Short Trade on LDO

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30 Sep 2026 at 23:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 312.2 LDO at 0.446$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4349 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4717 (5.74 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 23:15 → 05:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4461$

Qty 312.198 LDO

Size 139.2684$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4349 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.5$

SL 0.4717 (-5.74%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.44

Status loss PnL -0.74% / -1.03$ MAE -1.94% MFE +2.25% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168752)

#38 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4257

Quality Score

0.497

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168752)

#38 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4257

Quality Score

0.497

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#38 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.74 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.74 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.23×ATR
4h	near	-0.40×ATR
1d	clear	3.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

5.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 22:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4517

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 60.2%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.6%
1h	74.2%
4h	56.5%
24h	59.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.0%	+0.02%
4h	67.7%	+0.13%
24h	51.6%	+0.29%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.158

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6131

Score SMA

0.6928

Rank

#32 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5867

Rank Norm SMA

0.6916

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7463	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.93% · r3d: -7.52% · ema21_slope: 1.3198% · dist_ema21: 7.713%
Force Relative	25%	0.6361	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -6.54% · beta_24h: 1.490
Volume	20%	0.5868	rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.903 · trend: 79.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7525	ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.4965

Score SMA

0.5861

Rank

#38 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4257

Rank Norm SMA

0.6102

Calculé le

30/09/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2498	r1h: -2.769% · r4h: -4.450% · r1d: -6.81% · r3d: -8.97% · ema21_slope: -0.1903% · dist_ema21: -4.201%
Force Relative	25%	0.1363	rs_1h: -2.728% · rs_4h: -4.192% · rs_1d: -6.96% · rs_3d: -9.09% · beta_24h: 0.966
Volume	20%	0.9832	rvol_20: 4.03× · zscore_50: 4.014 · trend: 87.43%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6055	ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4947

Score SMA

0.6031

Rank

#42 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4438

Rank Norm SMA

0.6044

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5295	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.346% · r1d: -1.93% · r3d: -7.52% · ema21_slope: 0.0086% · dist_ema21: -1.485%
Force Relative	25%	0.5380	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.370% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -6.54% · beta_24h: 2.422
Volume	20%	0.3809	rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: 6.13%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5040	ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4961	ATR%: 4.512% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.739% (0.0256)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.248%	0.4R	-0.034%	0.0R	66.9×	12
2h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.854%	0.3R	1.2×	24
4h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	48
6h ★	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	72
8h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	96
12h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	144
24h	+3.387%	0.6R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.8×	288
48h	+4.860%	0.9R	-6.967%	1.2R	0.7×	576
72h	+4.860%	0.9R	-6.967%	1.2R	0.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 1109 min MAE in 124 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.59

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.65	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.86	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.51	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.45	30/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near -0.2ATR	—	0.46	range_medium	-0.36%	-0.54	30/09 22:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 51%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.44	range_low	-0.27%	-0.20	30/09 22:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187548	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.635	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	94%	↑ +0.88	above_value	-2.94	—	#101569	0.65	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.86	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:18
4h #187439	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.443	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b -0.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	1.13	91%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-2.94	—	#101569	0.51	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.45	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:13
1h anchor #188804	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.497	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late 4b -1.8ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	4.03	98%	↔ -0.06	below_value	-4.20	—	#102111	0.46	range_medium	-0.36%	-0.54	30/09 22:00 upd 30/09 23:09
15m #188729	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.728	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 51%	late 8b -3.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	6.80	100%	↑ +0.40	below_value	-3.22	—	#101955	0.44	range_low	-0.27%	-0.20	30/09 22:45 upd 30/09 23:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	3.258×ATR	p32	+0.717×ATR	p34
4h	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.735×ATR	p0	-0.333×ATR	p23
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	2.184×ATR	p41	-1.769×ATR	p83
15m	↓ down	late	8b	—	5.195×ATR	p95	-3.438×ATR	p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.47171476
tp_price: 0.43493775
atr: 0.01024991
expires_at: 2026-10-01T09:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 77
score: 0.2498
delta_2h: -0.2403
extension_atr: -1.26
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4389
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	23:15	0.44609000	-0.002%
2	00:15	0.44389000	-0.495%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4461	0.4717	0.4349	0.44	0.3726

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4461
Stop Loss: 0.4717
Take Profit: 0.4349

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4717 - 0.4461 = 0.0256
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4461 - 0.4349 = 0.0112
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0112 / 0.0256 = 0.4375

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
139.2684	100	312.198	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0256

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0256 = 312.5

Taille de position USD = 312.5 x 0.4461 = 139.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 312.5 avec un stoploss a 0.4717

Avec un position size USD de 139.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 312.5 x 0.0256 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 312.5 x 0.0112 = 3.5

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.5$

Résumé

Taille de position 312.5
Taille de position USD 139.41
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.5
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4375

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.5 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.74 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.03 $	-0.74

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.939 %	33.79 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4461	0.4717	0.4349	0.44	0.3726

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4461
Stop Loss: 0.4717
Take Profit: 0.4349

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4717 - 0.4461 = 0.0256
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4461 - 0.4349 = 0.0112
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0112 / 0.0256 = 0.4375

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.739% (0.0256)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.248%	0.4R	-0.034%	0.0R	66.9×	12
2h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.854%	0.3R	1.2×	24
4h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	48
6h ★	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	72
8h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	96
12h	+2.248%	0.4R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.2×	144
24h	+3.387%	0.6R	-1.939%	0.3R	1.8×	288
48h	+4.860%	0.9R	-6.967%	1.2R	0.7×	576
72h	+4.860%	0.9R	-6.967%	1.2R	0.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 1109 min MAE in 124 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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