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Long Trade on AR

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 26.04 AR at 4.466$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1583 (6.88 %)

AR LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 4.4655$

Qty 26.0376 AR

Size 116.2709$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 116.27$

SL 4.1583 (-6.88%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.67% / -1.94$ MAE -3.05% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169629)
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5227

Quality Score
0.619
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169629)
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5227

Quality Score
0.619
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.73×ATR
4h clear 3.37×ATR
1d clear 1.52×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.9%
1h 17.2%
4h 31.3%
24h 23.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.9% +0.07%
4h 17.2% -0.59%
24h 25.0% -1.71%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.136
Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5421
Score SMA
0.6368
Rank
#50 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3467
Rank Norm SMA
0.5431
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6494 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.64% · r3d: -12.75% · ema21_slope: 2.9697% · dist_ema21: 5.835%
Force Relative 25% 0.4701 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.63% · rs_3d: -11.77% · beta_24h: 2.348
Volume 20% 0.4697 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.700 · trend: 50.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9056 ADX: 48.7 (trend) · Chop: 28.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.210% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6192
Score SMA
0.5185
Rank
#5 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5227
Rank Norm SMA
0.3962
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7093 r1h: 1.421% · r4h: 9.368% · r1d: 5.63% · r3d: 3.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0996% · dist_ema21: 5.693%
Force Relative 25% 0.7819 rs_1h: 1.483% · rs_4h: 8.783% · rs_1d: 5.63% · rs_3d: 2.97% · beta_24h: 1.963
Volume 20% 0.2665 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.107 · trend: 5.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6735 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 28.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5536
Score SMA
0.4893
Rank
#14 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4404
Rank Norm SMA
0.2735
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6626 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 9.368% · r1d: 5.63% · r3d: 3.94% · ema21_slope: -0.3028% · dist_ema21: 4.262%
Force Relative 25% 0.7274 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 8.783% · rs_1d: 5.63% · rs_3d: 2.97% · beta_24h: 3.508
Volume 20% 0.4297 rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.113 · trend: -9.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4309 ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5384 ATR%: 4.385% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.879% (0.3072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.430% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.430% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.048% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.048% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 288
48h +7.045% 1.0R -7.932% 1.2R 0.9× 576
72h +7.045% 1.0R -7.932% 1.2R 0.9× 864

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 36% late near -3.1ATR — 0.33 bull_high +1.21% -0.86 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.21 range_medium +0.18% +0.25 01/10 06:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 53% mid — — 0.50 range_low +0.12% +0.65 01/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187671
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.822 volatile_reversal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% early 10b 0.4ATR — — 1.06 94% ↑ +0.83 below_value -5.80 — #101597 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:23
4h
#190901
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.610 compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 36% late 21b -1.2ATR near -3.1ATR — 0.58 69% ↓ -0.40 below_value -6.95 — #102994 0.33 bull_high +1.21% -0.86
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:15
1h anchor
#192123
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.697 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 41% late 1b 2.2ATR — — 1.19 88% ↔ -0.02 value -1.77 — #103547 0.21 range_medium +0.18% +0.25
01/10 06:00
upd 01/10 07:10
15m
#192445
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.566 volatile_reversal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 53% mid 3b 1.9ATR — — 0.52 67% ↑ +0.30 value -1.77 — #103547 0.50 range_low +0.12% +0.65
01/10 07:45
upd 01/10 08:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 2.541×ATR p0 +0.352×ATR p24
4h ↓ down late 21b — 6.015×ATR p90 -1.213×ATR p58
1h ↓ down late 1b — 1.539×ATR p4 +2.154×ATR p94
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 2.055×ATR p24 +1.887×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.15825189
  2. atr: 0.10241604
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.65
  4. confidence: 0.949

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.4655 4.1583 3.5324
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.4655
  • Stop Loss: 4.1583
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1583 - 4.4655 = -0.3072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.4655 - = 4.4655

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.4655 / -0.3072 = -14.5361

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
116.2709 100 26.0376 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3072

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3072 = -26.04

Taille de position USD = -26.04 x 4.4655 = -116.28

Donc, tu peux acheter -26.04 avec un stoploss a 4.1583

Avec un position size USD de -116.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -26.04 x -0.3072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -26.04 x 4.4655 = -116.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -116.28$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -26.04
  • Taille de position USD -116.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -116.28
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -14.5361

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 116.27 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.88 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.94 $ -1.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0478 % 44.3 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.4655 4.1583 3.5324
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.4655
  • Stop Loss: 4.1583
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1583 - 4.4655 = -0.3072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.4655 - = 4.4655

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.4655 / -0.3072 = -14.5361

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.4655
            [stop_loss] => 4.12758
            [rr_ratio] => 13.21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.4655
            [stop_loss] => 4.09686
            [rr_ratio] => 12.11
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.4655
            [stop_loss] => 4.06614
            [rr_ratio] => 11.18
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 4.4655
            [stop_loss] => 4.0047
            [rr_ratio] => 9.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.879% (0.3072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.430% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.430% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.048% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.048% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.264% 0.9R 0.0× 288
48h +7.045% 1.0R -7.932% 1.2R 0.9× 576
72h +7.045% 1.0R -7.932% 1.2R 0.9× 864

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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