Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 1710.8 RUNE at 0.784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7938 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7798 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 1710.8 RUNE at 0.784$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7938 (1.2 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7798 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.7844$
Qty 1710.7981 RUNE
Size 1342.0014$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7938 (+1.2%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.7798 (-0.59%)
SL $ 7.87$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8924
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8924
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.46×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.208186 15m : 0.55285 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 68.3% |
| 24h | 73.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.0% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 50.0% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 56.7% | +1.37% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 2.6439% · dist_ema21: 25.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8832 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 1.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6987 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 1.338 · trend: 162.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9251 | ADX: 51.0 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6340 | r1h: -0.761% · r4h: 0.946% · r1d: 7.13% · r3d: 7.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1369% · dist_ema21: 0.906% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6031 | rs_1h: -0.544% · rs_4h: 0.194% · rs_1d: 5.82% · rs_3d: 5.87% · beta_24h: 1.607 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1914 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.256 · trend: -43.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7292 | ADX: 41.0 (trend) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7695 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.232% · r1d: 6.90% · r3d: 7.95% · ema21_slope: 0.3470% · dist_ema21: 4.477% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7582 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.383% · rs_1d: 6.35% · rs_3d: 7.42% · beta_24h: 2.754 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2346 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.362 · trend: -7.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6506 | ADX: 37.0 (trend) · Chop: 57.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6362 | ATR%: 4.091% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.189% | 0.3R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.673% | 1.2R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.592% | 2.7R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.592% | 2.7R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.592% | 2.7R | -1.407% | 2.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.260% | 3.9R | -1.778% | 3.0R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.701% | 4.6R | -9.790% | 16.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.701% | 4.6R | -9.790% | 16.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.58 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.28 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.54% | -0.15 | 01/10 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187596
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.569 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 3b 2.5ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.81 | 97% | ↑ +0.92 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:21
|
|
4h
#189234
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.637 | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 16b 1.1ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.51 | 85% | ↔ -0.14 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #102278 | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.58 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #190455
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.689 | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b 0.5ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.45 | 60% | ↓ -0.61 | above_value | -0.06 | — | #102821 | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.28 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:09
|
|
15m
#190612
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | 0.398 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -3.5ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.20 | 66% | ↑ +0.26 | above_value | -0.06 | — | #102821 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.54% | -0.15 |
01/10 03:15
upd 01/10 03:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.841×ATR | p0 | +2.535×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.848×ATR | p27 | +1.069×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.35×ATR | p3 | +0.48×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.639×ATR | p48 | -3.47×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83865.1
-0.00306606
83608
0.208186
83723.9
-0.0013847
83608
0.55285
83802.6
-0.00235839
83605
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0.81109
198
0.6064
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0.2653
0.4508
0.4889
0.3854
0.7269
0.6431
0.4246
0.5831
0.6181
0.0426
0.057
0.6667
-0.6435
0.2883
0.55
0.45
1
14
1
0.4694
0.3524
3.6086
0.5
0.4889
1.708
0.2883
0.7658
0.2154
0.4
-0.0231
0.505
0.4996
0.8293
0.6181
-4.4484
7.2011
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:37 | 0.78443000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 03:48 | 0.78444000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 03:59 | 0.78261000 | -0.228% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 01:20:00 | 0.81815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 01:35:00 | 0.78333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 02:10:00 | 0.80187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 02:45:00 | 0.79229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:05:00 | 0.7972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:50:00 | 0.80718 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 05:20:00 | 0.80585 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 05:40:00 | 0.80305 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:10:00 | 0.81109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:25:00 | 0.78117 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 0.80913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:45:00 | 0.78083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 17:45:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 18:45:00 | 0.78783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 0.79744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 22:30:00 | 0.8078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 01:15:00 | 0.81815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 01:30:00 | 0.78333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 0.81109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:15:00 | 0.78117 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.70607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.80358 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 06:00:00 | 0.7995 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 0.73837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 0.74285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:00:00 | 0.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 17:00:00 | 0.84011 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 01:00:00 | 0.81815 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:00:00 | 0.78117 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7844 | 0.7798 | 0.7938 | 2.04 | 0.6296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7798 - 0.7844 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7844 - 0.7938 = -0.0094
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0094 / -0.0045999999999999 = 2.0435
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1342.0014 | 100 | 1710.7981 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045999999999999 = -1739.13
Taille de position USD = -1739.13 x 0.7844 = -1364.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -1739.13 avec un stoploss a 0.7798
Avec un position size USD de -1364.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0045999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0094 = 16.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.35$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 7.87 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.87 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8197 % | 139.79 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7844 | 0.7798 | 0.7938 | 2.04 | 0.6296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7798 - 0.7844 = -0.0045999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7844 - 0.7938 = -0.0094
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0094 / -0.0045999999999999 = 2.0435
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[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7938
[entry_price] => 0.7844
[stop_loss] => 0.77888
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 08:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7938
[entry_price] => 0.7844
[stop_loss] => 0.77842
[rr_ratio] => 1.57
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 08:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7938
[entry_price] => 0.7844
[stop_loss] => 0.7775
[rr_ratio] => 1.36
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.189% | 0.3R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.673% | 1.2R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.592% | 2.7R | -0.820% | 1.4R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.592% | 2.7R | -1.044% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.592% | 2.7R | -1.407% | 2.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.260% | 3.9R | -1.778% | 3.0R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.701% | 4.6R | -9.790% | 16.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.701% | 4.6R | -9.790% | 16.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
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