Long Trade on SPX (BosPullback)
With 614.98 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4615 (4.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4289 (2.94 %)
Long Trade on SPX (BosPullback)
With 614.98 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4615 (4.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4289 (2.94 %)
Position
Entry 0.4419$
Qty 614.9816 SPX
Size 271.7542$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4615 (+4.44%)
TP $ 12.05$
SL 0.4289 (-2.94%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9013
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9013
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 04:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 72.9% |
| 1h | 28.8% |
| 4h | 6.8% |
| 24h | 42.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 67.8% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 33.9% | -1.70% |
| 24h | 40.7% | -0.35% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4034 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.09% · r3d: 0.05% · ema21_slope: -0.5326% · dist_ema21: -4.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5154 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 1.934 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.552 · trend: -17.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5049 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5322 | r1h: 0.780% · r4h: -2.672% · r1d: 3.56% · r3d: 3.66% · ema21_slope: 0.2007% · dist_ema21: -0.462% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5447 | rs_1h: 0.604% · rs_4h: -2.007% · rs_1d: 2.95% · rs_3d: 2.94% · beta_24h: 2.162 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4880 | rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.165 · trend: 90.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6698 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.964% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3422 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.700% · r1d: 2.73% · r3d: 3.08% · ema21_slope: -0.0373% · dist_ema21: 0.881% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4810 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.288% · rs_1d: 2.58% · rs_3d: 2.52% · beta_24h: 2.684 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4451 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 0.045 · trend: -25.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6664 | ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6925 | ATR%: 3.923% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.016% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.016% | 0.0R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.215% | 0.4R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -7.183% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -7.183% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.06 | 01/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.59 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.12 | 01/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.27 | 01/10 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187708
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.550 | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 26b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 46% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -0.13 | — | #101609 | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
|
|
4h
#190939
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.395 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 13b 0.2ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 1.81 | 78% | ↓ -0.17 | value | -1.35 | — | #103007 | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.21% | -0.06 |
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor #191346
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.609 | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 3b -0.3ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 1.06 | 62% | ↔ -0.01 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #103244 | 0.59 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.12 |
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 05:10
|
|
15m
#191270
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.483 | expansion | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 5b -1.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.12 | 32% | ↑ +0.55 | value | -1.35 | — | #103007 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.27% | -0.27 |
01/10 04:45
upd 01/10 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 5.226×ATR | p61 | -0.454×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.608×ATR | p19 | +0.232×ATR | p10 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.542×ATR | p53 | -0.255×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.118×ATR | p3 | -1.199×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.46239
145
0.6141
0.5442
0.3427
0.2656
0.4058
1
0.1948
0.5622
0.625
0.5104
0.6508
0.6123
0.0545
0.0624
0.6667
-0.1413
0.7722
0.4
0.6
1
4
1
0.4689
0.4179
4.0909
0.55
1.4131
3.6076
0.7722
0.2131
0.1678
0.68
-0.1464
0.5401
0.609
0.8486
0.6123
-3.8735
6.1182
1
0
0
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0.42972
0.46239
0.46239
0.42972
0.43014
0.41803
0.424085
0.7707
0.47278
0.47116
0.47197
0.7105
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4419 | 0.4289 | 0.4615 | 1.51 | 0.3775 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4289 - 0.4419 = -0.013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4419 - 0.4615 = -0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0196 / -0.013 = 1.5077
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 271.7542 | 100 | 614.9816 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.013 = -615.38
Taille de position USD = -615.38 x 0.4419 = -271.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -615.38 avec un stoploss a 0.4289
Avec un position size USD de -271.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -615.38 x -0.013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -615.38 x -0.0196 = 12.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 12.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.94 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.399 % | 115.54 % | 39 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4419 | 0.4289 | 0.4615 | 1.51 | 0.3775 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4289 - 0.4419 = -0.013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4419 - 0.4615 = -0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0196 / -0.013 = 1.5077
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.016% | 0.0R | -2.378% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.016% | 0.0R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.215% | 0.4R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -2.779% | 0.9R | 1.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -7.183% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.196% | 1.4R | -7.183% | 2.4R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 6 days ago
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