Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.16 XMR at 545.98$ per unit. Take profit: 549.8298 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 544.0551 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.16 XMR at 545.98$ per unit. Take profit: 549.8298 (0.71 %) & Stop Loss: 544.0551 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 545.98$
Qty 4.156 XMR
Size 2269.0991$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 549.8298 (+0.71%)
TP $ 16$
SL 544.0551 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5030
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5030
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.370512 15m : 0.604893 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 68.3% |
| 24h | 73.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.0% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 50.0% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 56.7% | +1.37% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6058 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.57% · r3d: -0.33% · ema21_slope: 0.4667% · dist_ema21: 1.062% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5007 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.59% · rs_3d: 0.65% · beta_24h: 1.085 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1607 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.828 · trend: -38.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8022 | ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5681 | r1h: -0.085% · r4h: 1.268% · r1d: 2.55% · r3d: 3.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0467% · dist_ema21: 1.208% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5523 | rs_1h: 0.132% · rs_4h: 0.515% · rs_1d: 1.24% · rs_3d: 2.47% · beta_24h: 0.374 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2034 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.507 · trend: -39.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4907 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.724% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5283 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.717% · r1d: 1.65% · r3d: 1.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0329% · dist_ema21: 0.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5309 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.566% · rs_1d: 1.10% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 0.871 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1462 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.807 · trend: -53.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3048 | ADX: 10.9 (weak) · Chop: 73.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.460% | 1.3R | -0.275% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.500% | 1.4R | -0.275% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.500% | 1.4R | -1.295% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.500% | 1.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -2.594% | 7.4R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.301% | 9.4R | -2.594% | 7.4R | 1.3× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.18 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.28 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.14 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.23 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.18 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.05 | 01/10 03:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187771
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.617 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 9b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 69% | ↓ -0.23 | above_value | +0.41 | — | #101630 | 0.49 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.18 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:27
|
|
4h
#189370
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.628 | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 15b 0.6ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.35 | 2% | ↓ -0.46 | above_value | +1.11 | — | #102329 | 0.28 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.14 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor #190505
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.570 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 8b 2.0ATR | — | — | 0.65 | 23% | ↓ -0.59 | value | +2.51 | — | #102871 | 0.23 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.18 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#190583
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.546 | volatile_reversal | bull_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 3b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.16 | 2% | ↔ -0.11 | value | +2.51 | — | #102871 | 0.44 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.05 |
01/10 03:00
upd 01/10 03:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.664×ATR | p15 | +0.143×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.521×ATR | p22 | +0.6×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.514×ATR | p83 | +1.967×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.091×ATR | p0 | +1.192×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83860.9
-0.00555584
83395
0.370512
83719.7
-0.0038786
83395
0.604893
83811.7
0.00302166
84065
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538.8
190
0.7029
0.4346
0.3277
0.2191
0.4167
0.8781
0.4249
0.5287
0.6251
0.0763
0.5371
0.6944
0.185
0.0918
1
1.4713
2.1477
0.5
0.5
1
15
1
0.5619
0.365
2.385
0.5
0.8781
2.0943
2.1477
0.4686
0.1981
0
-0.1855
0.4044
0.6355
0.5464
0.6944
-3.6902
8.3838
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:33 | 545.98000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:44 | 546.08000000 | +0.018% |
| 3 | 03:55 | 545.49000000 | -0.09% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 01:40:00 | 547.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 01:50:00 | 547.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 02:25:00 | 543.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 03:25:00 | 545.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:00:00 | 550.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 04:40:00 | 548.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:15:00 | 553.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 06:30:00 | 550.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 07:00:00 | 553.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:30:00 | 545.08 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 11:00:00 | 539.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:15:00 | 547.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:30:00 | 537.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:45:00 | 549.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:30:00 | 542.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 538.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 01:30:00 | 547.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 02:15:00 | 543.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:15:00 | 553.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:30:00 | 545.08 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 01:00:00 | 528.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 07:00:00 | 547.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 536.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:00:00 | 550.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 546.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 537.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:00:00 | 537.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 549.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 538.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 553.99 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545.98 | 544.0551 | 549.8298 | 2 | 592.99 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 544.0551 - 545.98 = -1.9249
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 545.98 - 549.8298 = -3.8498
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8498 / -1.9249 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2269.0991 | 100 | 4.156 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.9249 = -4.16
Taille de position USD = -4.16 x 545.98 = -2271.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.16 avec un stoploss a 544.0551
Avec un position size USD de -2271.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.16 x -1.9249 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.16 x -3.8498 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7491 % | 212.45 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545.98 | 544.0551 | 549.8298 | 2 | 592.99 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 544.0551 - 545.98 = -1.9249
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 545.98 - 549.8298 = -3.8498
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8498 / -1.9249 = 2
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(
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[stop_loss] => 543.47763
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 549.8298
[entry_price] => 545.98
[stop_loss] => 543.09265
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.460% | 1.3R | -0.275% | 0.8R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.500% | 1.4R | -0.275% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.500% | 1.4R | -1.295% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.500% | 1.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -1.557% | 4.4R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.191% | 3.4R | -2.594% | 7.4R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.301% | 9.4R | -2.594% | 7.4R | 1.3× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
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