Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 02:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2612.19 2Z at 0.0587$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05724 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06177 (5.23 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 02:15 → 08:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.0587$

Qty 2612.1852 2Z

Size 153.3431$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05724 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.81$

SL 0.06177 (-5.23%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.48

Status loss PnL -0.60% / -0.91$ MAE -2.19% MFE +1.19% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169113)

#65 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3969

Quality Score

0.451

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169113)

#65 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3969

Quality Score

0.451

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#65 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-1

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#65 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.35×ATR
4h	near	0.36×ATR
1d	clear	1.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 01:00 Score : -1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 01:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4529

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 79.5%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.7%
1h	73.3%
4h	86.7%
24h	73.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	55.0%	+0.00%
4h	71.7%	+1.42%
24h	48.3%	+1.04%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.215

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5520

Score SMA

0.6841

Rank

#46 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6512

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6375	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative	25%	0.4319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.6983	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7538	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.4513

Score SMA

0.5679

Rank

#65 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3969

Rank Norm SMA

0.5511

Calculé le

01/10/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2689	r1h: 1.747% · r4h: 0.216% · r1d: -9.12% · r3d: -11.11% · ema21_slope: -0.4734% · dist_ema21: -3.098%
Force Relative	25%	0.3198	rs_1h: 1.528% · rs_4h: -0.714% · rs_1d: -10.25% · rs_3d: -12.48% · beta_24h: 0.900
Volume	20%	0.6137	rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 1.150 · trend: 81.14%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8162	ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.210% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.5360

Score SMA

0.6456

Rank

#32 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4627

Rank Norm SMA

0.7090

Calculé le

01/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4465	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.738% · r1d: -8.25% · r3d: -7.79% · ema21_slope: -0.1488% · dist_ema21: -7.765%
Force Relative	25%	0.3716	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.888% · rs_1d: -8.80% · rs_3d: -8.32% · beta_24h: 2.619
Volume	20%	0.8910	rvol_20: 2.79× · zscore_50: 2.283 · trend: 79.12%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6521	ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3317	ATR%: 5.005% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.230% (0.0031)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.394%	0.1R	-0.438%	0.1R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.968%	0.2R	-0.532%	0.1R	1.8×	24
4h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.191%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.191%	0.4R	0.5×	72
8h	+2.428%	0.5R	-2.191%	0.4R	1.1×	96
12h	+8.186%	1.6R	-2.191%	0.4R	3.7×	144
24h	+8.186%	1.6R	-2.191%	0.4R	3.7×	288
48h	+24.448%	4.7R	-2.215%	0.4R	11.0×	576
72h	+24.448%	4.7R	-2.215%	0.4R	11.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 624 min MAE in 199 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.99

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 45%	late	near 0.4ATR	—	0.33	bull_high	+1.65%	-0.88	30/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	near -0.3ATR	—	0.32	range_medium	+0.59%	-0.73	01/10 01:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	—	0.43	range_low	+0.62%	-0.23	01/10 01:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187747	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.802	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.84	98%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #189346	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.430	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 45%	late 11b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	2.79	99%	↔ -0.14	below_value	-6.12	—	#102321	0.33	bull_high	+1.65%	-0.88	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 00:18
1h anchor #190113	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.493	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 3b -1.4ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.51	88%	↑ +0.78	below_value	-6.72	—	#102710	0.32	range_medium	+0.59%	-0.73	01/10 01:00 upd 01/10 02:12
15m #190035	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.464	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.32	95%	↔ +0.09	below_value	-7.09	—	#102555	0.43	range_low	+0.62%	-0.23	01/10 01:45 upd 01/10 02:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.454×ATR	p35	+0.443×ATR	p30
4h	↓ down	late	11b	—	3.78×ATR	p50	-1.87×ATR	p84
1h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.624×ATR	p8	-1.373×ATR	p68
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.815×ATR	p16	+0.217×ATR	p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06176557
tp_price: 0.05723542
atr: 0.00122503
expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:12+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 77
score: 0.2409
delta_2h: -0.0039
extension_atr: -1.39
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3469
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	02:15	0.05870300	+0.005%
2	04:15	0.05851000	-0.324%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0587	0.06177	0.05724	0.48	0.02895

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0587
Stop Loss: 0.06177
Take Profit: 0.05724

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06177 - 0.0587 = 0.00307
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0587 - 0.05724 = 0.00146
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00146 / 0.00307 = 0.4756

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
153.3431	100	2612.1852	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00307

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00307 = 2605.86

Taille de position USD = 2605.86 x 0.0587 = 152.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 2605.86 avec un stoploss a 0.06177

Avec un position size USD de 152.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2605.86 x 0.00307 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2605.86 x 0.00146 = 3.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.8$

Résumé

Taille de position 2605.86
Taille de position USD 152.96
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.8
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4756

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	3.81 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.23 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.91 $	-0.60

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.1908 %	41.89 %	21

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0587	0.06177	0.05724	0.48	0.02895

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0587
Stop Loss: 0.06177
Take Profit: 0.05724

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06177 - 0.0587 = 0.00307
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0587 - 0.05724 = 0.00146
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00146 / 0.00307 = 0.4756

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.230% (0.0031)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.394%	0.1R	-0.438%	0.1R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.968%	0.2R	-0.532%	0.1R	1.8×	24
4h	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.191%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.187%	0.2R	-2.191%	0.4R	0.5×	72
8h	+2.428%	0.5R	-2.191%	0.4R	1.1×	96
12h	+8.186%	1.6R	-2.191%	0.4R	3.7×	144
24h	+8.186%	1.6R	-2.191%	0.4R	3.7×	288
48h	+24.448%	4.7R	-2.215%	0.4R	11.0×	576
72h	+24.448%	4.7R	-2.215%	0.4R	11.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 624 min MAE in 199 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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