Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2984.48 MEGA at 0.0475$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04868 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04481 (5.64 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 09:15 → 11:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.04749$

Qty 2984.4844 MEGA

Size 141.7421$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04868 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.55$

SL 0.04481 (-5.64%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.44

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.55$ MAE -2.67% MFE +17.49% 3.1R expires 01 Oct 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169812)

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7808

Quality Score

0.780

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.64 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.64 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.16×ATR
4h	near	-0.99×ATR
1d	clear	1.48×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc NO

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 09:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 08:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4557

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 29.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	25.8%
1h	32.3%
4h	38.7%
24h	12.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	32.3%	-0.11%
4h	27.4%	-0.57%
24h	30.7%	-2.72%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.181

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 09:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 09:00

Score brut

0.7799

Score SMA

0.6095

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7808

Rank Norm SMA

0.6708

Calculé le

01/10/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9003	r1h: 3.240% · r4h: 5.810% · r1d: 9.04% · r3d: 14.68% · ema21_slope: 0.4460% · dist_ema21: 7.431%
Force Relative	25%	0.9875	rs_1h: 3.440% · rs_4h: 5.603% · rs_1d: 10.86% · rs_3d: 14.50% · beta_24h: 1.482
Volume	20%	0.6549	rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 1.287 · trend: 97.27%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8341	ADX: 40.1 (trend) · Chop: 21.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.307% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.7613

Score SMA

0.6670

Rank

#2 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9869

Rank Norm SMA

0.7185

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7131	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.439% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 11.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0329% · dist_ema21: 7.081%
Force Relative	25%	0.7753	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.854% · rs_1d: 8.18% · rs_3d: 10.97% · beta_24h: 2.503
Volume	20%	0.8367	rvol_20: 2.47× · zscore_50: 1.828 · trend: 130.63%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6827	ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.8377	ATR%: 3.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.643% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.689%	0.1R	-1.956%	0.4R	0.4×	12
2h	+5.001%	0.9R	-2.674%	0.5R	1.9×	24
4h	+16.757%	3.0R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.3×	48
6h ★	+17.494%	3.1R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.5×	72
8h	+17.494%	3.1R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.5×	96
12h	+18.480%	3.3R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.9×	144
24h	+18.480%	3.3R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.9×	288
48h	+18.480%	3.3R	-4.961%	0.9R	3.7×	576
72h	+18.480%	3.3R	-4.961%	0.9R	3.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 679 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 60

ML Pullback Score: 4.74

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.37	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.37	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	near -1.0ATR	0.46	bull_high	+1.77%	+0.70	01/10 04:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 48%	late	—	near 0.2ATR	0.48	range_medium	-0.08%	+0.82	01/10 08:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 45%	early	—	near 0.1ATR	0.41	range_low	+0.10%	+0.11	01/10 08:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #192710	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.700	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.43	37%	↔ +0.11	above_value	+1.63	—	#103735	0.37	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.37	29/09 20:00 upd 01/10 08:24
4h #192655	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.569	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 46%	late 3b 2.0ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	2.47	93%	↑ +0.55	above_value	+1.63	—	#103735	0.46	bull_high	+1.77%	+0.70	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:21
1h anchor #193020	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.532	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 48%	late 4b 2.6ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.58	99%	↑ +0.86	above_value	+1.56	inside	#103970	0.48	range_medium	-0.08%	+0.82	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 09:11
15m #192865	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.684	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 45%	early 2b 0.9ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.76	77%	↓ -0.17	above_value	+1.63	—	#103735	0.41	range_low	+0.10%	+0.11	01/10 08:30 upd 01/10 08:48
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.105×ATR	p0	+0.035×ATR	p3
4h	↑ up	late	3b	—	3.118×ATR	p54	+1.965×ATR	p87
1h	↑ up	late	4b	—	2.701×ATR	p54	+2.615×ATR	p98
15m	↑ up	early	2b	—	0.896×ATR	p0	+0.93×ATR	p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04481247
tp_price: 0.04868032
atr: 0.00107221
expires_at: 2026-10-01T19:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 78
score: 0.8711
delta_2h: 0.2373
extension_atr: 2.35
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7792
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04749	0.04481	0.04868	0.44	0.04749

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04749
Stop Loss: 0.04481
Take Profit: 0.04868

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04481 - 0.04749 = -0.00268
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04749 - 0.04868 = -0.00119
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.00268 = 0.444

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
141.7421	100	2984.4844	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00268

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00268 = -2985.07

Taille de position USD = -2985.07 x 0.04749 = -141.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -2985.07 avec un stoploss a 0.04481

Avec un position size USD de -141.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2985.07 x -0.00268 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2985.07 x -0.00119 = 3.55

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.55$

Résumé

Taille de position -2985.07
Taille de position USD -141.76
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.55
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.444

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.55 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.64 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
3.55 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.6742 %	47.39 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04749	0.04481	0.04868	0.44	0.04749

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04749
Stop Loss: 0.04481
Take Profit: 0.04868

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04481 - 0.04749 = -0.00268
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04749 - 0.04868 = -0.00119
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00119 / -0.00268 = 0.444

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05285
            [stop_loss] => 0.04481
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 16:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05419
            [stop_loss] => 0.04481
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:10:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05553
            [stop_loss] => 0.04481
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:10:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.643% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.689%	0.1R	-1.956%	0.4R	0.4×	12
2h	+5.001%	0.9R	-2.674%	0.5R	1.9×	24
4h	+16.757%	3.0R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.3×	48
6h ★	+17.494%	3.1R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.5×	72
8h	+17.494%	3.1R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.5×	96
12h	+18.480%	3.3R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.9×	144
24h	+18.480%	3.3R	-2.674%	0.5R	6.9×	288
48h	+18.480%	3.3R	-4.961%	0.9R	3.7×	576
72h	+18.480%	3.3R	-4.961%	0.9R	3.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 679 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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