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Long Trade on STX

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01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 210.63 STX at 0.39$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.352 (9.72 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3899$

Qty 210.6287 STX

Size 82.1347$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 82.12$

SL 0.352 (-9.72%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.02% / -2.48$ MAE -3.97% MFE +0.30% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169370)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9902

Quality Score
0.773
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169370)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9902

Quality Score
0.773
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.43×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.26×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 18.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 72.9%
1h 28.8%
4h 6.8%
24h 42.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 67.8% +0.05%
4h 33.9% -1.70%
24h 40.7% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.169
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8612
Score SMA
0.6657
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6746
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9717 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227%
Force Relative 25% 0.9615 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8622 ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.7727
Score SMA
0.5735
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9902
Rank Norm SMA
0.5319
Calculé le
01/10/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8152 r1h: -1.801% · r4h: 0.661% · r1d: 24.38% · r3d: 23.82% · ema21_slope: 0.8866% · dist_ema21: 5.464%
Force Relative 25% 0.6952 rs_1h: -1.978% · rs_4h: 1.325% · rs_1d: 23.76% · rs_3d: 23.10% · beta_24h: 0.730
Volume 20% 0.5837 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 1.106 · trend: 120.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 1.0000 ADX: 65.4 (trend) · Chop: 28.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8761 ATR%: 3.372% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.9039
Score SMA
0.6215
Rank
#1 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.5746
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9594 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.114% · r1d: 27.49% · r3d: 25.85% · ema21_slope: 0.4351% · dist_ema21: 17.062%
Force Relative 25% 0.9485 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.526% · rs_1d: 27.33% · rs_3d: 25.29% · beta_24h: 2.102
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.25× · zscore_50: 4.315 · trend: 266.49%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7366 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 14.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6843 ATR%: 3.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.720% (0.0379)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.0R -2.021% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.298% 0.0R -2.842% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.298% 0.0R -3.968% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.298% 0.0R -4.386% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.298% 0.0R -4.883% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.298% 0.0R -4.883% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.298% 0.0R -5.360% 0.6R 0.1× 288
48h +0.298% 0.0R -9.977% 1.0R 0.0× 576
72h +2.154% 0.2R -9.977% 1.0R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 984 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 49% late — near -0.3ATR 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.99 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.38 bull_high +1.21% +0.94 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.33 range_medium -0.29% +0.95 01/10 04:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.31 range_low -0.27% +0.15 01/10 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187556
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.554 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 49% late 14b 2.0ATR — near -0.3ATR 4.29 100% ↑ +0.62 above_value +5.97 — #101571 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.99
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
4h
#190849
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.550 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 50% late 13b 3.8ATR — — 5.25 100% ↑ +0.82 above_value +6.76 inside #102968 0.38 bull_high +1.21% +0.94
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:13
1h anchor
#191306
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.598 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 43% mid 2b 1.3ATR — — 1.19 97% ↑ +0.40 above_value +5.98 — #103205 0.33 range_medium -0.29% +0.95
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 05:09
15m
#191231
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.631 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid 8b -0.1ATR — — 0.17 66% ↔ +0.11 above_value +6.76 — #102968 0.31 range_low -0.27% +0.15
01/10 04:45
upd 01/10 05:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 14b — 4.895×ATR p62 +1.959×ATR p82
4h ↑ up late 13b — 6.148×ATR p91 +3.751×ATR p96
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.989×ATR p27 +1.34×ATR p64
15m ↓ down mid 8b — 3.513×ATR p63 -0.058×ATR p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.35196848
  2. atr: 0.01266051
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.8152
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3899 0.352 0.3019
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3899
  • Stop Loss: 0.352
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.352 - 0.3899 = -0.0379

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3899 - = 0.3899

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3899 / -0.0379 = -10.2876

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
82.1347 82.1347 210.6287 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0379

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0379 = -211.08

Taille de position USD = -211.08 x 0.3899 = -82.3

Donc, tu peux acheter -211.08 avec un stoploss a 0.352

Avec un position size USD de -82.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -211.08 x -0.0379 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -211.08 x 0.3899 = -82.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -82.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -211.08
  • Taille de position USD -82.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -82.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -10.2876

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 82.12 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.72 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-2.48 $ -3.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1111 % 32.01 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3899 0.352 0.3019
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3899
  • Stop Loss: 0.352
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.352 - 0.3899 = -0.0379

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3899 - = 0.3899

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3899 / -0.0379 = -10.2876

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3899
            [stop_loss] => 0.34821
            [rr_ratio] => 9.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3899
            [stop_loss] => 0.34442
            [rr_ratio] => 8.57
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3899
            [stop_loss] => 0.34063
            [rr_ratio] => 7.91
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3899
            [stop_loss] => 0.33305
            [rr_ratio] => 6.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.720% (0.0379)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.0R -2.021% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.298% 0.0R -2.842% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.298% 0.0R -3.968% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.298% 0.0R -4.386% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.298% 0.0R -4.883% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.298% 0.0R -4.883% 0.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.298% 0.0R -5.360% 0.6R 0.1× 288
48h +0.298% 0.0R -9.977% 1.0R 0.0× 576
72h +2.154% 0.2R -9.977% 1.0R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 984 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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