01 Oct 2026 at 06:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STRK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3996.76 STRK at 0.0433$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04442 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04134 (4.61 %)

STRK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 06:15 → 12:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04334$

Qty 3996.7626 STRK

Size 173.2197$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04442 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.32$

SL 0.04134 (-4.61%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.54

Status loss PnL -2.56% / -4.44$ MAE -4.08% MFE +0.51% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 12:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169472)
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9227

Quality Score
0.602
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 06:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169472)
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9227

Quality Score
0.602
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.61 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.17×ATR
4h near -0.55×ATR
1d clear 1.36×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 06:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4545
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 11.7%
1h 65.0%
4h 10.0%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 25.0% -0.16%
4h 25.0% -1.33%
24h 38.3% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.138
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 06:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6343
Score SMA
0.5953
Rank
#28 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6400
Rank Norm SMA
0.3732
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8795 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.03% · r3d: 2.35% · ema21_slope: 1.7016% · dist_ema21: 13.304%
Force Relative 25% 0.7764 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.05% · rs_3d: 3.33% · beta_24h: 2.517
Volume 20% 0.2591 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.052 · trend: -3.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8302 ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 32.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6015
Score SMA
0.5421
Rank
#6 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9227
Rank Norm SMA
0.4951
Calculé le
01/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6572 r1h: 0.298% · r4h: 0.160% · r1d: 3.64% · r3d: 13.08% · ema21_slope: 0.1973% · dist_ema21: 1.271%
Force Relative 25% 0.6595 rs_1h: 0.047% · rs_4h: 0.794% · rs_1d: 3.46% · rs_3d: 11.73% · beta_24h: 1.141
Volume 20% 0.2610 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.658 · trend: 28.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5558 ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6667
Score SMA
0.4931
Rank
#6 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8820
Rank Norm SMA
0.3292
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7702 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.250% · r1d: 6.14% · r3d: 12.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2578% · dist_ema21: 4.344%
Force Relative 25% 0.7713 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.662% · rs_1d: 5.99% · rs_3d: 11.67% · beta_24h: 2.089
Volume 20% 0.4628 rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 0.627 · trend: -14.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5104 ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7369 ATR%: 3.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.615% (0.0020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.508% 0.1R -0.854% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +0.508% 0.1R -1.223% 0.3R 0.4× 24
4h +0.508% 0.1R -3.646% 0.8R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.508% 0.1R -4.084% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.508% 0.1R -4.084% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.508% 0.1R -5.145% 1.1R 0.1× 144
24h +4.107% 0.9R -5.145% 1.1R 0.8× 288
48h +4.107% 0.9R -6.207% 1.3R 0.7× 576
72h +30.665% 6.6R -6.207% 1.3R 4.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1134 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.57 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -0.6ATR 0.41 bull_high +1.21% +0.51 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 43% early — near -1.2ATR 0.32 range_medium -0.04% +0.38 01/10 05:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.53 range_low +0.11% +0.07 01/10 05:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187665
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.824 volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early 10b 0.9ATR — — 0.48 89% ↑ +0.72 above_value +2.57 — #101595 0.57 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:23
4h
#190897
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.589 normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 40% mid 4b 1.1ATR — near -0.6ATR 1.58 83% ↔ +0.02 above_value +3.60 — #102992 0.41 bull_high +1.21% +0.51
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:14
1h anchor
#191726
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.699 normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 43% early 2b 0.7ATR — near -1.2ATR 0.20 15% ↔ +0.11 above_value +3.37 — #103387 0.32 range_medium -0.04% +0.38
01/10 05:00
upd 01/10 06:11
15m
#191569
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.631 expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b 0.2ATR — — 0.01 1% ↓ -0.47 above_value +3.11 — #103229 0.53 range_low +0.11% +0.07
01/10 05:30
upd 01/10 05:46
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 1.98×ATR p0 +0.924×ATR p44
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.815×ATR p0 +1.07×ATR p64
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.446×ATR p6 +0.712×ATR p51
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.679×ATR p0 +0.227×ATR p19

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04133838
  2. tp_price: 0.0444235
  3. atr: 0.00080065
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T16:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.6641
  4. delta_2h: 0.0213
  5. extension_atr: 0.02
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9227
  9. confidence: 0.948

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04334 0.04134 0.04442 0.54 0.04618
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04334
  • Stop Loss: 0.04134
  • Take Profit: 0.04442

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04134 - 0.04334 = -0.002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04334 - 0.04442 = -0.00108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00108 / -0.002 = 0.54

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
173.2197 100 3996.7626 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.002

Taille de position = 8 / -0.002 = -4000

Taille de position USD = -4000 x 0.04334 = -173.36

Donc, tu peux acheter -4000 avec un stoploss a 0.04134

Avec un position size USD de -173.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4000 x -0.002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4000 x -0.00108 = 4.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4000
  • Taille de position USD -173.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.54

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.32 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.61 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-4.44 $ -2.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.084 % 88.5 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04334 0.04134 0.04442 0.54 0.04618
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04334
  • Stop Loss: 0.04134
  • Take Profit: 0.04442

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04134 - 0.04334 = -0.002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04334 - 0.04442 = -0.00108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00108 / -0.002 = 0.54

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.615% (0.0020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.508% 0.1R -0.854% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +0.508% 0.1R -1.223% 0.3R 0.4× 24
4h +0.508% 0.1R -3.646% 0.8R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.508% 0.1R -4.084% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.508% 0.1R -4.084% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.508% 0.1R -5.145% 1.1R 0.1× 144
24h +4.107% 0.9R -5.145% 1.1R 0.8× 288
48h +4.107% 0.9R -6.207% 1.3R 0.7× 576
72h +30.665% 6.6R -6.207% 1.3R 4.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1134 min MAE in 559 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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