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Long Trade on kBONK

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30 Sep 2026 at 22:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 41057.22 kBONK at 0.00383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003928 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003637 (5.09 %)

kBONK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 22:15 → 04:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.003832$

Qty 41057.2235 kBONK

Size 157.3313$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.003928 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.94$

SL 0.003637 (-5.09%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -2.61% / -4.11$ MAE -2.90% MFE +1.41% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 04:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168695)
#7 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8202

Quality Score
0.595
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168695)
#7 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8202

Quality Score
0.595
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.09 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.09 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.40×ATR
4h near -0.62×ATR
1d near -0.03×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4513
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 70.4%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 45.2%
1h 64.5%
4h 79.0%
24h 54.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.01%
4h 80.7% +0.80%
24h 54.8% +0.42%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.128
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 22:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6635
Score SMA
0.6344
Rank
#18 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7733
Rank Norm SMA
0.5232
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8570 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.39% · r3d: 1.52% · ema21_slope: 1.6398% · dist_ema21: 13.173%
Force Relative 25% 0.7168 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.41% · rs_3d: 2.51% · beta_24h: 2.029
Volume 20% 0.5512 rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.813 · trend: 58.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7799 ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.5949
Score SMA
0.5426
Rank
#7 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8202
Rank Norm SMA
0.5045
Calculé le
30/09/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5933 r1h: -0.700% · r4h: 2.162% · r1d: 1.43% · r3d: 4.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0071% · dist_ema21: 0.615%
Force Relative 25% 0.5801 rs_1h: -0.718% · rs_4h: 2.457% · rs_1d: 1.32% · rs_3d: 5.08% · beta_24h: 1.731
Volume 20% 0.5724 rvol_20: 2.06× · zscore_50: 0.860 · trend: -1.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6251 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.148% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5914
Score SMA
0.5780
Rank
#16 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7421
Rank Norm SMA
0.5737
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7128 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.414% · r1d: 4.39% · r3d: 1.52% · ema21_slope: 0.2526% · dist_ema21: 2.834%
Force Relative 25% 0.6612 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.390% · rs_1d: 4.41% · rs_3d: 2.51% · beta_24h: 2.129
Volume 20% 0.2246 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.538 · trend: -4.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7049 ADX: 28.7 (trend) · Chop: 42.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6160 ATR%: 4.152% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.089% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.331% 0.3R -0.026% 0.0R 51.0× 12
2h +1.409% 0.3R -0.183% 0.0R 7.7× 24
4h +1.409% 0.3R -0.522% 0.1R 2.7× 48
6h ★ +1.409% 0.3R -2.897% 0.6R 0.5× 72
8h +1.409% 0.3R -3.914% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.409% 0.3R -3.914% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +1.409% 0.3R -4.906% 1.0R 0.3× 288
48h +3.732% 0.7R -8.012% 1.6R 0.5× 576
72h +3.732% 0.7R -8.012% 1.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 769 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near 0.0ATR 0.67 bull_high +12.59% +0.99 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early — near -0.6ATR 0.56 bull_high +1.53% +0.27 30/09 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.4ATR 0.55 range_medium -0.32% +0.00 30/09 21:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive normal range_high
46%
noisy_chop 46% early near -0.1ATR — 0.53 range_low -0.27% +0.22 30/09 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187641
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.798 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 40% mid 7b 1.2ATR — near 0.0ATR 1.45 89% ↑ +0.90 value +1.05 — #101589 0.67 bull_high +12.59% +0.99
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:22
4h
#187479
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.616 expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early 3b 0.6ATR — near -0.6ATR 0.46 66% ↔ -0.06 value +1.05 — #101589 0.56 bull_high +1.53% +0.27
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:14
1h anchor
#188432
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.600 normal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 3b 0.3ATR — near 0.4ATR 2.06 89% ↓ -0.42 value +1.39 — #101975 0.55 range_medium -0.32% +0.00
30/09 21:00
upd 30/09 22:11
15m
#188357
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.795 normal range_high
46%
noisy_chop 46% early 3b 0.3ATR near -0.1ATR — 1.26 74% ↑ +0.15 value +1.70 — #101820 0.53 range_low -0.27% +0.22
30/09 21:45
upd 30/09 22:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 7b — 1.255×ATR p0 +1.226×ATR p62
4h ↓ down early 3b — 1.476×ATR p0 +0.625×ATR p36
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.496×ATR p0 +0.284×ATR p21
15m ↓ down early 3b — 2.095×ATR p23 +0.279×ATR p16

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00363715
  2. tp_price: 0.0039278
  3. atr: 7.794E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T08:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 9
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.664
  4. delta_2h: 0.0425
  5. extension_atr: 0.31
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8153
  9. confidence: 0.895

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003832 0.003637 0.003928 0.49 0.003098
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003832
  • Stop Loss: 0.003637
  • Take Profit: 0.003928

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003637 - 0.003832 = -0.000195

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003832 - 0.003928 = -9.6E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6E-5 / -0.000195 = 0.4923

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
157.3313 100 41057.2235 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000195

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000195 = -41025.64

Taille de position USD = -41025.64 x 0.003832 = -157.21

Donc, tu peux acheter -41025.64 avec un stoploss a 0.003637

Avec un position size USD de -157.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -41025.64 x -0.000195 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -41025.64 x -9.6E-5 = 3.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -41025.64
  • Taille de position USD -157.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4923

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.09 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-4.11 $ -2.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8967 % 56.92 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003832 0.003637 0.003928 0.49 0.003098
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003832
  • Stop Loss: 0.003637
  • Take Profit: 0.003928

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003637 - 0.003832 = -0.000195

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003832 - 0.003928 = -9.6E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.6E-5 / -0.000195 = 0.4923

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.089% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.331% 0.3R -0.026% 0.0R 51.0× 12
2h +1.409% 0.3R -0.183% 0.0R 7.7× 24
4h +1.409% 0.3R -0.522% 0.1R 2.7× 48
6h ★ +1.409% 0.3R -2.897% 0.6R 0.5× 72
8h +1.409% 0.3R -3.914% 0.8R 0.4× 96
12h +1.409% 0.3R -3.914% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +1.409% 0.3R -4.906% 1.0R 0.3× 288
48h +3.732% 0.7R -8.012% 1.6R 0.5× 576
72h +3.732% 0.7R -8.012% 1.6R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 769 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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