01 Oct 2026 at 11:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2348.09 MEGA at 0.0468$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04337 (7.29 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 11:15 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04678$

Qty 2348.0931 MEGA

Size 109.8344$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 109.84$

SL 0.04337 (-7.29%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +13.81% / +15.17$ MAE -0.00% MFE +18.74% 2.6R expires 01 Oct 14:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169968)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9756

Quality Score
0.770
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.35×ATR
4h near -0.99×ATR
1d clear 1.48×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 11:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4565
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 16.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 27.1%
4h 18.6%
24h 35.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 30.5% -0.06%
4h 13.6% -0.68%
24h 30.5% -1.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.134
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.7702
Score SMA
0.6125
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.6748
Calculé le
01/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7614 r1h: -2.108% · r4h: 2.250% · r1d: 8.92% · r3d: 13.32% · ema21_slope: 0.4822% · dist_ema21: 3.378%
Force Relative 25% 0.6612 rs_1h: -2.214% · rs_4h: 2.142% · rs_1d: 8.65% · rs_3d: 12.10% · beta_24h: 0.576
Volume 20% 0.5651 rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: 0.854 · trend: 102.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8632 ADX: 43.6 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7613
Score SMA
0.6670
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9869
Rank Norm SMA
0.7185
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7131 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.439% · r1d: 8.18% · r3d: 11.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0329% · dist_ema21: 7.081%
Force Relative 25% 0.7753 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.854% · rs_1d: 8.18% · rs_3d: 10.97% · beta_24h: 2.503
Volume 20% 0.8367 rvol_20: 2.47× · zscore_50: 1.828 · trend: 130.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6827 ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8377 ATR%: 3.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.289% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +14.320% 2.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +18.529% 2.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +18.737% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +19.278% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +19.278% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +20.278% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +20.278% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +20.278% 2.8R -3.519% 0.5R 5.8× 576
72h +20.278% 2.8R -3.519% 0.5R 5.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.37 bull_high +12.59% +0.37 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -1.0ATR 0.46 bull_high +1.77% +0.70 01/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.47 range_medium +0.28% +0.80 01/10 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.40 range_low +0.25% +0.19 01/10 10:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#192710
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.700 expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b 0.0ATR — — 0.43 37% ↔ +0.11 above_value +1.63 — #103735 0.37 bull_high +12.59% +0.37
29/09 20:00
upd 01/10 08:24
4h
#192655
↑ up range range strong balanced 0.569 expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 46% late 3b 2.0ATR — near -1.0ATR 2.47 93% ↑ +0.55 above_value +1.63 — #103735 0.46 bull_high +1.77% +0.70
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:21
1h anchor
#193799
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.549 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% mid 2b 1.1ATR — — 1.18 96% ↑ +0.90 value +0.90 — #104283 0.47 range_medium +0.28% +0.80
01/10 10:00
upd 01/10 11:11
15m
#193644
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.599 normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 45% early 5b 0.6ATR — — 0.12 49% ↑ +0.16 value +1.58 — #104127 0.40 range_low +0.25% +0.19
01/10 10:30
upd 01/10 10:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 2.105×ATR p0 +0.035×ATR p3
4h ↑ up late 3b — 3.118×ATR p54 +1.965×ATR p87
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.331×ATR p0 +1.119×ATR p64
15m ↑ up early 5b — 1.064×ATR p0 +0.563×ATR p28

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04336898
  2. atr: 0.00113567
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T18:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.8516
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04678 0.04337 0.04531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04678
  • Stop Loss: 0.04337
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04337 - 0.04678 = -0.00341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04678 - = 0.04678

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04678 / -0.00341 = -13.7185

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
109.8344 100 2348.0931 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00341

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00341 = -2346.04

Taille de position USD = -2346.04 x 0.04678 = -109.75

Donc, tu peux acheter -2346.04 avec un stoploss a 0.04337

Avec un position size USD de -109.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2346.04 x -0.00341 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2346.04 x 0.04678 = -109.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -109.75$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2346.04
  • Taille de position USD -109.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -109.75
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -13.7185

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 109.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.29 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.17 $ 13.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04678 0.04337 0.04531
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04678
  • Stop Loss: 0.04337
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04337 - 0.04678 = -0.00341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04678 - = 0.04678

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04678 / -0.00341 = -13.7185

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0536
            [stop_loss] => 0.04337
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 16:55:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.055305
            [stop_loss] => 0.04337
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:10:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.289% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +14.320% 2.0R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +18.529% 2.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +18.737% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +19.278% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
8h +19.278% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +20.278% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +20.278% 2.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +20.278% 2.8R -3.519% 0.5R 5.8× 576
72h +20.278% 2.8R -3.519% 0.5R 5.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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