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Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 3101.17 MEGA at 0.0453$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04276 (5.69 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04534$

Qty 3101.1719 MEGA

Size 140.6009$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 140.61$

SL 0.04276 (-5.69%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.95% / +2.74$ MAE -0.97% MFE +5.06% 0.9R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169425)
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6097

Quality Score
0.665
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169425)
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6097

Quality Score
0.665
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.08×ATR
4h near -0.33×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 72.9%
1h 28.8%
4h 6.8%
24h 42.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 67.8% +0.05%
4h 33.9% -1.70%
24h 40.7% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.169
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.6652
Score SMA
0.6066
Rank
#6 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6097
Rank Norm SMA
0.6644
Calculé le
01/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6932 r1h: -0.049% · r4h: 2.240% · r1d: 5.50% · r3d: 10.64% · ema21_slope: 0.2429% · dist_ema21: 3.612%
Force Relative 25% 0.6949 rs_1h: -0.225% · rs_4h: 2.905% · rs_1d: 4.89% · rs_3d: 9.92% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume 20% 0.4756 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.301 · trend: 193.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7631 ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 18.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.974% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7774
Score SMA
0.6627
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8228
Rank Norm SMA
0.7022
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6856 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.641% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0312% · dist_ema21: 5.277%
Force Relative 25% 0.7298 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.053% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 10.94% · beta_24h: 2.399
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.51× · zscore_50: 4.778 · trend: 146.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6802 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8725 ATR%: 3.383% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.690% (0.0026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.294% 0.4R -0.973% 0.2R 2.4× 12
2h +2.633% 0.5R -0.973% 0.2R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +5.060% 0.9R -0.973% 0.2R 5.2× 36
4h +6.107% 1.1R -0.973% 0.2R 6.3× 48
8h +22.294% 3.9R -0.973% 0.2R 22.9× 96
12h +23.066% 4.1R -0.973% 0.2R 23.7× 144
24h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 288
48h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 576
72h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 919 min MAE in 49 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -0.3ATR 0.46 bull_high +1.21% +0.41 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.48 range_medium -0.29% +0.47 01/10 04:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.52 range_low -0.36% +0.17 01/10 04:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#190990
 ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.543 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 44% mid 2b 1.5ATR — near -0.3ATR 5.51 98% ↑ +0.42 above_value +3.25 — #103024 0.46 bull_high +1.21% +0.41
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor
#191363
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.735 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 43% late 1b 1.8ATR — — 0.85 91% ↑ +0.80 above_value -0.30 — #103261 0.48 range_medium -0.29% +0.47
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 05:11
15m
#191205
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.721 expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 41% mid 5b 0.2ATR — — 0.10 56% ↑ +0.20 above_value +3.25 — #103024 0.52 range_low -0.36% +0.17
01/10 04:30
upd 01/10 04:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up mid 2b — 2.571×ATR p23 +1.522×ATR p73
1h ↓ down late 1b — 2.321×ATR p27 +1.755×ATR p88
15m ↓ down mid 5b — 3.377×ATR p54 +0.189×ATR p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04275833
  2. atr: 0.00085989
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.661
  4. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04534 0.04276 0.04507
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04534
  • Stop Loss: 0.04276
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04276 - 0.04534 = -0.00258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04534 - = 0.04534

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04534 / -0.00258 = -17.5736

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
140.6009 100 3101.1719 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00258

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00258 = -3100.78

Taille de position USD = -3100.78 x 0.04534 = -140.59

Donc, tu peux acheter -3100.78 avec un stoploss a 0.04276

Avec un position size USD de -140.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3100.78 x -0.00258 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3100.78 x 0.04534 = -140.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -140.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3100.78
  • Taille de position USD -140.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -140.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -17.5736

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 140.61 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.74 $ 1.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9727 % 17.09 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04534 0.04276 0.04507
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04534
  • Stop Loss: 0.04276
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04276 - 0.04534 = -0.00258

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04534 - = 0.04534

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04534 / -0.00258 = -17.5736

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.690% (0.0026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.294% 0.4R -0.973% 0.2R 2.4× 12
2h +2.633% 0.5R -0.973% 0.2R 2.7× 24
3h ★ +5.060% 0.9R -0.973% 0.2R 5.2× 36
4h +6.107% 1.1R -0.973% 0.2R 6.3× 48
8h +22.294% 3.9R -0.973% 0.2R 22.9× 96
12h +23.066% 4.1R -0.973% 0.2R 23.7× 144
24h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 288
48h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 576
72h +24.098% 4.2R -0.973% 0.2R 24.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 919 min MAE in 49 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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