01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1792.34 CC at 0.123$ per unit. Take profit: 0.12 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1276 (3.66 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 04:15 → 10:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1231$

Qty 1792.3436 CC

Size 220.6733$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.12 (+2.52%)

TP $ 5.56$

SL 0.1276 (-3.66%)

SL $ 8.07$

RR 0.69

Status win PnL +1.71% / +3.76$ MAE -0.76% MFE +2.06% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 10:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169270)
#75 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2188

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169270)
#75 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2188

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#75 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.66 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.66 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.75×ATR
4h clear 3.94×ATR
1d clear 2.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 32.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 66.1%
1h 5.1%
4h 30.5%
24h 55.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.9% +0.07%
4h 32.2% -0.66%
24h 40.7% +0.15%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.185
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5780
Score SMA
0.6324
Rank
#40 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5233
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7469 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.09% · r3d: -7.97% · ema21_slope: 1.2060% · dist_ema21: 7.395%
Force Relative 25% 0.5580 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.11% · rs_3d: -6.99% · beta_24h: 1.634
Volume 20% 0.5376 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.791 · trend: 69.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7129 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3875
Score SMA
0.5787
Rank
#75 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2188
Rank Norm SMA
0.5802
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2818 r1h: -1.378% · r4h: -3.406% · r1d: -1.76% · r3d: -10.47% · ema21_slope: -0.0176% · dist_ema21: -2.087%
Force Relative 25% 0.2993 rs_1h: -0.537% · rs_4h: -2.994% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -11.04% · beta_24h: 0.941
Volume 20% 0.2556 rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.094 · trend: -28.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4169 ADX: 9.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.580% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3976
Score SMA
0.6170
Rank
#73 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1771
Rank Norm SMA
0.6172
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3765 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.406% · r1d: -1.76% · r3d: -10.47% · ema21_slope: -0.2417% · dist_ema21: -3.420%
Force Relative 25% 0.4054 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.994% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -11.04% · beta_24h: 0.140
Volume 20% 0.2008 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.616 · trend: -18.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4034 ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 69.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6164 ATR%: 4.151% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.656% (0.0045)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.406% 0.1R -0.764% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.852% 0.5R -0.764% 0.2R 2.4× 24
4h +1.933% 0.5R -0.764% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +2.063% 0.6R -0.764% 0.2R 2.7× 72
8h +2.470% 0.7R -0.764% 0.2R 3.2× 96
12h +3.249% 0.9R -0.764% 0.2R 4.3× 144
24h +3.453% 0.9R -0.764% 0.2R 4.5× 288
48h +6.044% 1.7R -3.079% 0.8R 2.0× 576
72h +6.044% 1.7R -3.079% 0.8R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1374 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.29 bull_high +12.59% +0.93 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.37 bull_high +1.65% -0.59 30/09 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% early near -0.7ATR — 0.36 range_medium +0.37% -0.08 01/10 02:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.38 range_low -0.47% -0.25 01/10 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187759
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.558 volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% early 14b 0.8ATR — — 1.29 95% ↑ +0.73 above_value -4.99 — #101626 0.29 bull_high +12.59% +0.93
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#189358
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.616 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 37% early 18b -0.1ATR — — 0.63 75% ↓ -0.42 value -4.75 — #102325 0.37 bull_high +1.65% -0.59
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:19
1h anchor
#190501
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.479 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% early 5b -0.7ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.63 50% ↔ -0.04 below_value -6.18 — #102867 0.36 range_medium +0.37% -0.08
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:11
15m
#190809
↓ down range range strong fading 0.584 compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 48% late 6b -2.4ATR — — 0.40 22% ↔ +0.09 below_value -6.18 — #102867 0.38 range_low -0.47% -0.25
01/10 03:45
upd 01/10 04:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 3.763×ATR p47 +0.797×ATR p54
4h ↓ down early 18b — 3.473×ATR p36 -0.107×ATR p5
1h ↓ down early 5b — 1.955×ATR p19 -0.656×ATR p33
15m ↓ down late 6b — 3.881×ATR p65 -2.375×ATR p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.12758343
  2. tp_price: 0.120042
  3. atr: 0.00178537
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 75
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.3327
  4. delta_2h: -0.1125
  5. extension_atr: -1.3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2204
  9. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:15 0.12312000 +0.016%
2 05:15 0.12381000 +0.577%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1231 0.1276 0.12 0.69 0.09726
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1231
  • Stop Loss: 0.1276
  • Take Profit: 0.12

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1276 - 0.1231 = 0.0045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1231 - 0.12 = 0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0045 = 0.6889

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
220.6733 100 1792.3436 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78

Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.1231 = 218.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.1276

Avec un position size USD de 218.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0031 = 5.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1777.78
  • Taille de position USD 218.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6889

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 5.56 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.66 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
3.76 $ 1.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7636 % 20.89 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1231 0.1276 0.12 0.69 0.09726
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1231
  • Stop Loss: 0.1276
  • Take Profit: 0.12

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1276 - 0.1231 = 0.0045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1231 - 0.12 = 0.0031

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0031 / 0.0045 = 0.6889

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.656% (0.0045)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.406% 0.1R -0.764% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +1.852% 0.5R -0.764% 0.2R 2.4× 24
4h +1.933% 0.5R -0.764% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +2.063% 0.6R -0.764% 0.2R 2.7× 72
8h +2.470% 0.7R -0.764% 0.2R 3.2× 96
12h +3.249% 0.9R -0.764% 0.2R 4.3× 144
24h +3.453% 0.9R -0.764% 0.2R 4.5× 288
48h +6.044% 1.7R -3.079% 0.8R 2.0× 576
72h +6.044% 1.7R -3.079% 0.8R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1374 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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