Short Trade on MET

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30 Sep 2026 at 23:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 591.59 MET at 0.316$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3081 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3296 (4.3 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 23:15 → 03:25 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.316$

Qty 591.5895 MET

Size 186.96$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3081 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.67$

SL 0.3296 (-4.3%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.67$ MAE -1.06% MFE +4.71% 1.1R expires 01 Oct 05:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168808)

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1418

Quality Score

0.423

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168808)

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1418

Quality Score

0.423

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.30 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.55×ATR
4h	clear	1.94×ATR
1d	clear	2.54×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 22:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4517

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 60.2%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.6%
1h	74.2%
4h	56.5%
24h	59.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.0%	+0.02%
4h	67.7%	+0.13%
24h	51.6%	+0.29%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.158

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4947

Score SMA

0.6448

Rank

#68 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1067

Rank Norm SMA

0.5466

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6501	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: 3.2380% · dist_ema21: 8.635%
Force Relative	25%	0.4203	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 1.945
Volume	20%	0.2416	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -3.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9754	ADX: 57.0 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.4234

Score SMA

0.5147

Rank

#77 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1418

Rank Norm SMA

0.4129

Calculé le

30/09/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3566	r1h: 0.089% · r4h: -0.982% · r1d: -6.69% · r3d: -10.89% · ema21_slope: -0.0783% · dist_ema21: -1.555%
Force Relative	25%	0.3130	rs_1h: 0.129% · rs_4h: -0.724% · rs_1d: -6.84% · rs_3d: -11.01% · beta_24h: 1.559
Volume	20%	0.4859	rvol_20: 1.71× · zscore_50: 0.203 · trend: 9.01%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4516	ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.831% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3081

Score SMA

0.5295

Rank

#76 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0197

Rank Norm SMA

0.4287

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3592	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.849% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: -0.3594% · dist_ema21: -3.592%
Force Relative	25%	0.2771	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.873% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 3.423
Volume	20%	0.1888	rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.508 · trend: -49.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3786	ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 71.2 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.3655	ATR%: 4.903% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.304% (0.0136)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.057%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.253%	0.1R	-1.057%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+1.320%	0.3R	-1.057%	0.3R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+4.712%	1.1R	-1.057%	0.3R	4.5×	72
8h	+6.684%	1.6R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.3×	96
12h	+7.149%	1.7R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.8×	144
24h	+7.149%	1.7R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.8×	288
48h	+10.794%	2.5R	-4.000%	0.9R	2.7×	576
72h	+10.794%	2.5R	-4.000%	0.9R	2.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 714 min MAE in 24 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.63

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.35	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.85	30/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	near -0.5ATR	—	0.47	range_medium	-0.36%	-0.08	30/09 22:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.55	range_low	-0.27%	-0.16	30/09 22:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187756	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.820	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.45	75%	↔ +0.00	below_value	-2.62	—	#101625	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #187619	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.656	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 41%	early 11b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.64	56%	↓ -0.48	below_value	-2.62	—	#101625	0.35	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.85	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:22
1h anchor #188862	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.528	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 9b -0.9ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.71	62%	↑ +0.28	below_value	-3.03	—	#102168	0.47	range_medium	-0.36%	-0.08	30/09 22:00 upd 30/09 23:11
15m #188782	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.500	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 6b -1.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.54	61%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-2.89	—	#102012	0.55	range_low	-0.27%	-0.16	30/09 22:45 upd 30/09 23:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.672×ATR	p0	+0.612×ATR	p38
4h	↑ up	early	11b	—	0.552×ATR	p0	-0.812×ATR	p48
1h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	2.836×ATR	p61	-0.868×ATR	p50
15m	↓ down	mid	6b	—	1.771×ATR	p4	-1.13×ATR	p60

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.32955289
tp_price: 0.30812925
atr: 0.00540915
expires_at: 2026-10-01T09:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 77
score: 0.3343
delta_2h: -0.0428
extension_atr: -0.9
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1287
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.316	0.3296	0.3081	0.58	0.3087

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.316
Stop Loss: 0.3296
Take Profit: 0.3081

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3296 - 0.316 = 0.0136
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.316 - 0.3081 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0136 = 0.5809

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
186.96	100	591.5895	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0136

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0136 = 588.24

Taille de position USD = 588.24 x 0.316 = 185.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.3296

Avec un position size USD de 185.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 588.24 x 0.0136 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 588.24 x 0.0079 = 4.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.65$

Résumé

Taille de position 588.24
Taille de position USD 185.88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.65
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5809

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.67 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.3 %	8.05 $

PNL	PNL %
4.67 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.057 %	24.56 %	12

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.316	0.3296	0.3081	0.58	0.3087

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.316
Stop Loss: 0.3296
Take Profit: 0.3081

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3296 - 0.316 = 0.0136
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.316 - 0.3081 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0136 = 0.5809

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.304% (0.0136)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.057%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.253%	0.1R	-1.057%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+1.320%	0.3R	-1.057%	0.3R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+4.712%	1.1R	-1.057%	0.3R	4.5×	72
8h	+6.684%	1.6R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.3×	96
12h	+7.149%	1.7R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.8×	144
24h	+7.149%	1.7R	-1.057%	0.3R	6.8×	288
48h	+10.794%	2.5R	-4.000%	0.9R	2.7×	576
72h	+10.794%	2.5R	-4.000%	0.9R	2.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 714 min MAE in 24 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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