01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on EIGEN (momentum_rotation_score)

With 653.24 EIGEN at 0.245$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2576 (4.97 %)

EIGEN SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2454$

Qty 653.2447 EIGEN

Size 160.3062$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 160.31$

SL 0.2576 (-4.97%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR

Status win PnL +0.49% / +0.78$ MAE -0.98% MFE +2.32% 0.5R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169400)
#38 / 78 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3946

Quality Score
0.478
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169400)
#38 / 78 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3946

Quality Score
0.478
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 78 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#38 / 78 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.68×ATR
4h near -0.38×ATR
1d clear 1.33×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 72.9%
1h 28.8%
4h 6.8%
24h 42.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 67.8% +0.05%
4h 33.9% -1.70%
24h 40.7% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.169
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5321
Score SMA
0.6190
Rank
#52 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3200
Rank Norm SMA
0.4760
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6748 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.19% · r3d: -11.24% · ema21_slope: 1.2783% · dist_ema21: 3.484%
Force Relative 25% 0.5010 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: -10.26% · beta_24h: 1.352
Volume 20% 0.4784 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 0.834 · trend: 32.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7251 ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4778
Score SMA
0.5442
Rank
#38 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3946
Rank Norm SMA
0.5010
Calculé le
01/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3476 r1h: -0.122% · r4h: -2.737% · r1d: -3.08% · r3d: -4.55% · ema21_slope: -0.0199% · dist_ema21: -1.259%
Force Relative 25% 0.3542 rs_1h: -0.299% · rs_4h: -2.072% · rs_1d: -3.70% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 1.406
Volume 20% 0.8040 rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 2.275 · trend: 45.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4153 ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 60.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4058
Score SMA
0.5471
Rank
#63 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3079
Rank Norm SMA
0.4325
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4270 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.579% · r1d: -1.52% · r3d: -3.61% · ema21_slope: -0.2097% · dist_ema21: -2.798%
Force Relative 25% 0.4107 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.167% · rs_1d: -1.68% · rs_3d: -4.17% · beta_24h: 3.185
Volume 20% 0.2593 rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.491 · trend: -11.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4264 ADX: 13.9 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5922 ATR%: 4.223% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.972% (0.0122)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.323% 0.5R -0.367% 0.1R 6.3× 12
2h +2.323% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 24
3h ★ +2.323% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 36
4h +2.364% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 48
8h +2.730% 0.6R -0.978% 0.2R 2.8× 96
12h +2.730% 0.6R -2.567% 0.5R 1.1× 144
24h +2.730% 0.6R -6.520% 1.3R 0.4× 288
48h +3.871% 0.8R -9.006% 1.8R 0.4× 576
72h +3.871% 0.8R -9.006% 1.8R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 354 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.58 bull_high +12.59% +0.45 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.4ATR — 0.53 bull_high +1.21% -0.79 01/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.7ATR — 0.52 range_medium -0.29% -0.19 01/10 04:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near 0.5ATR — 0.67 range_low -0.27% -0.24 01/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187683
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.576 expansion bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% early 14b 0.3ATR — — 1.20 83% ↑ +0.66 value -0.98 — #101601 0.58 bull_high +12.59% +0.45
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:24
4h
#190912
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.538 compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early 11b -0.7ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.76 68% ↔ -0.01 value -1.13 — #102998 0.53 bull_high +1.21% -0.79
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:15
1h anchor
#191337
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.453 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.8ATR near -0.7ATR — 2.53 93% ↓ -0.31 above_value -1.16 — #103235 0.52 range_medium -0.29% -0.19
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 05:10
15m
#191261
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.374 expansion bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 2b -1.1ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.20 38% ↑ +0.60 value -1.13 — #102998 0.67 range_low -0.27% -0.24
01/10 04:45
upd 01/10 05:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 2.739×ATR p11 +0.32×ATR p23
4h ↓ down early 11b — 2.421×ATR p28 -0.705×ATR p42
1h ↓ down early 4b — 1.869×ATR p24 -0.849×ATR p51
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.432×ATR p3 -1.096×ATR p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.25764656
  2. atr: 0.00408219
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2986
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2454 0.2576 0.1934
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2454
  • Stop Loss: 0.2576
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2576 - 0.2454 = 0.0122

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2454 - = 0.2454

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2454 / 0.0122 = 20.1148

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
160.3062 100 653.2447 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0122

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0122 = 655.74

Taille de position USD = 655.74 x 0.2454 = 160.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 655.74 avec un stoploss a 0.2576

Avec un position size USD de 160.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 655.74 x 0.0122 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 655.74 x 0.2454 = 160.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 160.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 655.74
  • Taille de position USD 160.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 160.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 20.1148

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 160.31 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.97 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
0.78 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.978 % 19.67 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2454 0.2576 0.1934
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2454
  • Stop Loss: 0.2576
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2576 - 0.2454 = 0.0122

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2454 - = 0.2454

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2454 / 0.0122 = 20.1148

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.972% (0.0122)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.323% 0.5R -0.367% 0.1R 6.3× 12
2h +2.323% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 24
3h ★ +2.323% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 36
4h +2.364% 0.5R -0.978% 0.2R 2.4× 48
8h +2.730% 0.6R -0.978% 0.2R 2.8× 96
12h +2.730% 0.6R -2.567% 0.5R 1.1× 144
24h +2.730% 0.6R -6.520% 1.3R 0.4× 288
48h +3.871% 0.8R -9.006% 1.8R 0.4× 576
72h +3.871% 0.8R -9.006% 1.8R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 354 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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