01 Oct 2026 at 07:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 619.27 FET at 0.234$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2396 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2208 (5.52 %)

FET LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 07:15 → 07:50 · 34 minutes

Position

Entry 0.2337$

Qty 619.2684 FET

Size 144.7292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2396 (+2.52%)

TP $ 3.65$

SL 0.2208 (-5.52%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +2.52% / +3.65$ MAE -4.37% MFE +2.65% 0.5R expires 01 Oct 13:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169540)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9099

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169540)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9099

Quality Score
0.674
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.22×ATR
4h near -0.11×ATR
1d clear 1.44×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4549
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 10.8%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 35.5%
1h 22.6%
4h 3.2%
24h 24.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 41.9% -0.07%
4h 9.7% -2.22%
24h 25.8% -1.63%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.184
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 07:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6404
Score SMA
0.6989
Rank
#27 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6533
Rank Norm SMA
0.6882
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8324 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.82% · r3d: -7.51% · ema21_slope: 2.2556% · dist_ema21: 12.365%
Force Relative 25% 0.7234 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.83% · rs_3d: -6.53% · beta_24h: 1.788
Volume 20% 0.4388 rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.504 · trend: 39.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8136 ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 28.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.048% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.6736
Score SMA
0.5778
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9099
Rank Norm SMA
0.5911
Calculé le
01/10/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6610 r1h: 2.000% · r4h: -2.819% · r1d: 7.20% · r3d: 2.98% · ema21_slope: 0.2753% · dist_ema21: 2.029%
Force Relative 25% 0.6236 rs_1h: 1.780% · rs_4h: -2.621% · rs_1d: 7.13% · rs_3d: 1.79% · beta_24h: 1.716
Volume 20% 0.5838 rvol_20: 1.74× · zscore_50: 0.959 · trend: 40.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6843 ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.258% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6329
Score SMA
0.6130
Rank
#7 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8097
Rank Norm SMA
0.6380
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6945 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.687% · r1d: 8.85% · r3d: 2.76% · ema21_slope: -0.1100% · dist_ema21: 3.289%
Force Relative 25% 0.7646 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.099% · rs_1d: 8.69% · rs_3d: 2.19% · beta_24h: 3.057
Volume 20% 0.4431 rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.423 · trend: -1.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5365 ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6432 ATR%: 4.071% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.520% (0.0129)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.653% 0.5R -0.026% 0.0R 103.2× 12
2h +2.653% 0.5R -3.513% 0.6R 0.8× 24
4h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 72
8h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 96
12h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 144
24h +3.603% 0.7R -4.373% 0.8R 0.8× 288
48h +3.603% 0.7R -8.122% 1.5R 0.4× 576
72h +3.603% 0.7R -8.122% 1.5R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1059 min MAE in 234 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.66 bull_high +12.59% +0.99 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -0.1ATR 0.60 bull_high +1.21% -0.34 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.54 range_medium +0.18% +0.54 01/10 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.58 range_low +0.20% -0.12 01/10 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187626
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.671 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 1.2ATR — — 1.04 83% ↑ +0.60 above_value -0.24 — #101586 0.66 bull_high +12.59% +0.99
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:22
4h
#190879
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.611 normal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% early 6b 0.8ATR — near -0.1ATR 1.44 89% ↓ -0.16 value +1.10 — #102983 0.60 bull_high +1.21% -0.34
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:14
1h anchor
#192112
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.710 expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 44% early 3b 0.9ATR — — 1.74 81% ↑ +0.59 value +1.00 — #103536 0.54 range_medium +0.18% +0.54
01/10 06:00
upd 01/10 07:10
15m
#192036
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.704 expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early 3b 0.6ATR — — 0.69 68% ↔ +0.07 above_value +0.13 — #103378 0.58 range_low +0.20% -0.12
01/10 06:45
upd 01/10 07:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 1.672×ATR p0 +1.153×ATR p51
4h ↑ up early 6b — 2.375×ATR p28 +0.766×ATR p40
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.828×ATR p16 +0.859×ATR p46
15m ↑ up early 3b — 3.039×ATR p36 +0.625×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.22079153
  2. tp_price: 0.23955275
  3. atr: 0.00516739
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T17:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.661
  4. delta_2h: 0.0671
  5. extension_atr: 0.36
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9099
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2337 0.2208 0.2396 0.46 0.1833
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2337
  • Stop Loss: 0.2208
  • Take Profit: 0.2396

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2208 - 0.2337 = -0.0129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2337 - 0.2396 = -0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0059 / -0.0129 = 0.4574

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.7292 100 619.2684 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0129

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0129 = -620.16

Taille de position USD = -620.16 x 0.2337 = -144.93

Donc, tu peux acheter -620.16 avec un stoploss a 0.2208

Avec un position size USD de -144.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -620.16 x -0.0129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -620.16 x -0.0059 = 3.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.66$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -620.16
  • Taille de position USD -144.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.66
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4574

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 3.65 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.52 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.65 $ 2.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0257 % 0.47 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2337 0.2208 0.2396 0.46 0.1833
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2337
  • Stop Loss: 0.2208
  • Take Profit: 0.2396

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2208 - 0.2337 = -0.0129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2337 - 0.2396 = -0.0059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0059 / -0.0129 = 0.4574

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.520% (0.0129)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.653% 0.5R -0.026% 0.0R 103.2× 12
2h +2.653% 0.5R -3.513% 0.6R 0.8× 24
4h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 72
8h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 96
12h +2.653% 0.5R -4.373% 0.8R 0.6× 144
24h +3.603% 0.7R -4.373% 0.8R 0.8× 288
48h +3.603% 0.7R -8.122% 1.5R 0.4× 576
72h +3.603% 0.7R -8.122% 1.5R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1059 min MAE in 234 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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