Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2052.43 SPX at 0.437$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4447 (1.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.433 (0.89 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2052.43 SPX at 0.437$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4447 (1.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.433 (0.89 %)
Position
Entry 0.4369$
Qty 2052.4346 SPX
Size 896.7908$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4447 (+1.79%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.433 (-0.89%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8992
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8992
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 02:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.205057 15m : 0.723639 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 66.1% |
| 1h | 5.1% |
| 4h | 30.5% |
| 24h | 55.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.9% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 32.2% | -0.66% |
| 24h | 40.7% | +0.15% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4034 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.09% · r3d: 0.05% · ema21_slope: -0.5326% · dist_ema21: -4.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5154 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 1.934 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.552 · trend: -17.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5049 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6709 | r1h: -0.904% · r4h: 1.301% · r1d: 8.06% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.2203% · dist_ema21: 2.942% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6190 | rs_1h: -0.686% · rs_4h: 0.549% · rs_1d: 6.75% · rs_3d: 6.20% · beta_24h: 1.735 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1762 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: -40.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7067 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.710% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5577 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.870% · r1d: 7.06% · r3d: 6.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0789% · dist_ema21: 4.849% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7193 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.719% · rs_1d: 6.50% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 2.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1613 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.581 · trend: -55.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6289 | ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7955 | ATR%: 3.614% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.140% | 1.3R | -0.465% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.261% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.261% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 0.9× | 95 |
| 12h | +2.374% | 2.7R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.937% | 4.4R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 2.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.388% | 6.0R | -6.120% | 6.9R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.388% | 6.0R | -6.120% | 6.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.51 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.47% | -0.22 | 01/10 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187708
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.550 | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 26b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 46% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -0.13 | — | #101609 | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
|
|
4h
#189307
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.479 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 12b 1.4ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.41 | 15% | ↓ -0.27 | value | +0.88 | — | #102308 | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor #190485
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.505 | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 11b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 27% | ↓ -0.62 | value | +0.93 | — | #102851 | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.51 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#190797
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.712 | expansion | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 2b -2.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.05 | 10% | ↔ +0.02 | value | +0.93 | — | #102851 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.47% | -0.22 |
01/10 03:45
upd 01/10 04:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 5.226×ATR | p61 | -0.454×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.75×ATR | p65 | +1.371×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.402×ATR | p74 | +1.721×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 0.989×ATR | p3 | -2.302×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83800.5
-0.0042426
83445
0.205057
83745.1
-0.00358438
83445
0.723639
83809.9
-0.0045457
83429
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0.4142
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0.5622
0.625
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0.6684
0.6353
0.1263
0.084
0.6667
-0.0291
0.8714
0.4
0.6
1
2
1
0.4938
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4.0909
0.5
1.4131
3.6075
0.8714
0.2131
0.19
0.86
0.6027
0.6009
0.5884
0.8336
0.6353
-3.101
5.4023
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:05 | 0.43694000 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 04:19 | 0.43682000 | -0.018% |
| 3 | 04:30 | 0.43733000 | +0.098% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 02:20:00 | 0.44021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 03:40:00 | 0.45449 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 04:10:00 | 0.45427 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 04:30:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:45:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:50:00 | 0.45451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 05:55:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 06:45:00 | 0.45859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:25:00 | 0.43558 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 08:00:00 | 0.43571 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.43055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:15:00 | 0.42572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:15:00 | 0.45041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 16:15:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:45:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 00:30:00 | 0.43973 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 02:15:00 | 0.44021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:45:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:45:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:15:00 | 0.43558 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.43197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 0.40761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.3923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 0.42184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.4044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:00:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:00:00 | 0.43558 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4369 | 0.433 | 0.4447 | 2 | 0.3723 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.433 - 0.4369 = -0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4369 - 0.4447 = -0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0078 / -0.0039 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 896.7908 | 100 | 2052.4346 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0039 = -2051.28
Taille de position USD = -2051.28 x 0.4369 = -896.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -2051.28 avec un stoploss a 0.433
Avec un position size USD de -896.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2051.28 x -0.0039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2051.28 x -0.0078 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9407 % | 105.38 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4369 | 0.433 | 0.4447 | 2 | 0.3723 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.433 - 0.4369 = -0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4369 - 0.4447 = -0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0078 / -0.0039 = 2
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)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4447
[entry_price] => 0.4369
[stop_loss] => 0.43183
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.140% | 1.3R | -0.465% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.261% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.261% | 1.4R | 1.1× | 47 |
| 8h | +1.426% | 1.6R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 0.9× | 95 |
| 12h | +2.374% | 2.7R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.937% | 4.4R | -1.666% | 1.9R | 2.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.388% | 6.0R | -6.120% | 6.9R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.388% | 6.0R | -6.120% | 6.9R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
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