Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 07:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2906.68 2Z at 0.0588$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0573 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06152 (4.68 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 07:15 → 10:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05877$

Qty 2906.681 2Z

Size 170.814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0573 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.27$

SL 0.06152 (-4.68%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.53

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.27$ MAE -1.47% MFE +8.30% 1.8R expires 01 Oct 13:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169577)

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2510

Quality Score

0.364

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169577)

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2510

Quality Score

0.364

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-1

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.68 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.68 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.54×ATR
4h	near	0.32×ATR
1d	clear	1.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 06:00 Score : -1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4549

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.8%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	35.5%
1h	22.6%
4h	3.2%
24h	24.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	41.9%	-0.07%
4h	9.7%	-2.22%
24h	25.8%	-1.63%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.184

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 07:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5520

Score SMA

0.6841

Rank

#46 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6512

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6375	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative	25%	0.4319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.6983	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7538	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 07:00

Score brut

0.3641

Score SMA

0.5672

Rank

#78 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2510

Rank Norm SMA

0.5509

Calculé le

01/10/2026 07:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2506	r1h: -0.513% · r4h: -0.215% · r1d: -8.25% · r3d: -8.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3500% · dist_ema21: -2.181%
Force Relative	25%	0.2884	rs_1h: -0.732% · rs_4h: -0.016% · rs_1d: -8.32% · rs_3d: -9.21% · beta_24h: 0.726
Volume	20%	0.2056	rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.512 · trend: -20.20%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6164	ADX: 38.6 (trend) · Chop: 63.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.006% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4743

Score SMA

0.6413

Rank

#46 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5038

Rank Norm SMA

0.7017

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4529	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.281% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -6.95% · ema21_slope: -0.2511% · dist_ema21: -7.348%
Force Relative	25%	0.3991	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.131% · rs_1d: -8.25% · rs_3d: -7.51% · beta_24h: 2.525
Volume	20%	0.5021	rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.431 · trend: 64.88%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6601	ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 44.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3918	ATR%: 4.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.679% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.490%	0.1R	-1.474%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+2.290%	0.5R	-1.474%	0.3R	1.6×	24
4h	+3.657%	0.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	2.5×	48
6h ★	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	72
8h	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	96
12h	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	144
24h	+8.295%	1.8R	-2.093%	0.5R	4.0×	288
48h	+24.538%	5.2R	-2.093%	0.5R	11.7×	576
72h	+24.538%	5.2R	-2.093%	0.5R	11.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 324 min MAE in 1199 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.95

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.3ATR	—	0.33	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.88	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	near -0.5ATR	—	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 06:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.41	range_low	+0.20%	+0.02	01/10 06:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187747	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.802	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.84	98%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #190978	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.429	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 42%	late 12b -1.8ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	1.25	94%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-7.09	—	#103020	0.33	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.88	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor #192149	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.486	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 1b -1.2ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.25	40%	↔ -0.03	below_value	-8.40	—	#103573	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 06:00 upd 01/10 07:11
15m #192069	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.620	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 5b 0.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.19	15%	↓ -0.55	below_value	-6.06	—	#103415	0.41	range_low	+0.20%	+0.02	01/10 06:45 upd 01/10 07:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.454×ATR	p35	+0.443×ATR	p30
4h	↓ down	late	12b	—	3.991×ATR	p50	-1.783×ATR	p83
1h	↓ down	mid	1b	—	1.156×ATR	p2	-1.184×ATR	p61
15m	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.601×ATR	p31	+0.203×ATR	p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06151828
tp_price: 0.05729685
atr: 0.00110091
expires_at: 2026-10-01T17:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 79
score: 0.2325
delta_2h: -0.0355
extension_atr: -0.88
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2478
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05877	0.06152	0.0573	0.53	0.0289

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05877
Stop Loss: 0.06152
Take Profit: 0.0573

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06152 - 0.05877 = 0.00275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05877 - 0.0573 = 0.00147
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.00275 = 0.5345

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
170.814	100	2906.681	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00275

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00275 = 2909.09

Taille de position USD = 2909.09 x 0.05877 = 170.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 2909.09 avec un stoploss a 0.06152

Avec un position size USD de 170.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00275 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2909.09 x 0.00147 = 4.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.28$

Résumé

Taille de position 2909.09
Taille de position USD 170.97
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.28
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5345

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.27 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.68 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
4.27 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.4735 %	31.49 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05877	0.06152	0.0573	0.53	0.0289

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05877
Stop Loss: 0.06152
Take Profit: 0.0573

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06152 - 0.05877 = 0.00275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05877 - 0.0573 = 0.00147
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.00275 = 0.5345

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.679% (0.0028)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.490%	0.1R	-1.474%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+2.290%	0.5R	-1.474%	0.3R	1.6×	24
4h	+3.657%	0.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	2.5×	48
6h ★	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	72
8h	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	96
12h	+8.295%	1.8R	-1.474%	0.3R	5.6×	144
24h	+8.295%	1.8R	-2.093%	0.5R	4.0×	288
48h	+24.538%	5.2R	-2.093%	0.5R	11.7×	576
72h	+24.538%	5.2R	-2.093%	0.5R	11.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 324 min MAE in 1199 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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