Short Trade on APT

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01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 278.69 APT at 0.773$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7535 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8015 (3.71 %)

APT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 04:15 → 10:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.7728$

Qty 278.6878 APT

Size 215.3699$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7535 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.38$

SL 0.8015 (-3.71%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.67

Status win PnL +0.61% / +1.31$ MAE -1.41% MFE +1.51% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 10:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169217)

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2828

Quality Score

0.387

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169217)

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2828

Quality Score

0.387

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.71 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.71 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.82×ATR
4h	clear	0.69×ATR
1d	clear	3.30×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 03:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 03:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 32.8%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	66.1%
1h	5.1%
4h	30.5%
24h	55.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.9%	+0.07%
4h	32.2%	-0.66%
24h	40.7%	+0.15%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.185

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5452

Score SMA

0.6616

Rank

#49 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3600

Rank Norm SMA

0.6236

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6920	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.49% · r3d: -10.84% · ema21_slope: 1.8773% · dist_ema21: 3.725%
Force Relative	25%	0.5315	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.48% · rs_3d: -9.85% · beta_24h: 1.825
Volume	20%	0.3853	rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: 0.296 · trend: 33.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8508	ADX: 42.1 (trend) · Chop: 34.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3869

Score SMA

0.5374

Rank

#76 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2828

Rank Norm SMA

0.4818

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3210	r1h: -1.213% · r4h: -1.727% · r1d: -1.54% · r3d: -5.30% · ema21_slope: -0.1084% · dist_ema21: -1.351%
Force Relative	25%	0.3871	rs_1h: -0.372% · rs_4h: -1.315% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -5.86% · beta_24h: 1.200
Volume	20%	0.3184	rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.210 · trend: -22.25%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3914	ADX: 14.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4454

Score SMA

0.5556

Rank

#63 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2353

Rank Norm SMA

0.4825

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4287	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.727% · r1d: -1.54% · r3d: -5.30% · ema21_slope: -0.2897% · dist_ema21: -3.517%
Force Relative	25%	0.4133	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.315% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -5.86% · beta_24h: 2.229
Volume	20%	0.2237	rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.605 · trend: -24.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5106	ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 57.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7067	ATR%: 3.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.714% (0.0287)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.091%	0.0R	-1.411%	0.4R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.423%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.0×	24
4h	+1.423%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.0×	48
6h ★	+1.514%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.1×	71
8h	+2.834%	0.8R	-1.411%	0.4R	2.0×	96
12h	+2.834%	0.8R	-1.411%	0.4R	2.0×	144
24h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.239%	2.5R	0.3×	288
48h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.899%	2.7R	0.3×	576
72h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.899%	2.7R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 409 min MAE in 1239 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.78

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.69	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.74	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.39	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.75	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.42	range_medium	-0.47%	-0.32	01/10 03:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.67	range_low	-0.47%	-0.13	01/10 03:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187568	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.540	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.84	88%	↑ +0.51	below_value	-6.05	—	#101574	0.69	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.74	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:19
4h #190855	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.660	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 28b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.69	55%	↓ -0.33	below_value	-6.61	—	#102971	0.39	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.75	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:13
1h anchor #190854	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.486	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 3b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.92	57%	↓ -0.66	below_value	-6.61	—	#102971	0.42	range_medium	-0.47%	-0.32	01/10 03:00 upd 01/10 04:13
15m #190761	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.443	normal	bear_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.22	31%	↑ +0.26	below_value	-6.06	—	#102815	0.67	range_low	-0.47%	-0.13	01/10 03:45 upd 01/10 04:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	3.622×ATR	p35	+0.326×ATR	p23
4h	↓ down	mid	28b	—	3.94×ATR	p50	-0.951×ATR	p43
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	1.377×ATR	p2	-0.99×ATR	p66
15m	↑ up	mid	2b	—	1.139×ATR	p0	-1.493×ATR	p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.80150596
tp_price: 0.75348
atr: 0.01148238
expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 74
total: 78
score: 0.3383
delta_2h: -0.093
extension_atr: -0.89
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2536
confidence: 0.948

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7728	0.8015	0.7535	0.67	0.6792

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7728
Stop Loss: 0.8015
Take Profit: 0.7535

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8015 - 0.7728 = 0.0287
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7728 - 0.7535 = 0.0193
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0287 = 0.6725

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
215.3699	100	278.6878	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0287

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0287 = 278.75

Taille de position USD = 278.75 x 0.7728 = 215.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 278.75 avec un stoploss a 0.8015

Avec un position size USD de 215.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 278.75 x 0.0287 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 278.75 x 0.0193 = 5.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.38$

Résumé

Taille de position 278.75
Taille de position USD 215.42
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.38
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6725

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.38 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.71 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
1.31 $	0.61

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.4105 %	37.98 %	10

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7728	0.8015	0.7535	0.67	0.6792

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7728
Stop Loss: 0.8015
Take Profit: 0.7535

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8015 - 0.7728 = 0.0287
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7728 - 0.7535 = 0.0193
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0287 = 0.6725

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.714% (0.0287)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.091%	0.0R	-1.411%	0.4R	0.1×	12
2h	+1.423%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.0×	24
4h	+1.423%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.0×	48
6h ★	+1.514%	0.4R	-1.411%	0.4R	1.1×	71
8h	+2.834%	0.8R	-1.411%	0.4R	2.0×	96
12h	+2.834%	0.8R	-1.411%	0.4R	2.0×	144
24h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.239%	2.5R	0.3×	288
48h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.899%	2.7R	0.3×	576
72h	+2.834%	0.8R	-9.899%	2.7R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 409 min MAE in 1239 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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