Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2558.43 MEGA at 0.0467$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04357 (6.68 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04669$

Qty 2558.4281 MEGA

Size 119.4581$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 119.45$

SL 0.04357 (-6.68%)

SL $ 7.98$

Status win PnL +0.58% / +0.7$ MAE -1.01% MFE +6.80% 1.0R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169658)

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7046

Quality Score

0.802

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169658)

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7046

Quality Score

0.802

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.68 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.68 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.78×ATR
4h	near	-0.33×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 22.4%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.9%
1h	17.2%
4h	31.3%
24h	23.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	46.9%	+0.07%
4h	17.2%	-0.59%
24h	25.0%	-1.71%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.136

Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.8016

Score SMA

0.6086

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7046

Rank Norm SMA

0.6690

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8419	r1h: 1.965% · r4h: 2.439% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 11.94% · ema21_slope: 0.3898% · dist_ema21: 4.838%
Force Relative	25%	0.8167	rs_1h: 2.027% · rs_4h: 1.854% · rs_1d: 8.18% · rs_3d: 10.97% · beta_24h: 1.446
Volume	20%	0.5558	rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: 0.771 · trend: 93.62%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8155	ADX: 37.9 (trend) · Chop: 20.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.238% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.6971

Score SMA

0.6654

Rank

#3 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9869

Rank Norm SMA

0.7182

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7131	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.439% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 11.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0329% · dist_ema21: 7.081%
Force Relative	25%	0.7753	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.854% · rs_1d: 8.18% · rs_3d: 10.97% · beta_24h: 2.503
Volume	20%	0.8367	rvol_20: 2.47× · zscore_50: 1.828 · trend: 130.63%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6827	ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.8377	ATR%: 3.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.682% (0.0031)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.039%	0.5R	-0.463%	0.1R	6.6×	12
2h	+3.039%	0.5R	-0.463%	0.1R	6.6×	24
3h ★	+6.800%	1.0R	-1.007%	0.2R	6.8×	36
4h	+14.541%	2.2R	-1.007%	0.2R	14.5×	48
8h	+19.507%	2.9R	-1.007%	0.2R	19.4×	96
12h	+19.507%	2.9R	-1.007%	0.2R	19.4×	144
24h	+20.510%	3.1R	-1.007%	0.2R	20.4×	288
48h	+20.510%	3.1R	-3.333%	0.5R	6.2×	576
72h	+20.510%	3.1R	-3.333%	0.5R	6.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50

ML Pullback Score: 6.41

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	—
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	near -0.3ATR	0.46	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.41	01/10 00:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	0.49	range_medium	+0.18%	+0.55	01/10 06:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.45	range_low	+0.18%	+0.31	01/10 07:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d	Pas de snapshot
4h #190990	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.543	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 2b 1.5ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	5.51	98%	↑ +0.42	above_value	+3.25	—	#103024	0.46	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.41	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor #192153	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.721	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 2b 1.4ATR	—	—	1.12	93%	↑ +0.85	above_value	-0.04	—	#103577	0.49	range_medium	+0.18%	+0.55	01/10 06:00 upd 01/10 07:11
15m #192393	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.500	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late 6b 2.2ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.25	72%	↓ -0.72	above_value	-0.04	—	#103577	0.45	range_low	+0.18%	+0.31	01/10 07:30 upd 01/10 07:48
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
4h	↑ up	mid	2b	—	2.571×ATR	p23	+1.522×ATR	p73
1h	↑ up	mid	2b	—	0.626×ATR	p0	+1.432×ATR	p77
15m	↑ up	late	6b	—	3.541×ATR	p63	+2.151×ATR	p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04356508
atr: 0.00104231
expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 79
score: 0.8649
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04669	0.04357			0.04987

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04669
Stop Loss: 0.04357
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04357 - 0.04669 = -0.00312
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04669 - = 0.04669
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04669 / -0.00312 = -14.9647

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
119.4581	100	2558.4281	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00312

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00312 = -2564.1

Taille de position USD = -2564.1 x 0.04669 = -119.72

Donc, tu peux acheter -2564.1 avec un stoploss a 0.04357

Avec un position size USD de -119.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2564.1 x -0.00312 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2564.1 x 0.04669 = -119.72

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -119.72$

Résumé

Taille de position -2564.1
Taille de position USD -119.72
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -119.72
Risk-Reward Ratio -14.9647

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	119.45 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.68 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
0.7 $	0.58

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0066 %	15.06 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04669	0.04357			0.04987

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04669
Stop Loss: 0.04357
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04357 - 0.04669 = -0.00312
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04669 - = 0.04669
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04669 / -0.00312 = -14.9647

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05293
            [stop_loss] => 0.04357
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 16:10:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05449
            [stop_loss] => 0.04357
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:10:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.682% (0.0031)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.039%	0.5R	-0.463%	0.1R	6.6×	12
2h	+3.039%	0.5R	-0.463%	0.1R	6.6×	24
3h ★	+6.800%	1.0R	-1.007%	0.2R	6.8×	36
4h	+14.541%	2.2R	-1.007%	0.2R	14.5×	48
8h	+19.507%	2.9R	-1.007%	0.2R	19.4×	96
12h	+19.507%	2.9R	-1.007%	0.2R	19.4×	144
24h	+20.510%	3.1R	-1.007%	0.2R	20.4×	288
48h	+20.510%	3.1R	-3.333%	0.5R	6.2×	576
72h	+20.510%	3.1R	-3.333%	0.5R	6.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 739 min MAE in 154 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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