Short Trade on ZEC

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.11 ZEC at 1411$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1485.0724 (5.25 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1411$

Qty 0.108 ZEC

Size 152.3914$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 152.39$

SL 1485.0724 (-5.25%)

SL $ 8$

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.82$ MAE -0.21% MFE +3.37% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169655)

#71 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2166

Quality Score

0.405

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

440.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169655)

#71 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2166

Quality Score

0.405

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#71 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#71 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.37×ATR
4h	clear	0.55×ATR
1d	clear	7.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

440.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 22.4%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	71.9%
1h	17.2%
4h	31.3%
24h	23.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	46.9%	+0.07%
4h	17.2%	-0.59%
24h	25.0%	-1.71%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.136

Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5215

Score SMA

0.6038

Rank

#54 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2933

Rank Norm SMA

0.4279

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6620	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.55% · r3d: -9.44% · ema21_slope: 1.7273% · dist_ema21: 3.443%
Force Relative	25%	0.5548	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.56% · rs_3d: -8.45% · beta_24h: 1.271
Volume	20%	0.3384	rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: 0.033 · trend: 22.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7770	ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4047

Score SMA

0.5124

Rank

#71 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2166

Rank Norm SMA

0.3858

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4169	r1h: 0.516% · r4h: -0.426% · r1d: -1.62% · r3d: -10.68% · ema21_slope: -0.0601% · dist_ema21: -1.232%
Force Relative	25%	0.3857	rs_1h: 0.578% · rs_4h: -1.011% · rs_1d: -1.62% · rs_3d: -11.65% · beta_24h: 1.632
Volume	20%	0.4046	rvol_20: 1.37× · zscore_50: -0.065 · trend: 1.90%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4693	ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.760% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3208

Score SMA

0.5073

Rank

#74 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0524

Rank Norm SMA

0.3317

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3113	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.426% · r1d: -1.62% · r3d: -10.68% · ema21_slope: -0.3906% · dist_ema21: -3.286%
Force Relative	25%	0.3229	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.011% · rs_1d: -1.62% · rs_3d: -11.65% · beta_24h: 2.616
Volume	20%	0.2577	rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: -30.60%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4058	ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7069	ATR%: 3.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.250% (74.0724)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.197%	0.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	10.3×	12
2h	+2.197%	0.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	10.3×	24
3h ★	+3.366%	0.6R	-0.213%	0.0R	15.8×	36
4h	+3.366%	0.6R	-0.213%	0.0R	15.8×	48
8h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	96
12h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	144
24h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	288
48h	+9.887%	1.9R	-0.213%	0.0R	46.5×	576
72h	+9.887%	1.9R	-0.213%	0.0R	46.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 434 min MAE in 24 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.26

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.54	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.79	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near -0.4ATR	—	0.45	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.26	01/10 06:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near -0.3ATR	near 0.0ATR	0.70	range_low	+0.12%	-0.23	01/10 07:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187750	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.705	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.75	86%	↔ +0.12	value	-4.03	—	#101623	0.56	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #190981	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.389	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early 12b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.40	27%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-5.54	—	#103021	0.54	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.79	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor #192150	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.576	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b -1.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	2.62	82%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-6.43	—	#103574	0.45	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.26	01/10 06:00 upd 01/10 07:11
15m #192469	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.494	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 42%	early 1b -0.1ATR	near -0.3ATR	near 0.0ATR	0.59	55%	↑ +0.23	below_value	-6.43	—	#103574	0.70	range_low	+0.12%	-0.23	01/10 07:45 upd 01/10 08:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.942×ATR	p0	+0.331×ATR	p15
4h	↑ up	early	12b	—	0.921×ATR	p0	-0.776×ATR	p48
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	2.236×ATR	p35	-1.231×ATR	p58
15m	↑ up	early	1b	—	2.196×ATR	p23	-0.125×ATR	p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1485.07244324
atr: 24.69081441
expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 79
score: 0.3437
confidence: 0.949

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1411	1485.0724			1294.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1411
Stop Loss: 1485.0724
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1485.0724 - 1411 = 74.0724
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1411 - = 1411
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1411 / 74.0724 = 19.0489

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
152.3914	100	0.108	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 74.0724

Taille de position = 8 / 74.0724 = 0.11

Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 1411 = 155.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 1485.0724

Avec un position size USD de 155.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.11 x 74.0724 = 8.15

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.15$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.11 x 1411 = 155.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 155.21$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.11
Taille de position USD 155.21
Perte potentielle 8.15
Gain potentiel 155.21
Risk-Reward Ratio 19.0489

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	152.39 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.25 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
3.82 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.2126 %	4.05 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1411	1485.0724			1294.4

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1411
Stop Loss: 1485.0724
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1485.0724 - 1411 = 74.0724
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1411 - = 1411
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1411 / 74.0724 = 19.0489

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.250% (74.0724)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.197%	0.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	10.3×	12
2h	+2.197%	0.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	10.3×	24
3h ★	+3.366%	0.6R	-0.213%	0.0R	15.8×	36
4h	+3.366%	0.6R	-0.213%	0.0R	15.8×	48
8h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	96
12h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	144
24h	+7.477%	1.4R	-0.213%	0.0R	35.2×	288
48h	+9.887%	1.9R	-0.213%	0.0R	46.5×	576
72h	+9.887%	1.9R	-0.213%	0.0R	46.5×	864

⏱ MFE in 434 min MAE in 24 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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