Long Trade on STX

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 222.04 STX at 0.377$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3409 (9.58 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.377$

Qty 222.0443 STX

Size 83.7018$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 83.71$

SL 0.3409 (-9.58%)

SL $ 8.02$

Status win PnL +1.71% / +1.43$ MAE -1.63% MFE +2.58% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169603)

#4 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9787

Quality Score

0.639

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

6.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169603)

#4 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9787

Quality Score

0.639

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#4 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.58 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#4 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.58 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.73×ATR
4h	clear	1.33×ATR
1d	near	-0.26×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

6.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 22.4%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.9%
1h	17.2%
4h	31.3%
24h	23.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	46.9%	+0.07%
4h	17.2%	-0.59%
24h	25.0%	-1.71%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.136

Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.8612

Score SMA

0.6657

Rank

#1 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

1.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6746

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9717	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227%
Force Relative	25%	0.9615	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8622	ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.6390

Score SMA

0.5776

Rank

#4 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9787

Rank Norm SMA

0.5473

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6422	r1h: -1.394% · r4h: -5.444% · r1d: 17.78% · r3d: 19.45% · ema21_slope: 0.7307% · dist_ema21: 0.826%
Force Relative	25%	0.5695	rs_1h: -1.332% · rs_4h: -6.029% · rs_1d: 17.79% · rs_3d: 18.47% · beta_24h: 0.662
Volume	20%	0.2604	rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.158 · trend: 3.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	1.0000	ADX: 62.9 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.9188	ATR%: 3.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.7076

Score SMA

0.6256

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9803

Rank Norm SMA

0.5777

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7504	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.444% · r1d: 17.78% · r3d: 19.45% · ema21_slope: 0.5317% · dist_ema21: 9.624%
Force Relative	25%	0.7500	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.029% · rs_1d: 17.79% · rs_3d: 18.47% · beta_24h: 1.589
Volume	20%	0.6154	rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: 0.847 · trend: 196.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7561	ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5549	ATR%: 4.335% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.576% (0.0361)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.828%	0.1R	-1.114%	0.1R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.377%	0.1R	-1.629%	0.2R	0.9×	24
3h ★	+2.581%	0.3R	-1.629%	0.2R	1.6×	36
4h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	48
8h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	96
12h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	144
24h	+3.607%	0.4R	-3.642%	0.4R	1.0×	288
48h	+3.607%	0.4R	-6.897%	0.7R	0.5×	576
72h	+5.650%	0.6R	-6.897%	0.7R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 1424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.68

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	near -0.3ATR	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 47%	mid	—	—	0.37	bull_high	+1.77%	+0.89	01/10 04:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.33	range_medium	+0.12%	+0.76	01/10 07:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.30	range_low	+0.12%	-0.68	01/10 07:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187556	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.554	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 49%	late 14b 2.0ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	4.29	100%	↑ +0.62	above_value	+5.97	—	#101571	0.63	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:19
4h #192509	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.685	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 1b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.49	98%	↑ +0.87	above_value	+5.23	—	#103678	0.37	bull_high	+1.77%	+0.89	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:13
1h anchor #192508	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.679	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 5b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.34	87%	↓ -0.32	above_value	+5.23	—	#103678	0.33	range_medium	+0.12%	+0.76	01/10 07:00 upd 01/10 08:13
15m #192418	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.728	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 47%	late 20b -1.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.23	55%	↓ -0.79	above_value	+5.46	—	#103521	0.30	range_low	+0.12%	-0.68	01/10 07:45 upd 01/10 08:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	14b	—	4.895×ATR	p62	+1.959×ATR	p82
4h	↓ down	mid	1b	—	2.495×ATR	p28	+2.019×ATR	p78
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	3.335×ATR	p79	+0.209×ATR	p11
15m	↓ down	late	20b	—	6.956×ATR	p100	-1.711×ATR	p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.34093115
atr: 0.01200962
expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 79
score: 0.6556
confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.377	0.3409			0.3034

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.377
Stop Loss: 0.3409
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3409 - 0.377 = -0.0361
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.377 - = 0.377
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.377 / -0.0361 = -10.4432

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
83.7018	83.7018	222.0443	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0361

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0361 = -221.61

Taille de position USD = -221.61 x 0.377 = -83.55

Donc, tu peux acheter -221.61 avec un stoploss a 0.3409

Avec un position size USD de -83.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -221.61 x -0.0361 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -221.61 x 0.377 = -83.55

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -83.55$

Résumé

Taille de position -221.61
Taille de position USD -83.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -83.55
Risk-Reward Ratio -10.4432

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	83.71 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.58 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
1.43 $	1.71

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.6286 %	17.01 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.377	0.3409			0.3034

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.377
Stop Loss: 0.3409
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3409 - 0.377 = -0.0361
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.377 - = 0.377
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.377 / -0.0361 = -10.4432

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.576% (0.0361)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.828%	0.1R	-1.114%	0.1R	0.7×	12
2h	+1.377%	0.1R	-1.629%	0.2R	0.9×	24
3h ★	+2.581%	0.3R	-1.629%	0.2R	1.6×	36
4h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	48
8h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	96
12h	+3.607%	0.4R	-1.629%	0.2R	2.2×	144
24h	+3.607%	0.4R	-3.642%	0.4R	1.0×	288
48h	+3.607%	0.4R	-6.897%	0.7R	0.5×	576
72h	+5.650%	0.6R	-6.897%	0.7R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 224 min MAE in 1424 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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