Short Trade on EIGEN

Previous Trade Next Trade

01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on EIGEN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 773.17 EIGEN at 0.245$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2393 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2557 (4.2 %)

EIGEN SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 10:50 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2454$

Qty 773.1717 EIGEN

Size 189.7363$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2393 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.72$

SL 0.2557 (-4.2%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.59

Status win PnL +2.49% / +4.72$ MAE -0.98% MFE +2.73% 0.7R expires 01 Oct 11:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169400)

#38 / 78 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3946

Quality Score

0.478

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169400)

#38 / 78 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3946

Quality Score

0.478

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#38 / 78 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 78 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.68×ATR
4h	near	-0.38×ATR
1d	clear	1.33×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 18.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	72.9%
1h	28.8%
4h	6.8%
24h	42.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	67.8%	+0.05%
4h	33.9%	-1.70%
24h	40.7%	-0.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.169

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5321

Score SMA

0.6190

Rank

#52 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3200

Rank Norm SMA

0.4760

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6748	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.19% · r3d: -11.24% · ema21_slope: 1.2783% · dist_ema21: 3.484%
Force Relative	25%	0.5010	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: -10.26% · beta_24h: 1.352
Volume	20%	0.4784	rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 0.834 · trend: 32.86%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7251	ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.4778

Score SMA

0.5442

Rank

#38 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3946

Rank Norm SMA

0.5010

Calculé le

01/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3476	r1h: -0.122% · r4h: -2.737% · r1d: -3.08% · r3d: -4.55% · ema21_slope: -0.0199% · dist_ema21: -1.259%
Force Relative	25%	0.3542	rs_1h: -0.299% · rs_4h: -2.072% · rs_1d: -3.70% · rs_3d: -5.28% · beta_24h: 1.406
Volume	20%	0.8040	rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 2.275 · trend: 45.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4153	ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 60.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4058

Score SMA

0.5471

Rank

#63 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3079

Rank Norm SMA

0.4325

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4270	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.579% · r1d: -1.52% · r3d: -3.61% · ema21_slope: -0.2097% · dist_ema21: -2.798%
Force Relative	25%	0.4107	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.167% · rs_1d: -1.68% · rs_3d: -4.17% · beta_24h: 3.185
Volume	20%	0.2593	rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.491 · trend: -11.73%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4264	ADX: 13.9 (weak) · Chop: 61.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5922	ATR%: 4.223% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.197% (0.0103)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.323%	0.6R	-0.367%	0.1R	6.3×	12
2h	+2.323%	0.6R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.4×	24
4h	+2.364%	0.6R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.4×	48
6h ★	+2.730%	0.7R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.8×	72
8h	+2.730%	0.7R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.8×	96
12h	+2.730%	0.7R	-2.567%	0.6R	1.1×	144
24h	+2.730%	0.7R	-6.520%	1.6R	0.4×	288
48h	+3.871%	0.9R	-9.006%	2.2R	0.4×	576
72h	+3.871%	0.9R	-9.006%	2.2R	0.4×	864

⏱ MFE in 354 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.27

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.45	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.53	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.79	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early	near -0.7ATR	—	0.52	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.19	01/10 04:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early	near 0.5ATR	—	0.67	range_low	-0.27%	-0.24	01/10 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187683	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.576	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early 14b 0.3ATR	—	—	1.20	83%	↑ +0.66	value	-0.98	—	#101601	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.45	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:24
4h #190912	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.538	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early 11b -0.7ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.76	68%	↔ -0.01	value	-1.13	—	#102998	0.53	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.79	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:15
1h anchor #191337	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.453	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	2.53	93%	↓ -0.31	above_value	-1.16	—	#103235	0.52	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.19	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 05:10
15m #191261	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.374	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early 2b -1.1ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.20	38%	↑ +0.60	value	-1.13	—	#102998	0.67	range_low	-0.27%	-0.24	01/10 04:45 upd 01/10 05:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	2.739×ATR	p11	+0.32×ATR	p23
4h	↓ down	early	11b	—	2.421×ATR	p28	-0.705×ATR	p42
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.869×ATR	p24	-0.849×ATR	p51
15m	↑ up	early	2b	—	1.432×ATR	p3	-1.096×ATR	p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.25574699
tp_price: 0.239265
atr: 0.0041388
expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 78
score: 0.2986
delta_2h: -0.2036
extension_atr: -0.64
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3783
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2454	0.2557	0.2393	0.59	0.1957

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2454
Stop Loss: 0.2557
Take Profit: 0.2393

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2557 - 0.2454 = 0.0103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2454 - 0.2393 = 0.0061
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0103 = 0.5922

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
189.7363	100	773.1717	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0103

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0103 = 776.7

Taille de position USD = 776.7 x 0.2454 = 190.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 776.7 avec un stoploss a 0.2557

Avec un position size USD de 190.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 776.7 x 0.0103 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 776.7 x 0.0061 = 4.74

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.74$

Résumé

Taille de position 776.7
Taille de position USD 190.6
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.74
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5922

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	4.72 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.2 %	7.96 $

PNL	PNL %
4.72 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.978 %	23.3 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2454	0.2557	0.2393	0.59	0.1957

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2454
Stop Loss: 0.2557
Take Profit: 0.2393

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2557 - 0.2454 = 0.0103
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2454 - 0.2393 = 0.0061
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0103 = 0.5922

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.197% (0.0103)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.323%	0.6R	-0.367%	0.1R	6.3×	12
2h	+2.323%	0.6R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.4×	24
4h	+2.364%	0.6R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.4×	48
6h ★	+2.730%	0.7R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.8×	72
8h	+2.730%	0.7R	-0.978%	0.2R	2.8×	96
12h	+2.730%	0.7R	-2.567%	0.6R	1.1×	144
24h	+2.730%	0.7R	-6.520%	1.6R	0.4×	288
48h	+3.871%	0.9R	-9.006%	2.2R	0.4×	576
72h	+3.871%	0.9R	-9.006%	2.2R	0.4×	864

⏱ MFE in 354 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.