Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 8.11 AAVE at 163$ per unit. Take profit: 164.9727 (1.21 %) & Stop Loss: 162.0137 (0.61 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 8.11 AAVE at 163$ per unit. Take profit: 164.9727 (1.21 %) & Stop Loss: 162.0137 (0.61 %)
Position
Entry 163$
Qty 8.1107 AAVE
Size 1322.0481$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 164.9727 (+1.21%)
TP $ 16$
SL 162.0137 (-0.61%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8450
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.724627 15m : 0.630943 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 25.8% |
| 1h | 32.3% |
| 4h | 38.7% |
| 24h | 12.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.3% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 27.4% | -0.57% |
| 24h | 30.7% | -2.72% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7769 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 1.2265% · dist_ema21: 11.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6815 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.43% · rs_3d: 4.11% · beta_24h: 1.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8793 | rvol_20: 2.72× · zscore_50: 1.867 · trend: 111.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8065 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5253 | r1h: -1.759% · r4h: -1.599% · r1d: -0.57% · r3d: 8.44% · ema21_slope: 0.1712% · dist_ema21: -0.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4819 | rs_1h: -1.559% · rs_4h: -1.806% · rs_1d: 1.26% · rs_3d: 8.26% · beta_24h: 1.884 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1905 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.509 · trend: -40.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5593 | ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.671% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7704 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.759% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: 12.28% · ema21_slope: 0.3658% · dist_ema21: 3.887% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7538 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.174% · rs_1d: 2.48% · rs_3d: 11.31% · beta_24h: 2.825 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3407 | rvol_20: 0.78× · zscore_50: 0.149 · trend: 14.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7517 | ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 37.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9104 | ATR%: 3.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.319% | 8.8R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 12.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.374% | 12.2R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 17.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.73 | 01/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.12% | +0.37 | 01/10 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.08% | -0.14 | 01/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187572
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.562 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 14b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 2.72 | 96% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -2.36 | — | #101575 | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
|
|
4h
#192517
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.632 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.78 | 92% | ↑ +0.43 | above_value | +0.23 | — | #103682 | 0.55 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.73 |
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor #192516
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.708 | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 5b 0.9ATR | — | — | 1.48 | 80% | ↑ +0.37 | above_value | +0.23 | — | #103682 | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.12% | +0.37 |
01/10 07:00
upd 01/10 08:13
|
|
15m
#192893
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.510 | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 4b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.56 | 40% | ↓ -0.30 | above_value | +0.23 | — | #103682 | 0.55 | range_low | -0.08% | -0.14 |
01/10 08:45
upd 01/10 09:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 4.252×ATR | p62 | +1.306×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.603×ATR | p0 | +0.927×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.087×ATR | p2 | +0.914×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.735×ATR | p38 | -1.59×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83839.6
-0.00332314
83561
0.724627
83821.9
-0.00311337
83561
0.630943
83859.1
-0.00312572
83597
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168.9
192
0.5721
0.5768
0.2932
0.2074
0.3633
1
0.1111
0.5705
0.588
0.2025
0.5879
0.5843
0.0334
0.0438
0.6667
-0.2952
0.4068
0.45
0.55
1
7
1
0.5852
0.4562
4.4758
0.55
2.5257
3.9101
0.4068
0
0.302
0.22
-0.1943
0.4277
0.525
0.7918
0.5843
-5.368
7.5441
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 08:10:00 | 163.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 08:25:00 | 166.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 08:55:00 | 166.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 09:15:00 | 164.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 09:35:00 | 165.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 10:05:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 10:45:00 | 165.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 11:00:00 | 164.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 11:50:00 | 166.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 13:05:00 | 162.55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 20:15:00 | 159.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 22:00:00 | 158.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 23:00:00 | 160.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 00:15:00 | 158.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:15:00 | 168.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 06:30:00 | 168.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 08:00:00 | 163.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 10:00:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 11:45:00 | 166.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 13:00:00 | 162.55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 163.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 08:00:00 | 158.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:00:00 | 166.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 15:00:00 | 157.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 168.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 13:00:00 | 162.7 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 162.0137 | 164.9727 | 2 | 130.35 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.0137 - 163 = -0.9863
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 163 - 164.9727 = -1.9727
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9727 / -0.9863 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1322.0481 | 100 | 8.1107 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.9863 = -8.11
Taille de position USD = -8.11 x 163 = -1321.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.11 avec un stoploss a 162.0137
Avec un position size USD de -1321.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.11 x -0.9863 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.11 x -1.9727 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.411 % | 67.92 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | 162.0137 | 164.9727 | 2 | 130.35 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.0137 - 163 = -0.9863
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 163 - 164.9727 = -1.9727
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9727 / -0.9863 = 2.0001
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[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 167.43835
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 167.9315
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.42465
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 168.9178
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.41095
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 169.9041
[stop_loss] => 162.0137
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.908% | 8.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 11.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.319% | 8.8R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 12.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.374% | 12.2R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 17.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +15.172% | 25.1R | -0.411% | 0.7R | 36.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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