01 Oct 2026 at 08:44:45 hyperliquid

Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 47.5 UNI at 9.058$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4786 (4.65 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8891 (1.86 %)

UNI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:44 → 20:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 9.0575$

Qty 47.4971 UNI

Size 430.2048$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 9.4786 (+4.65%)

TP $ 20$

SL 8.8891 (-1.86%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.77% / -3.33$ MAE -1.71% MFE +2.18% 1.2R expires 01 Oct 20:44 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169610)
#20 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5595

Quality Score
0.531
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#20 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#20 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.75×ATR
4h clear 1.95×ATR
1d clear 1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
35.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

01/10 07:00

Score : +5 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4555
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 34.9%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 23.8%
1h 46.0%
4h 44.4%
24h 15.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 17.5% -0.17%
4h 28.6% -0.42%
24h 34.9% -2.55%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.147
Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5486
Score SMA
0.6125
Rank
#47 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3867
Rank Norm SMA
0.4481
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6944 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: -8.19% · ema21_slope: 2.2598% · dist_ema21: 6.936%
Force Relative 25% 0.5449 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: -7.20% · beta_24h: 1.590
Volume 20% 0.2757 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.096 · trend: 1.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9927 ADX: 59.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.195% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5305
Score SMA
0.5084
Rank
#20 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5595
Rank Norm SMA
0.3673
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6153 r1h: 0.503% · r4h: 2.841% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: 0.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0447% · dist_ema21: 1.310%
Force Relative 25% 0.5924 rs_1h: 0.565% · rs_4h: 2.256% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: -0.02% · beta_24h: 2.124
Volume 20% 0.1915 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.647 · trend: -23.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3966 ADX: 8.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.535% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5059
Score SMA
0.5063
Rank
#37 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4190
Rank Norm SMA
0.3113
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5716 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.841% · r1d: 1.76% · r3d: 0.95% · ema21_slope: -0.1975% · dist_ema21: 0.598%
Force Relative 25% 0.5683 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.256% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: -0.02% · beta_24h: 2.976
Volume 20% 0.2103 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.544 · trend: -35.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4012 ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 67.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9013 ATR%: 3.296% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.859% (0.1684)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.180% 0.1R -1.711% 0.9R 0.1× 12
2h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 24
4h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 48
8h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 144
24h +2.856% 1.5R -1.990% 1.1R 1.4× 288
36h +2.856% 1.5R -5.330% 2.9R 0.5× 432
48h +3.016% 1.6R -5.330% 2.9R 0.6× 576
72h +3.016% 1.6R -5.330% 2.9R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 970 min MAE in 1800 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.99
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.40 bull_high +1.77% -0.33 01/10 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 31% mid — near -0.8ATR 0.39 range_medium +0.12% +0.07 01/10 07:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.71 range_low +0.12% +0.20 01/10 08:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187586
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.620 volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b 0.6ATR — — 0.58 90% ↑ +0.15 above_value +0.18 — #101578 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:20
4h
#192523
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.660 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% early 14b 0.2ATR — — 0.67 40% ↓ -0.47 value +1.41 — #103685 0.40 bull_high +1.77% -0.33
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:13
1h anchor
#192522
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.622 compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 31% mid 3b 0.9ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.41 10% ↑ +0.51 value +1.41 — #103685 0.39 range_medium +0.12% +0.07
01/10 07:00
upd 01/10 08:13
15m
#192740
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.708 normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early 9b 0.7ATR — — 0.65 54% ↓ -0.65 value +1.41 — #103685 0.71 range_low +0.12% +0.20
01/10 08:15
upd 01/10 08:31
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 2.531×ATR p0 +0.568×ATR p30
4h ↑ up early 14b — 2.058×ATR p0 +0.192×ATR p12
1h ↑ up mid 3b — 2.252×ATR p45 +0.934×ATR p65
15m ↑ up early 9b — 1.481×ATR p3 +0.67×ATR p51

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8238
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.16×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 8.88906861
  5. tp_price: 9.47857849
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.92381733327941
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-02T00:44:37.393396
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.92381733327941
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.1718
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0001
  15. micro_price : 9.01433333
  16. spread_pct : 0.04439
  17. mid_price : 9.013
  18. bid_wall_price : 8.9
  19. bid_wall_size : 52211
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.1798
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0148
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7101
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    9.0482
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    8.7569
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    8.90255
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790697600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790856000
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.1608
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    45
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.9238
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790852400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    9.0482
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9111
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.069
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    9
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.13481394
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.9111
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.069

Signaux confirmants (17)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:44 9.05750000 0%
2 08:56 9.05750000 0%
3 10:19 9.07010000 +0.139%
4 10:30 9.07010000 +0.139%
5 10:41 9.13540000 +0.86%
6 10:52 9.13540000 +0.86%
7 11:04 9.13540000 +0.86%
8 11:16 9.07360000 +0.178%
9 11:27 9.07360000 +0.178%
10 11:39 9.06260000 +0.056%
11 11:51 9.06260000 +0.056%
12 12:03 9.06260000 +0.056%
13 12:18 9.14190000 +0.932%
14 12:30 9.14190000 +0.932%
15 12:42 9.09730000 +0.439%
16 12:53 9.09730000 +0.439%
17 13:05 9.09730000 +0.439%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7101ms Confidence avant OB : 92% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.172
avg -0.180 ± 0.015
OBI Top 10 0.000

Microstructure

Mid Price
9.0130
Micro Price
9.0143
Spread
0.0444%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
8.9000
Size
52,211.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
9.0575 8.8891 9.4786 2.5 7.0456
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 9.0575
  • Stop Loss: 8.8891
  • Take Profit: 9.4786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 8.8891 - 9.0575 = -0.1684

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 9.0575 - 9.4786 = -0.4211

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4211 / -0.1684 = 2.5006

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
430.2048 100 47.4971 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1684

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1684 = -47.51

Taille de position USD = -47.51 x 9.0575 = -430.32

Donc, tu peux acheter -47.51 avec un stoploss a 8.8891

Avec un position size USD de -430.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -47.51 x -0.1684 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -47.51 x -0.4211 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -47.51
  • Taille de position USD -430.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.65 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.86 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.33 $ -0.77
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7113 % 92.04 % 40
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
9.0575 8.8891 9.4786 2.5 7.0456
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 9.0575
  • Stop Loss: 8.8891
  • Take Profit: 9.4786

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 8.8891 - 9.0575 = -0.1684

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 9.0575 - 9.4786 = -0.4211

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4211 / -0.1684 = 2.5006

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.859% (0.1684)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.180% 0.1R -1.711% 0.9R 0.1× 12
2h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 24
4h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 48
8h +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +2.176% 1.2R -1.711% 0.9R 1.3× 144
24h +2.856% 1.5R -1.990% 1.1R 1.4× 288
36h +2.856% 1.5R -5.330% 2.9R 0.5× 432
48h +3.016% 1.6R -5.330% 2.9R 0.6× 576
72h +3.016% 1.6R -5.330% 2.9R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 970 min MAE in 1800 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.