Long Trade on STX

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30 Sep 2026 at 23:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 265.07 STX at 0.377$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3468 (8.01 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 23:15 → 02:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.377$

Qty 265.0735 STX

Size 99.9407$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 99.93$

SL 0.3468 (-8.01%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status win PnL +5.98% / +5.98$ MAE -0.00% MFE +7.19% 0.9R expires 01 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168754)

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9901

Quality Score

0.788

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168754)

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9901

Quality Score

0.788

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.01 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.01 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	-0.26×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4517

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 60.2%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.6%
1h	74.2%
4h	56.5%
24h	59.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.0%	+0.02%
4h	67.7%	+0.13%
24h	51.6%	+0.29%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.158

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.8612

Score SMA

0.6657

Rank

#1 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

1.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6746

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9717	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227%
Force Relative	25%	0.9615	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8622	ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.7877

Score SMA

0.5596

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9901

Rank Norm SMA

0.5027

Calculé le

30/09/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9003	r1h: 1.348% · r4h: 1.086% · r1d: 21.23% · r3d: 15.24% · ema21_slope: 0.8210% · dist_ema21: 7.253%
Force Relative	25%	0.8359	rs_1h: 1.389% · rs_4h: 1.344% · rs_1d: 21.08% · rs_3d: 15.12% · beta_24h: 0.430
Volume	20%	0.3269	rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: 0.039 · trend: 43.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9553	ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.762% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.8439

Score SMA

0.6059

Rank

#1 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

1.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.5650

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8008	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.788% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0844% · dist_ema21: 12.201%
Force Relative	25%	0.8941	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.764% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 2.095
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.84× · zscore_50: 3.353 · trend: 265.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6848	ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 26.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.7742	ATR%: 3.678% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.011% (0.0302)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.902%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+6.210%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
3h ★	+7.194%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	36
4h	+11.257%	1.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+11.257%	1.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+11.257%	1.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	6.9×	144
24h	+11.257%	1.4R	-2.122%	0.3R	5.3×	288
48h	+11.257%	1.4R	-6.897%	0.9R	1.6×	576
72h	+11.257%	1.4R	-6.897%	0.9R	1.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.38	bull_high	+1.53%	+0.75	30/09 16:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.33	range_medium	-0.36%	+0.95	30/09 22:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 43%	early	near 0.1ATR	—	0.37	range_low	-0.27%	+0.42	30/09 22:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187556	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late 14b 2.0ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	4.29	100%	↑ +0.62	above_value	+5.97	—	#101571	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:19
4h #187443	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.541	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 43%	late 11b 3.1ATR	—	—	4.84	100%	↑ +0.48	above_value	+5.97	inside	#101571	0.38	bull_high	+1.53%	+0.75	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:13
1h anchor #188806	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.513	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	69%	noisy_chop 47%	late 1b 1.9ATR	—	—	0.47	89%	↑ +0.97	above_value	+6.17	—	#102113	0.33	range_medium	-0.36%	+0.95	30/09 22:00 upd 30/09 23:09
15m #188731	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.565	normal	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 43%	early 5b 0.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.22	71%	↓ -0.58	above_value	+5.55	—	#101957	0.37	range_low	-0.27%	+0.42	30/09 22:45 upd 30/09 23:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	14b	—	4.895×ATR	p62	+1.959×ATR	p82
4h	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.99×ATR	p85	+3.12×ATR	p94
1h	↓ down	late	1b	—	0.954×ATR	p2	+1.889×ATR	p83
15m	↑ up	early	5b	—	1.64×ATR	p8	+0.855×ATR	p32

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.34684969
atr: 0.0100601
expires_at: 2026-10-01T06:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 77
score: 0.9003
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.377	0.3468			0.304

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.377
Stop Loss: 0.3468
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3468 - 0.377 = -0.0302
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.377 - = 0.377
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.377 / -0.0302 = -12.4834

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
99.9407	99.9407	265.0735	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0302

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0302 = -264.9

Taille de position USD = -264.9 x 0.377 = -99.87

Donc, tu peux acheter -264.9 avec un stoploss a 0.3468

Avec un position size USD de -99.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -264.9 x -0.0302 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -264.9 x 0.377 = -99.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -99.87$

Résumé

Taille de position -264.9
Taille de position USD -99.87
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -99.87
Risk-Reward Ratio -12.4834

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	99.93 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
8.01 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
5.98 $	5.98

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.377	0.3468			0.304

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.377
Stop Loss: 0.3468
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3468 - 0.377 = -0.0302
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.377 - = 0.377
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.377 / -0.0302 = -12.4834

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.011% (0.0302)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.902%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+6.210%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
3h ★	+7.194%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	36
4h	+11.257%	1.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+11.257%	1.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+11.257%	1.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	6.9×	144
24h	+11.257%	1.4R	-2.122%	0.3R	5.3×	288
48h	+11.257%	1.4R	-6.897%	0.9R	1.6×	576
72h	+11.257%	1.4R	-6.897%	0.9R	1.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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