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Long Trade on MON

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30 Sep 2026 at 23:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3692.05 MON at 0.0323$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03312 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03015 (6.69 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 23:15 → 01:25 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03231$

Qty 3692.0464 MON

Size 119.2974$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03312 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.99$

SL 0.03015 (-6.69%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.51% / +2.99$ MAE -1.27% MFE +7.24% 1.1R expires 01 Oct 05:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168807)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9885

Quality Score
0.803
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168807)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9885

Quality Score
0.803
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.86×ATR
1d near -0.15×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
20.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4517
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 60.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.6%
1h 74.2%
4h 56.5%
24h 59.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.02%
4h 67.7% +0.13%
24h 51.6% +0.29%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.158
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7630
Score SMA
0.5745
Rank
#7 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9200
Rank Norm SMA
0.3854
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9653 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.7925% · dist_ema21: 21.245%
Force Relative 25% 0.9257 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.7071 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.322 · trend: 84.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6704 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.8032
Score SMA
0.5780
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9885
Rank Norm SMA
0.5766
Calculé le
30/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9877 r1h: 2.406% · r4h: 7.466% · r1d: 20.49% · r3d: 17.67% · ema21_slope: 0.6334% · dist_ema21: 9.751%
Force Relative 25% 0.9770 rs_1h: 2.447% · rs_4h: 7.724% · rs_1d: 20.34% · rs_3d: 17.55% · beta_24h: 1.776
Volume 20% 0.5908 rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 0.838 · trend: 121.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8123 ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.831% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7854
Score SMA
0.5780
Rank
#2 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9473
Rank Norm SMA
0.4875
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8959 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.277% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1691% · dist_ema21: 14.009%
Force Relative 25% 0.9918 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 10.253% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 3.119
Volume 20% 0.6937 rvol_20: 1.77× · zscore_50: 2.141 · trend: 60.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5648 ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4527 ATR%: 4.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.685% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.981% 0.3R -0.585% 0.1R 3.4× 12
2h +2.445% 0.4R -0.975% 0.2R 2.5× 24
4h +7.239% 1.1R -0.975% 0.2R 7.4× 48
6h ★ +7.239% 1.1R -1.269% 0.2R 5.7× 72
8h +7.239% 1.1R -2.683% 0.4R 2.7× 96
12h +7.239% 1.1R -2.683% 0.4R 2.7× 144
24h +9.232% 1.4R -2.683% 0.4R 3.4× 288
48h +11.213% 1.7R -5.320% 0.8R 2.1× 576
72h +11.213% 1.7R -5.320% 0.8R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 994 min MAE in 419 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -0.2ATR 0.58 bull_high +12.59% +0.98 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.9ATR 0.49 bull_high +1.53% +0.97 30/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.55 range_medium -0.36% +0.96 30/09 22:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.50 range_low -0.27% +0.61 30/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187753
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.714 expansion bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 45% late 15b 2.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 2.00 91% ↑ +0.71 above_value +4.21 — #101624 0.58 bull_high +12.59% +0.98
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#187614
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.533 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 44% late 4b 2.5ATR — near -1.9ATR 1.77 98% ↓ -0.46 above_value +4.21 inside #101624 0.49 bull_high +1.53% +0.97
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:21
1h anchor
#188861
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.813 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 48% late 2b 2.8ATR — — 1.34 95% ↑ +0.76 above_value +4.92 — #102167 0.55 range_medium -0.36% +0.96
30/09 22:00
upd 30/09 23:11
15m
#188781
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.715 volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% early 3b 0.9ATR — — 0.28 67% ↔ +0.04 above_value +4.38 — #102011 0.50 range_low -0.27% +0.61
30/09 22:45
upd 30/09 23:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 15b — 4.16×ATR p61 +2.039×ATR p94
4h ↑ up late 4b — 3.631×ATR p59 +2.486×ATR p96
1h ↓ down late 2b — 0.622×ATR p2 +2.823×ATR p98
15m ↑ up early 3b — 1.092×ATR p6 +0.935×ATR p43

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.03014518
  2. tp_price: 0.0331198
  3. atr: 0.00086673
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T09:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.9376
  4. delta_2h: 0.0205
  5. extension_atr: 2.78
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9885
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03231 0.03015 0.03312 0.37 0.02098
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03231
  • Stop Loss: 0.03015
  • Take Profit: 0.03312

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03015 - 0.03231 = -0.00216

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03231 - 0.03312 = -0.00081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00081 / -0.00216 = 0.375

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
119.2974 100 3692.0464 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00216

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00216 = -3703.7

Taille de position USD = -3703.7 x 0.03231 = -119.67

Donc, tu peux acheter -3703.7 avec un stoploss a 0.03015

Avec un position size USD de -119.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3703.7 x -0.00216 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3703.7 x -0.00081 = 3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3703.7
  • Taille de position USD -119.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.375

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.69 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
2.99 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9749 % 14.58 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03231 0.03015 0.03312 0.37 0.02098
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03231
  • Stop Loss: 0.03015
  • Take Profit: 0.03312

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03015 - 0.03231 = -0.00216

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03231 - 0.03312 = -0.00081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00081 / -0.00216 = 0.375

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.685% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.981% 0.3R -0.585% 0.1R 3.4× 12
2h +2.445% 0.4R -0.975% 0.2R 2.5× 24
4h +7.239% 1.1R -0.975% 0.2R 7.4× 48
6h ★ +7.239% 1.1R -1.269% 0.2R 5.7× 72
8h +7.239% 1.1R -2.683% 0.4R 2.7× 96
12h +7.239% 1.1R -2.683% 0.4R 2.7× 144
24h +9.232% 1.4R -2.683% 0.4R 3.4× 288
48h +11.213% 1.7R -5.320% 0.8R 2.1× 576
72h +11.213% 1.7R -5.320% 0.8R 2.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 994 min MAE in 419 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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