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Long Trade on VIRTUAL

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01 Oct 2026 at 03:18:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VIRTUAL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 319.28 VIRTUAL at 0.829$ per unit. Take profit: 0.892 (7.55 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8043 (3.03 %)

VIRTUAL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 03:18 → 03:55 · 36 minutes

Position

Entry 0.8294$

Qty 319.2763 VIRTUAL

Size 264.8077$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.892 (+7.55%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.8043 (-3.03%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -3.03% / -8.01$ MAE -6.96% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 15:18

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169174)
#19 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6106

Quality Score
0.560
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169174)
#19 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6106

Quality Score
0.560
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#19 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#19 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.46×ATR
4h near 0.07×ATR
1d near -1.42×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:16
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4534
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.6%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 40.0%
1h 48.3%
4h 68.3%
24h 73.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.0% -0.07%
4h 50.0% +0.40%
24h 56.7% +1.37%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.143
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 03:16 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6577
Score SMA
0.6401
Rank
#21 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7333
Rank Norm SMA
0.5448
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8232 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.41% · r3d: -4.27% · ema21_slope: 1.2611% · dist_ema21: 9.881%
Force Relative 25% 0.6669 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.42% · rs_3d: -3.29% · beta_24h: 1.390
Volume 20% 0.6458 rvol_20: 1.76× · zscore_50: 1.039 · trend: 81.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7656 ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.5597
Score SMA
0.5699
Rank
#19 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6106
Rank Norm SMA
0.6194
Calculé le
01/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6612 r1h: 0.566% · r4h: 3.213% · r1d: 6.89% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 0.0930% · dist_ema21: 2.979%
Force Relative 25% 0.6700 rs_1h: 0.783% · rs_4h: 2.461% · rs_1d: 5.58% · rs_3d: 1.96% · beta_24h: 1.994
Volume 20% 0.1670 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.495 · trend: -59.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4684 ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.745% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5440
Score SMA
0.6274
Rank
#29 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6491
Rank Norm SMA
0.7248
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6862 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.781% · r1d: 3.82% · r3d: 1.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0261% · dist_ema21: 1.790%
Force Relative 25% 0.6564 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.630% · rs_1d: 3.27% · rs_3d: 0.89% · beta_24h: 2.938
Volume 20% 0.2151 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.506 · trend: -13.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4366 ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 68.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6552 ATR%: 4.034% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.026% (0.0251)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.488% 1.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.488% 1.2R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.371% 2.1R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.957% 2.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.957% 2.3R 0.0× 288
36h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 432
48h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 576
72h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1531 min MAE in 2126 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -1.4ATR 0.71 bull_high +12.59% +0.93 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 34% early — near 0.1ATR 0.57 bull_high +1.65% +0.05 30/09 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% late — near -0.5ATR 0.62 range_medium +0.37% +0.40 01/10 02:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — near 0.4ATR 0.66 range_low +0.27% +0.31 01/10 03:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187698
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.690 expansion bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 44% mid 14b 1.2ATR — near -1.4ATR 1.76 92% ↑ +0.72 above_value -0.56 — #101606 0.71 bull_high +12.59% +0.93
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:24
4h
#189298
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.575 expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 34% early 18b 0.4ATR — near 0.1ATR 0.38 58% ↓ -0.35 above_value -0.20 — #102305 0.57 bull_high +1.65% +0.05
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:16
1h anchor
#190482
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.572 compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% late 11b 1.9ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.25 18% ↓ -0.67 above_value +1.04 — #102848 0.62 range_medium +0.37% +0.40
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:10
15m
#190560
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.464 compression bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 46% late 19b 2.9ATR — near 0.4ATR 2.21 74% ↑ +0.38 above_value +1.04 — #102848 0.66 range_low +0.27% +0.31
01/10 03:00
upd 01/10 03:17
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 14b — 3.955×ATR p48 +1.189×ATR p73
4h ↓ down early 18b — 1.313×ATR p0 +0.429×ATR p28
1h ↑ up late 11b — 2.88×ATR p60 +1.891×ATR p91
15m ↑ up late 19b — 6.97×ATR p100 +2.87×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.9221
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.95×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.80434333
  5. tp_price: 0.89204167
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.92208657935987
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-01T19:18:04.869117
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.92208657935987
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.0416
  10. obi_top10 : -0.0171
  11. micro_price : 0.82418698
  12. spread_pct : 0.036412
  13. mid_price : 0.82405
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.0392
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.003
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7176
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.82601
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.785425
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.8057175
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1790647200
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1790838000
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.9534
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    54
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.9221
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1790834400
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.82601
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7407
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.2467
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    11
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    11
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.0137417
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.7407
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2467

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 03:18 0.82940000 0%
2 03:29 0.82940000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7176ms Confidence avant OB : 92% → 92%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.042
avg -0.039 ± 0.003
OBI Top 10 -0.017

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.8241
Micro Price
0.8242
Spread
0.0364%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8294 0.8043 0.892 2.49 0.6185
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8294
  • Stop Loss: 0.8043
  • Take Profit: 0.892

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8043 - 0.8294 = -0.0251

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8294 - 0.892 = -0.0626

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0626 / -0.0251 = 2.494

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
264.8077 100 319.2763 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0251

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0251 = -318.73

Taille de position USD = -318.73 x 0.8294 = -264.35

Donc, tu peux acheter -318.73 avec un stoploss a 0.8043

Avec un position size USD de -264.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -318.73 x -0.0251 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -318.73 x -0.0626 = 19.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -318.73
  • Taille de position USD -264.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.494

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.55 % 19.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.03 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0817 % 101.83 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8294 0.8043 0.892 2.49 0.6185
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8294
  • Stop Loss: 0.8043
  • Take Profit: 0.892

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8043 - 0.8294 = -0.0251

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8294 - 0.892 = -0.0626

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0626 / -0.0251 = 2.494

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.892
            [entry_price] => 0.8294
            [stop_loss] => 0.80179
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 08:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.892
            [entry_price] => 0.8294
            [stop_loss] => 0.79928
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 09:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.892
            [entry_price] => 0.8294
            [stop_loss] => 0.79677
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.892
            [entry_price] => 0.8294
            [stop_loss] => 0.79175
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.026% (0.0251)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.488% 1.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.488% 1.2R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -4.964% 1.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.371% 2.1R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.957% 2.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.957% 2.3R 0.0× 288
36h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 432
48h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 576
72h +0.732% 0.2R -10.919% 3.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 1531 min MAE in 2126 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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