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Short Trade on LDO

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 325.29 LDO at 0.446$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4705 (5.52 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.4459$

Qty 325.2946 LDO

Size 145.0651$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 145.05$

SL 0.4705 (-5.52%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.14% / +1.66$ MAE -0.37% MFE +2.17% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169601)
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2110

Quality Score
0.373
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169601)
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2110

Quality Score
0.373
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.29×ATR
4h near -1.00×ATR
1d clear 3.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 07:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.9%
1h 17.2%
4h 31.3%
24h 23.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.9% +0.07%
4h 17.2% -0.59%
24h 25.0% -1.71%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.136
Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6131
Score SMA
0.6928
Rank
#32 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5867
Rank Norm SMA
0.6916
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7463 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.93% · r3d: -7.52% · ema21_slope: 1.3198% · dist_ema21: 7.713%
Force Relative 25% 0.6361 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -6.54% · beta_24h: 1.490
Volume 20% 0.5868 rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.903 · trend: 79.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7525 ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3727
Score SMA
0.5885
Rank
#75 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2110
Rank Norm SMA
0.6144
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3666 r1h: 0.022% · r4h: -0.408% · r1d: -7.97% · r3d: -2.31% · ema21_slope: -0.1876% · dist_ema21: -1.584%
Force Relative 25% 0.3558 rs_1h: 0.084% · rs_4h: -0.994% · rs_1d: -7.97% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: 0.920
Volume 20% 0.1713 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.615 · trend: -40.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4818 ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.902% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4172
Score SMA
0.6041
Rank
#61 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3390
Rank Norm SMA
0.6137
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4989 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.408% · r1d: -7.97% · r3d: -2.31% · ema21_slope: -0.0378% · dist_ema21: -3.030%
Force Relative 25% 0.4373 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.994% · rs_1d: -7.97% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: 2.111
Volume 20% 0.2318 rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: 3.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4853 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5249 ATR%: 4.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.517% (0.0246)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.563% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.563% 0.3R -0.375% 0.1R 4.2× 24
3h ★ +2.166% 0.4R -0.375% 0.1R 5.8× 36
4h +2.404% 0.4R -0.375% 0.1R 6.4× 48
8h +2.756% 0.5R -0.375% 0.1R 7.4× 96
12h +3.344% 0.6R -0.375% 0.1R 8.9× 144
24h +3.344% 0.6R -2.821% 0.5R 1.2× 288
48h +4.817% 0.9R -7.015% 1.3R 0.7× 576
72h +4.817% 0.9R -7.015% 1.3R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 569 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.49
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.65 bull_high +12.59% +0.86 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early near -1.0ATR — 0.51 bull_high +1.77% -0.67 01/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.3ATR — 0.46 range_medium +0.12% -0.33 01/10 07:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 43% early — near -0.5ATR 0.41 range_low +0.12% -0.05 01/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187548
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.635 expansion_after_compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% early 14b 0.7ATR — — 1.46 94% ↑ +0.88 above_value -2.94 — #101569 0.65 bull_high +12.59% +0.86
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:18
4h
#192505
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.424 normal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early 5b -0.7ATR near -1.0ATR — 0.42 63% ↔ +0.01 below_value -4.70 — #103676 0.51 bull_high +1.77% -0.67
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:13
1h anchor
#192504
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.485 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% early 9b -0.9ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.40 42% ↔ -0.05 below_value -4.70 — #103676 0.46 range_medium +0.12% -0.33
01/10 07:00
upd 01/10 08:13
15m
#192416
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.558 compression bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 43% early 6b -0.1ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.81 54% ↓ -0.35 below_value -4.56 — #103519 0.41 range_low +0.12% -0.05
01/10 07:45
upd 01/10 08:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 3.258×ATR p32 +0.717×ATR p34
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.399×ATR p11 -0.676×ATR p42
1h ↑ up early 9b — 1.231×ATR p2 -0.868×ATR p42
15m ↑ up early 6b — 1.652×ATR p3 -0.101×ATR p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.47054309
  2. atr: 0.0081977
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.3197
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4459 0.4705 0.3719
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4459
  • Stop Loss: 0.4705
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4705 - 0.4459 = 0.0246

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4459 - = 0.4459

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4459 / 0.0246 = 18.126

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
145.0651 100 325.2946 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0246

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0246 = 325.2

Taille de position USD = 325.2 x 0.4459 = 145.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 325.2 avec un stoploss a 0.4705

Avec un position size USD de 145.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 325.2 x 0.0246 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 325.2 x 0.4459 = 145.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 145.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 325.2
  • Taille de position USD 145.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 145.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 18.126

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 145.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.52 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.66 $ 1.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3745 % 6.79 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4459 0.4705 0.3719
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4459
  • Stop Loss: 0.4705
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4705 - 0.4459 = 0.0246

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4459 - = 0.4459

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4459 / 0.0246 = 18.126

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.517% (0.0246)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.563% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.563% 0.3R -0.375% 0.1R 4.2× 24
3h ★ +2.166% 0.4R -0.375% 0.1R 5.8× 36
4h +2.404% 0.4R -0.375% 0.1R 6.4× 48
8h +2.756% 0.5R -0.375% 0.1R 7.4× 96
12h +3.344% 0.6R -0.375% 0.1R 8.9× 144
24h +3.344% 0.6R -2.821% 0.5R 1.2× 288
48h +4.817% 0.9R -7.015% 1.3R 0.7× 576
72h +4.817% 0.9R -7.015% 1.3R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 569 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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