01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2549.95 2Z at 0.0584$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06155 (5.38 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05841$

Qty 2549.9471 2Z

Size 148.9373$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 148.94$

SL 0.06155 (-5.38%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.10% / -1.63$ MAE -2.70% MFE +0.46% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169421)
#69 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3076

Quality Score
0.413
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169421)
#69 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3076

Quality Score
0.413
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#69 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#69 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.69×ATR
4h near 0.32×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 72.9%
1h 28.8%
4h 6.8%
24h 42.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 67.8% +0.05%
4h 33.9% -1.70%
24h 40.7% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.169
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4125
Score SMA
0.5673
Rank
#69 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3076
Rank Norm SMA
0.5495
Calculé le
01/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2680 r1h: -0.310% · r4h: 1.133% · r1d: -8.36% · r3d: -6.64% · ema21_slope: -0.4141% · dist_ema21: -2.852%
Force Relative 25% 0.3435 rs_1h: -0.487% · rs_4h: 1.798% · rs_1d: -8.98% · rs_3d: -7.36% · beta_24h: 0.721
Volume 20% 0.2278 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.600 · trend: 0.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7404 ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4743
Score SMA
0.6413
Rank
#46 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5038
Rank Norm SMA
0.7017
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4529 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.281% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -6.95% · ema21_slope: -0.2511% · dist_ema21: -7.348%
Force Relative 25% 0.3991 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.131% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -7.51% · beta_24h: 2.525
Volume 20% 0.5021 rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.431 · trend: 64.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6601 ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 44.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3918 ATR%: 4.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.376% (0.0031)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.455% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.455% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.2× 36
4h +1.688% 0.3R -2.698% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +7.730% 1.4R -2.698% 0.5R 2.9× 96
12h +7.730% 1.4R -2.698% 0.5R 2.9× 144
24h +7.730% 1.4R -2.722% 0.5R 2.8× 288
48h +24.073% 4.5R -2.722% 0.5R 8.8× 576
72h +24.073% 4.5R -2.722% 0.5R 8.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 444 min MAE in 1319 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.3ATR — 0.33 bull_high +1.21% -0.88 01/10 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 45% mid near -0.7ATR — 0.32 range_medium -0.29% -0.62 01/10 04:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.3ATR — 0.39 range_low -0.27% -0.04 01/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#190978
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.429 compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 42% late 12b -1.8ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.25 94% ↔ -0.05 below_value -7.09 — #103020 0.33 bull_high +1.21% -0.88
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor
#191359
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.488 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 45% mid 6b -1.4ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.20 35% ↑ +0.34 below_value -7.37 — #103257 0.32 range_medium -0.29% -0.62
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 05:11
15m
#191279
↓ down range range moderate fading 0.636 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early 6b -0.2ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.04 1% ↓ -0.68 below_value -7.09 — #103020 0.39 range_low -0.27% -0.04
01/10 04:45
upd 01/10 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 12b — 3.991×ATR p50 -1.783×ATR p83
1h ↑ up mid 6b — 1.5×ATR p2 -1.417×ATR p70
15m ↓ down early 6b — 1.195×ATR p0 -0.23×ATR p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06154532
  2. atr: 0.00104577
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2546
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05841 0.06155 0.02747
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05841
  • Stop Loss: 0.06155
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06155 - 0.05841 = 0.00314

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05841 - = 0.05841

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05841 / 0.00314 = 18.6019

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
148.9373 100 2549.9471 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00314

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00314 = 2547.77

Taille de position USD = 2547.77 x 0.05841 = 148.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 2547.77 avec un stoploss a 0.06155

Avec un position size USD de 148.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2547.77 x 0.00314 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2547.77 x 0.05841 = 148.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 148.82$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2547.77
  • Taille de position USD 148.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 148.82
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 18.6019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 148.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.38 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-1.63 $ -1.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6982 % 50.19 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05841 0.06155 0.02747
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05841
  • Stop Loss: 0.06155
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06155 - 0.05841 = 0.00314

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05841 - = 0.05841

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05841 / 0.00314 = 18.6019

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.376% (0.0031)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.455% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.455% 0.1R -2.698% 0.5R 0.2× 36
4h +1.688% 0.3R -2.698% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +7.730% 1.4R -2.698% 0.5R 2.9× 96
12h +7.730% 1.4R -2.698% 0.5R 2.9× 144
24h +7.730% 1.4R -2.722% 0.5R 2.8× 288
48h +24.073% 4.5R -2.722% 0.5R 8.8× 576
72h +24.073% 4.5R -2.722% 0.5R 8.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 444 min MAE in 1319 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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