5 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8878
Rank Norm SMA
0.3832
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8202 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.555% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 11.65% · ema21_slope: 0.7276% · dist_ema21: 4.455%
Force Relative 25% 0.8044 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.531% · rs_1d: 3.38% · rs_3d: 12.63% · beta_24h: 1.248
Volume 20% 0.2203 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.557 · trend: -6.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7337 ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5621 ATR%: 4.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.470% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.139% 0.3R -0.126% 0.0R 9.0× 12
2h +1.139% 0.3R -0.225% 0.1R 5.1× 24
4h +1.139% 0.3R -1.010% 0.2R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.139% 0.3R -2.601% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +1.139% 0.3R -4.285% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.139% 0.3R -4.783% 1.1R 0.2× 144
24h +1.139% 0.3R -6.061% 1.4R 0.2× 288
48h +1.139% 0.3R -10.354% 2.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.139% 0.3R -10.354% 2.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1164 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near 0.5ATR 0.65 bull_high +12.59% +0.62 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.3ATR 0.41 bull_high +1.53% +0.89 30/09 16:00
1h ↑ up range range strong balanced compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.0ATR 0.43 range_medium -0.32% +0.02 30/09 21:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.36 range_low -0.27% +0.16 30/09 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187544
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.727 expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid 14b 1.2ATR — near 0.5ATR 1.22 95% ↑ +0.42 above_value +5.78 — #101568 0.65 bull_high +12.59% +0.62
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:18
4h
#187437
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.567 volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% early 5b 0.8ATR — near 0.3ATR 0.43 46% ↑ +0.27 above_value +5.78 — #101568 0.41 bull_high +1.53% +0.89
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:13
1h anchor
#188411
↑ up range range strong balanced 0.672 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early 11b 0.5ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.87 59% ↓ -0.45 above_value +6.30 — #101954 0.43 range_medium -0.32% +0.02
30/09 21:00
upd 30/09 22:10
15m
#188336
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.585 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% late 6b 1.9ATR — — 0.43 3% ↔ -0.01 above_value +6.05 — #101799 0.36 range_low -0.27% +0.16
30/09 21:45
upd 30/09 22:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 14b — 2.973×ATR p21 +1.245×ATR p74
4h ↑ up early 5b — 1.142×ATR p0 +0.798×ATR p50
1h ↑ up early 11b — 1.698×ATR p13 +0.509×ATR p44
15m ↑ up late 6b — 2.362×ATR p32 +1.852×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.37828905
  2. tp_price: 0.4059
  3. atr: 0.00708438
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T08:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.6702
  4. delta_2h: 0.0081
  5. extension_atr: 0.41
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8119
  9. confidence: 0.908

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:15 0.39600000 0%
2 23:15 0.39770000 +0.429%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.396 0.3783 0.4059 0.56 0.3553
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.396
  • Stop Loss: 0.3783
  • Take Profit: 0.4059

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3783 - 0.396 = -0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.396 - 0.4059 = -0.0099

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0177 = 0.5593

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.8724 100 451.698 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0177

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0177 = -451.98

Taille de position USD = -451.98 x 0.396 = -178.98

Donc, tu peux acheter -451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.3783

Avec un position size USD de -178.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -451.98 x -0.0177 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -451.98 x -0.0099 = 4.47

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.47$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -451.98
  • Taille de position USD -178.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.47
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5593

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.68 $ -2.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.601 % 58.19 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.396 0.3783 0.4059 0.56 0.3553
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.396
  • Stop Loss: 0.3783
  • Take Profit: 0.4059

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3783 - 0.396 = -0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.396 - 0.4059 = -0.0099

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0099 / -0.0177 = 0.5593

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.470% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.139% 0.3R -0.126% 0.0R 9.0× 12
2h +1.139% 0.3R -0.225% 0.1R 5.1× 24
4h +1.139% 0.3R -1.010% 0.2R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.139% 0.3R -2.601% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +1.139% 0.3R -4.285% 1.0R 0.3× 96
12h +1.139% 0.3R -4.783% 1.1R 0.2× 144
24h +1.139% 0.3R -6.061% 1.4R 0.2× 288
48h +1.139% 0.3R -10.354% 2.3R 0.1× 576
72h +1.139% 0.3R -10.354% 2.3R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 1164 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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