Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 45.91 AVAX at 11.024$ per unit. Take profit: 10.5884 (3.95 %) & Stop Loss: 11.1982 (1.58 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 45.91 AVAX at 11.024$ per unit. Take profit: 10.5884 (3.95 %) & Stop Loss: 11.1982 (1.58 %)
Position
Entry 11.024$
Qty 45.9148 AVAX
Size 506.165$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 10.5884 (+3.95%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.1982 (-1.58%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5480
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5480
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 01/10 02:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 68.3% |
| 24h | 73.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.0% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 50.0% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 56.7% | +1.37% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7436 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.40% · r3d: 0.34% · ema21_slope: 2.1266% · dist_ema21: 11.844% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6278 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.39% · rs_3d: 1.32% · beta_24h: 0.946 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4402 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.414 · trend: 63.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8938 | ADX: 47.3 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.967% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5499 | r1h: 0.045% · r4h: 0.659% · r1d: 0.41% · r3d: 5.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0501% · dist_ema21: 0.791% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5369 | rs_1h: 0.262% · rs_4h: -0.093% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: 4.71% · beta_24h: 1.306 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2531 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.444 · trend: -23.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4010 | ADX: 12.8 (weak) · Chop: 63.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.214% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7330 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.663% · r1d: -1.38% · r3d: 3.93% · ema21_slope: 0.2939% · dist_ema21: 1.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5917 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.512% · rs_1d: -1.94% · rs_3d: 3.41% · beta_24h: 3.392 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5723 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: 1.539 · trend: 9.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6205 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8081 | ATR%: 3.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.535% | 0.3R | -0.608% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.535% | 0.3R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.479% | 0.9R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.796% | 1.1R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.685% | 1.7R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.685% | 1.7R | -1.714% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.370% | 3.4R | -2.259% | 1.4R | 2.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.370% | 3.4R | -2.259% | 1.4R | 2.4× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.37% | -0.07 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_low | -0.33% | +0.03 | 01/10 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187508
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.684 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 96% | ↑ +0.76 | above_value | +3.10 | — | #101559 | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:16
|
|
4h
#189192
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.697 | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 9b 0.3ATR | — | — | 1.69 | 93% | ↑ +0.18 | value | +1.14 | — | #102257 | 0.52 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:12
|
|
1h
anchor #190434
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.648 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 6b 0.8ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.80 | 69% | ↓ -0.41 | above_value | +1.43 | — | #102800 | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.37% | -0.07 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:08
|
|
15m
#190667
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.613 | expansion | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 1b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.38 | 23% | ↓ -0.15 | above_value | +1.43 | — | #102800 | 0.64 | range_low | -0.33% | +0.03 |
01/10 03:30
upd 01/10 03:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.268×ATR | p0 | +1.159×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.239×ATR | p10 | +0.291×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.742×ATR | p58 | +0.82×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.526×ATR | p0 | -0.409×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
11.187
146
0.3757
0.6024
0.3582
0.2092
0.48
0.6857
0.27
0.4443
0.3182
0.1865
0.5617
0.4861
0.06
0.0222
0.3333
-0.0428
-0.0173
0.45
0.55
-1
7
1
0.5815
0.5612
3.9328
0.55
0.6857
2.6967
-0.0173
0.4546
0.3467
0.08
-0.0922
0.4667
0.5667
0.1946
0.4861
-7.5928
7.1832
1
1
1
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[time] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
[price] => 10.672
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[label] => HL
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Array
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[price] => 11.282
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[price] => 12.019
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[price] => 11.038
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Array
(
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[price] => 11.564
[kind] => high
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Array
(
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[price] => 11
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[label] => HL
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(
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Array
(
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[price] => 11.189
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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[price] => 11
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[label] =>
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[price] => 11.243
[kind] => high
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[price] => 11.102
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[price] => 11.139
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[price] => 10.804
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[price] => 11.068
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[price] => 10.867
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[label] => HL
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[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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(
[time] => 2026-09-30 22:00:00
[price] => 10.867
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 23:15:00
[price] => 11.011
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
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(
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[price] => 10.779
[kind] => low
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(
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[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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(
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Array
(
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[price] => 10.962
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10.779
11.187
11.187
10.779
11.011
10.779
10.895
0.8182
11.374
11.088
11.231
0.655
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.024 | 11.1982 | 10.5884 | 2.5 | 9.0198 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.1982 - 11.024 = 0.1742
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.024 - 10.5884 = 0.4356
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4356 / 0.1742 = 2.5006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 506.165 | 100 | 45.9148 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1742 = 45.92
Taille de position USD = 45.92 x 11.024 = 506.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 45.92 avec un stoploss a 11.1982
Avec un position size USD de 506.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 45.92 x 0.1742 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 45.92 x 0.4356 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.95 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7144 % | 108.49 % | 45 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.024 | 11.1982 | 10.5884 | 2.5 | 9.0198 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.1982 - 11.024 = 0.1742
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.024 - 10.5884 = 0.4356
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4356 / 0.1742 = 2.5006
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.535% | 0.3R | -0.608% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.535% | 0.3R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.479% | 0.9R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.796% | 1.1R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.685% | 1.7R | -1.524% | 1.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.685% | 1.7R | -1.714% | 1.1R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.370% | 3.4R | -2.259% | 1.4R | 2.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.370% | 3.4R | -2.259% | 1.4R | 2.4× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
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