Long Trade on STRK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3580.84 STRK at 0.0443$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0499 (12.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04208 (5.03 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 02:42:33
hyperliquid
STRK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 02:42
→ 10:00
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.04431$
Qty 3580.8443 STRK
Size 158.6672$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0499 (+12.62%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.04208 (-5.03%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-5.03%
/ -7.99$
MAE -6.18%
MFE +1.51%
0.3R
expires
01 Oct 14:42
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 169086)
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00
score du 01/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8246
Quality Score
0.661
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:31
01/10 02:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 169086)
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00
score du 01/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8246
Quality Score
0.661
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:31
01/10 02:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4531
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
68.9%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 65.0% |
| 1h | 35.0% |
| 4h | 73.3% |
| 24h | 86.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 55.0% | +1.13% |
| 24h | 58.3% | +2.14% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.218
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 02:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6343
Score SMA
0.5953
Rank
#28
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6400
Rank Norm SMA
0.3732
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8795 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.03% · r3d: 2.35% · ema21_slope: 1.7016% · dist_ema21: 13.304% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7764 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.05% · rs_3d: 3.33% · beta_24h: 2.517 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2591 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.052 · trend: -3.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8302 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 32.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6608
Score SMA
0.5352
Rank
#8
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8246
Rank Norm SMA
0.4736
Calculé le
01/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6788 | r1h: 0.275% · r4h: 1.910% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: 10.73% · ema21_slope: 0.1607% · dist_ema21: 1.829% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6177 | rs_1h: 0.056% · rs_4h: 0.979% · rs_1d: 1.35% · rs_3d: 9.36% · beta_24h: 1.260 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6260 | rvol_20: 1.92× · zscore_50: 1.013 · trend: 48.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5170 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6254
Score SMA
0.4858
Rank
#14
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7878
Rank Norm SMA
0.3075
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7904 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.831% · r1d: 3.93% · r3d: 11.16% · ema21_slope: 0.2603% · dist_ema21: 4.537% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7494 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.680% · rs_1d: 3.37% · rs_3d: 10.63% · beta_24h: 2.231 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2823 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.215 · trend: -33.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4819 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7216 | ATR%: 3.835% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.033%
(0.0022)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -1.377% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -2.325% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -3.069% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -5.755% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.512% | 0.3R | -6.184% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -7.222% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -7.222% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -8.260% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +27.398% | 5.4R | -8.260% | 1.6R | 3.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1347 min
MAE in 772 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.74
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.64 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.32 | range_medium | +0.59% | +0.25 | 01/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.52 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.08 | 01/10 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187665
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.824 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 10b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.48 | 89% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | +2.57 | — | #101595 | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:23
|
|
4h
#189264
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.588 | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 3b 1.1ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.96 | 69% | ↔ -0.02 | above_value | +3.51 | — | #102293 | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.64 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor #190085
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.721 | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 15b 1.1ATR | — | near -1.1ATR | 1.92 | 86% | ↑ +0.27 | above_value | +3.36 | — | #102682 | 0.32 | range_medium | +0.59% | +0.25 |
01/10 01:00
upd 01/10 02:11
|
|
15m
#190242
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.598 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 2b 1.4ATR | near 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.94 | 83% | ↑ +0.28 | above_value | +3.36 | — | #102682 | 0.52 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.08 |
01/10 02:15
upd 01/10 02:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.98×ATR | p0 | +0.924×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.733×ATR | p0 | +1.07×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 3.511×ATR | p86 | +1.075×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.697×ATR | p0 | +1.405×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.879
- reason: up_bo width=2.88×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04207589
- tp_price: 0.04989527
- atr:
- score: 0.87896706341897
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T18:42:25.523515
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87896706341897
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0118
- obi_top10 : 0.0067
- micro_price : 0.04426287
- spread_pct : 0.079126
- mid_price : 0.0442505
- bid_wall_price : 0.0441
- bid_wall_size : 2882376
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0445
- ask_wall_size : 2830911.7
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0039
- obi_top5_std : 0.0078
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6969
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.043255
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.04105
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0421525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790701200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790834400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8783
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.879
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790820000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.043255
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8421
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3771
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00076608 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.8421
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3771
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:42 | 0.04431000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:53 | 0.04431000 | 0% |
| 3 | 03:04 | 0.04431000 | 0% |
| 4 | 03:39 | 0.04425000 | -0.135% |
| 5 | 03:50 | 0.04425000 | -0.135% |
| 6 | 04:02 | 0.04425000 | -0.135% |
| 7 | 04:17 | 0.04403000 | -0.632% |
| 8 | 04:28 | 0.04403000 | -0.632% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6969ms
Confidence avant OB :
88%
→
88%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.012
avg 0.004
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.007
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0443
Micro Price
0.0443
Spread
0.0791%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0441
Size
2,882,376.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0445
Size
2,830,911.70
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04431 | 0.04208 | 0.0499 | 2.51 | 0.04584 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04431
- Stop Loss: 0.04208
- Take Profit: 0.0499
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04208 - 0.04431 = -0.00223
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04431 - 0.0499 = -0.00559
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00559 / -0.00223 = 2.5067
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158.6672 | 100 | 3580.8443 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00223
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00223 = -3587.44
Taille de position USD = -3587.44 x 0.04431 = -158.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -3587.44 avec un stoploss a 0.04208
Avec un position size USD de -158.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3587.44 x -0.00223 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3587.44 x -0.00559 = 20.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3587.44
- Taille de position USD -158.96
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.05
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5067
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.62 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.03 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -5.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.2133 % | 103.59 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04431 | 0.04208 | 0.0499 | 2.51 | 0.04584 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04431
- Stop Loss: 0.04208
- Take Profit: 0.0499
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04208 - 0.04431 = -0.00223
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04431 - 0.0499 = -0.00559
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00559 / -0.00223 = 2.5067
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.033%
(0.0022)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -1.377% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -2.325% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -3.069% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.512% | 0.3R | -5.755% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.512% | 0.3R | -6.184% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -7.222% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -7.222% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.828% | 0.4R | -8.260% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +27.398% | 5.4R | -8.260% | 1.6R | 3.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1347 min
MAE in 772 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.