Long Trade on FET (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 604.47 FET at 0.239$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2724 (13.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2261 (5.52 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 03:38:16
hyperliquid
FET
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 03:38
→ 09:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2393$
Qty 604.4711 FET
Size 144.662$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2724 (+13.83%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.2261 (-5.52%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-5.52%
/ -7.98$
MAE -6.61%
MFE +0.25%
0.1R
expires
01 Oct 15:38
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 169153)
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00
score du 01/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8316
Quality Score
0.703
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:30
01/10 03:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 169153)
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00
score du 01/10/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8316
Quality Score
0.703
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:30
01/10 03:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4535
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.6%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 68.3% |
| 24h | 73.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.0% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 50.0% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 56.7% | +1.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.143
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 03:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6404
Score SMA
0.6989
Rank
#27
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6533
Rank Norm SMA
0.6882
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8324 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.82% · r3d: -7.51% · ema21_slope: 2.2556% · dist_ema21: 12.365% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7234 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.83% · rs_3d: -6.53% · beta_24h: 1.788 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4388 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.504 · trend: 39.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8136 | ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 28.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.048% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.7033
Score SMA
0.5738
Rank
#5
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8316
Rank Norm SMA
0.5861
Calculé le
01/10/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7738 | r1h: 1.280% · r4h: 4.778% · r1d: 11.11% · r3d: 3.84% · ema21_slope: 0.2522% · dist_ema21: 5.613% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7910 | rs_1h: 1.497% · rs_4h: 4.025% · rs_1d: 9.80% · rs_3d: 2.68% · beta_24h: 1.251 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3524 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.063 · trend: 19.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6864 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 37.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.961% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5729
Score SMA
0.6119
Rank
#24
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6287
Rank Norm SMA
0.6361
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7001 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.318% · r1d: 6.42% · r3d: -2.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1499% · dist_ema21: 2.923% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7196 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.167% · rs_1d: 5.87% · rs_3d: -2.86% · beta_24h: 3.221 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2614 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -21.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4236 | ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 67.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6716 | ATR%: 3.985% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.516%
(0.0132)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.695% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.695% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.655% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.251% | 0.1R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.251% | 0.1R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.092% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.272% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.272% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1276 min
MAE in 2106 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.99 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.60 | bull_high | +1.65% | -0.33 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.74 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.54% | +0.30 | 01/10 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187626
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.671 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b 1.2ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 83% | ↑ +0.60 | above_value | -0.24 | — | #101586 | 0.66 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.99 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:22
|
|
4h
#189246
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.610 | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 5b 0.7ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.81 | 71% | ↓ -0.17 | value | +0.91 | — | #102284 | 0.60 | bull_high | +1.65% | -0.33 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #190461
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.489 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 15b 2.8ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.90 | 57% | ↓ -0.21 | above_value | +2.66 | — | #102827 | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.74 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:10
|
|
15m
#190618
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.720 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 1b 0.2ATR | near -1.4ATR | — | 1.58 | 91% | ↑ +0.74 | above_value | +2.66 | — | #102827 | 0.59 | range_low | -0.54% | +0.30 |
01/10 03:15
upd 01/10 03:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.672×ATR | p0 | +1.153×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.271×ATR | p8 | +0.697×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 4.926×ATR | p92 | +2.803×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3.034×ATR | p46 | +0.197×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9547
- reason: up_bo width=2.87×ATR dur=68b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.22608529
- tp_price: 0.27240678
- atr:
- score: 0.83473708162811
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T19:38:08.889922
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83473708162811
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3271
- obi_top10 : 0.2844
- micro_price : 0.23846927
- spread_pct : 0.041946
- mid_price : 0.23845
- bid_wall_price : 0.235
- bid_wall_size : 460733
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.24
- ask_wall_size : 318109.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3127
- obi_top5_std : 0.0181
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7110
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.23387
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.219315
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2265925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790596800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790838000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8696
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
68
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8347
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790823600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.23387
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8088
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0745
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0050721 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
68
inside_close_ratio
0.8088
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0745
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:38 | 0.23932000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 03:49 | 0.23932000 | +0.008% |
| 3 | 04:00 | 0.23932000 | +0.008% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7110ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
95%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.327
avg 0.313
± 0.018
OBI Top 10
0.284
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2385
Micro Price
0.2385
Spread
0.0419%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2350
Size
460,733.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2400
Size
318,109.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2393 | 0.2261 | 0.2724 | 2.51 | 0.1755 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2393
- Stop Loss: 0.2261
- Take Profit: 0.2724
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2261 - 0.2393 = -0.0132
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2393 - 0.2724 = -0.0331
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0331 / -0.0132 = 2.5076
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 144.662 | 100 | 604.4711 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0132
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0132 = -606.06
Taille de position USD = -606.06 x 0.2393 = -145.03
Donc, tu peux acheter -606.06 avec un stoploss a 0.2261
Avec un position size USD de -145.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -606.06 x -0.0132 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -606.06 x -0.0331 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -606.06
- Taille de position USD -145.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5076
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.83 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.52 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -5.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.6415 % | 102.27 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2393 | 0.2261 | 0.2724 | 2.51 | 0.1755 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2393
- Stop Loss: 0.2261
- Take Profit: 0.2724
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2261 - 0.2393 = -0.0132
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2393 - 0.2724 = -0.0331
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0331 / -0.0132 = 2.5076
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.516%
(0.0132)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.695% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.695% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.655% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.251% | 0.1R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.251% | 0.1R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -6.611% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.092% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.272% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.178% | 0.2R | -10.272% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1276 min
MAE in 2106 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.