Short Trade on WLD

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01 Oct 2026 at 11:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 267.47 WLD at 0.497$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4843 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5267 (6.04 %)

WLD SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 11:15 → 11:40 · 24 minutes

Position

Entry 0.4967$

Qty 267.4692 WLD

Size 132.8653$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4843 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.32$

SL 0.5267 (-6.04%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.41

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.32$ MAE -1.67% MFE +3.25% 0.5R expires 01 Oct 17:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169917)

#23 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5188

Quality Score

0.537

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#23 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#23 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.41×ATR
4h	clear	0.63×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

39.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 11:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4565

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 16.4%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.3%
1h	27.1%
4h	18.6%
24h	35.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	30.5%	-0.06%
4h	13.6%	-0.68%
24h	30.5%	-1.06%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.134

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7600

Score SMA

0.7081

Rank

#8 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9067

Rank Norm SMA

0.7125

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9180	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.80% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: 1.4291% · dist_ema21: 17.352%
Force Relative	25%	0.8684	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 10.82% · rs_3d: -0.79% · beta_24h: 1.487
Volume	20%	0.7586	rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 2.000 · trend: 109.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7719	ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 11:00

Score brut

0.5365

Score SMA

0.6129

Rank

#23 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5188

Rank Norm SMA

0.6846

Calculé le

01/10/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3412	r1h: -3.407% · r4h: -5.382% · r1d: -8.35% · r3d: 1.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0992% · dist_ema21: -5.379%
Force Relative	25%	0.1564	rs_1h: -3.513% · rs_4h: -5.491% · rs_1d: -8.62% · rs_3d: 0.43% · beta_24h: 1.840
Volume	20%	0.9972	rvol_20: 5.34× · zscore_50: 3.462 · trend: 97.91%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6374	ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 42.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4996

Score SMA

0.6153

Rank

#38 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5358

Rank Norm SMA

0.6316

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6100	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.375% · r1d: -4.06% · r3d: 2.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2077% · dist_ema21: 1.431%
Force Relative	25%	0.5788	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.210% · rs_1d: -4.06% · rs_3d: 1.07% · beta_24h: 3.006
Volume	20%	0.1989	rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.626 · trend: -23.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6135	ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4008	ATR%: 4.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.040% (0.0300)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.695%	0.1R	4.7×	12
2h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.695%	0.1R	4.7×	24
4h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.811%	0.1R	4.0×	48
6h ★	+3.252%	0.5R	-1.665%	0.3R	2.0×	72
8h	+3.252%	0.5R	-1.665%	0.3R	2.0×	96
12h	+3.252%	0.5R	-3.839%	0.6R	0.9×	144
24h	+3.252%	0.5R	-18.456%	3.1R	0.2×	288
48h	+3.252%	0.5R	-24.588%	4.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+3.252%	0.5R	-24.588%	4.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.74

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	near 0.2ATR	0.47	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.97	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.43	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.16	01/10 04:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 39%	late	near -0.4ATR	—	0.43	range_medium	+0.28%	-0.61	01/10 10:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.50	range_low	+0.27%	-0.52	01/10 10:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187576	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.710	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b 1.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.91	92%	↑ +0.84	above_value	+0.34	—	#101576	0.47	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.97	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:20
4h #192519	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.545	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 35%	early 5b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.53	70%	↓ -0.16	above_value	-1.33	—	#103683	0.43	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.16	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:13
1h anchor #193747	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.427	compression	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 39%	late 14b -2.5ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	5.34	98%	↔ +0.11	above_value	-3.41	—	#104231	0.43	range_medium	+0.28%	-0.61	01/10 10:00 upd 01/10 11:09
15m #193673	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.615	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 46%	late 10b -2.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	2.20	94%	↑ +0.94	value	-2.12	—	#104075	0.50	range_low	+0.27%	-0.52	01/10 10:45 upd 01/10 11:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	3b	—	1.009×ATR	p0	+1.354×ATR	p71
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.984×ATR	p0	+0.293×ATR	p14
1h	↓ down	late	14b	—	4.186×ATR	p84	-2.525×ATR	p91
15m	↓ down	late	10b	—	4.573×ATR	p91	-2.683×ATR	p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.52665999
tp_price: 0.48433125
atr: 0.011964
expires_at: 2026-10-01T21:15:12+00:00

Details

rank: 70
total: 78
score: 0.3412
delta_2h: -0.1519
extension_atr: -2
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5238
confidence: 0.896

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4967	0.5267	0.4843	0.41	0.4107

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4967
Stop Loss: 0.5267
Take Profit: 0.4843

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5267 - 0.4967 = 0.03
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4967 - 0.4843 = 0.0124
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0124 / 0.03 = 0.4133

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
132.8653	100	267.4692	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.03

Taille de position = 8 / 0.03 = 266.67

Taille de position USD = 266.67 x 0.4967 = 132.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 266.67 avec un stoploss a 0.5267

Avec un position size USD de 132.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 266.67 x 0.03 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 266.67 x 0.0124 = 3.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.31$

Résumé

Taille de position 266.67
Taille de position USD 132.45
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.31
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4133

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.32 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.04 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
3.32 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6946 %	11.5 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4967	0.5267	0.4843	0.41	0.4107

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4967
Stop Loss: 0.5267
Take Profit: 0.4843

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5267 - 0.4967 = 0.03
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4967 - 0.4843 = 0.0124
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0124 / 0.03 = 0.4133

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.040% (0.0300)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.695%	0.1R	4.7×	12
2h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.695%	0.1R	4.7×	24
4h	+3.252%	0.5R	-0.811%	0.1R	4.0×	48
6h ★	+3.252%	0.5R	-1.665%	0.3R	2.0×	72
8h	+3.252%	0.5R	-1.665%	0.3R	2.0×	96
12h	+3.252%	0.5R	-3.839%	0.6R	0.9×	144
24h	+3.252%	0.5R	-18.456%	3.1R	0.2×	288
48h	+3.252%	0.5R	-24.588%	4.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+3.252%	0.5R	-24.588%	4.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1344 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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