Short Trade on ZEC

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01 Oct 2026 at 13:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.12 ZEC at 1348.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1314.9825 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1415.0744 (4.92 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 13:15 → 15:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1348.7$

Qty 0.1205 ZEC

Size 162.5567$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1314.9825 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.06$

SL 1415.0744 (-4.92%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.51

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.06$ MAE -1.72% MFE +3.20% 0.7R expires 01 Oct 19:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170196)

#73 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3473

Quality Score

0.384

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#73 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#73 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	0.02×ATR
1d	clear	7.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

379.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 13:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 12:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4573

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 27.2%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	46.7%
1h	81.7%
4h	43.3%
24h	20.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.0%	-0.01%
4h	10.0%	-0.05%
24h	20.0%	-2.30%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.134

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5215

Score SMA

0.6038

Rank

#54 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2933

Rank Norm SMA

0.4279

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6620	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.55% · r3d: -9.44% · ema21_slope: 1.7273% · dist_ema21: 3.443%
Force Relative	25%	0.5548	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.56% · rs_3d: -8.45% · beta_24h: 1.271
Volume	20%	0.3384	rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: 0.033 · trend: 22.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7770	ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.176% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 13:00

Score brut

0.3836

Score SMA

0.5107

Rank

#73 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3473

Rank Norm SMA

0.3902

Calculé le

01/10/2026 13:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1955	r1h: -2.575% · r4h: -3.714% · r1d: -8.65% · r3d: -12.14% · ema21_slope: -0.1410% · dist_ema21: -4.310%
Force Relative	25%	0.0902	rs_1h: -2.629% · rs_4h: -4.265% · rs_1d: -8.45% · rs_3d: -12.70% · beta_24h: 1.649
Volume	20%	0.8760	rvol_20: 3.22× · zscore_50: 1.725 · trend: 70.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6565	ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 40.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.071% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.3466

Score SMA

0.5041

Rank

#69 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0855

Rank Norm SMA

0.3283

Calculé le

01/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2696	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.669% · r1d: -4.47% · r3d: -9.98% · ema21_slope: -0.3643% · dist_ema21: -4.474%
Force Relative	25%	0.2575	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.966% · rs_1d: -4.47% · rs_3d: -10.90% · beta_24h: 2.371
Volume	20%	0.3674	rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.227 · trend: -13.76%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3912	ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 68.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.6917	ATR%: 3.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.921% (66.3744)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.371%	0.1R	-1.720%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.558%	0.5R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.5×	24
4h	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	48
6h ★	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	72
8h	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	96
12h	+3.203%	0.7R	-3.804%	0.8R	0.8×	144
24h	+3.203%	0.7R	-4.775%	1.0R	0.7×	288
48h	+5.724%	1.2R	-4.775%	1.0R	1.2×	576
72h	+5.724%	1.2R	-4.775%	1.0R	1.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 134 min MAE in 1219 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.2

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near 0.0ATR	—	0.53	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.85	01/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	—	0.44	range_medium	+0.44%	-0.57	01/10 12:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	—	0.67	range_low	+0.42%	-0.43	01/10 12:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187750	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.705	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.75	86%	↔ +0.12	value	-4.03	—	#101623	0.56	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.96	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #194281	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.508	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	early 6b -1.2ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.15	73%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-6.99	—	#104434	0.53	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.85	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:19
1h anchor #194649	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.500	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 37%	late 4b -2.3ATR	—	—	3.22	93%	↑ +0.69	below_value	-7.23	inside	#104665	0.44	range_medium	+0.44%	-0.57	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 13:11
15m #194572	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.484	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 50%	late 6b -2.2ATR	—	—	0.78	78%	↑ +0.33	below_value	-6.99	—	#104434	0.67	range_low	+0.42%	-0.43	01/10 12:45 upd 01/10 13:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.942×ATR	p0	+0.331×ATR	p15
4h	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.136×ATR	p8	-1.219×ATR	p60
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	2.549×ATR	p47	-2.266×ATR	p94
15m	↓ down	late	6b	—	2.983×ATR	p52	-2.249×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1415.07436459
tp_price: 1314.9825
atr: 26.54974583
expires_at: 2026-10-01T23:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 72
total: 77
score: 0.2953
delta_2h: -0.0357
extension_atr: -1.83
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2996
confidence: 0.934

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	13:15	1348.70000000	0%
2	14:15	1349.80000000	+0.082%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1348.7	1415.0744	1314.9825	0.51	1266

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1348.7
Stop Loss: 1415.0744
Take Profit: 1314.9825

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1415.0744 - 1348.7 = 66.3744
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1348.7 - 1314.9825 = 33.7175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.7175 / 66.3744 = 0.508

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
162.5567	100	0.1205	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 66.3744

Taille de position = 8 / 66.3744 = 0.12

Taille de position USD = 0.12 x 1348.7 = 161.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.12 avec un stoploss a 1415.0744

Avec un position size USD de 161.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.12 x 66.3744 = 7.96

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.12 x 33.7175 = 4.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.05$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.12
Taille de position USD 161.84
Perte potentielle 7.96
Gain potentiel 4.05
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.508

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.06 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.92 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.06 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.7202 %	34.95 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1348.7	1415.0744	1314.9825	0.51	1266

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1348.7
Stop Loss: 1415.0744
Take Profit: 1314.9825

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1415.0744 - 1348.7 = 66.3744
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1348.7 - 1314.9825 = 33.7175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 33.7175 / 66.3744 = 0.508

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.921% (66.3744)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.371%	0.1R	-1.720%	0.4R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.558%	0.5R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.5×	24
4h	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	48
6h ★	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	72
8h	+3.203%	0.7R	-1.720%	0.4R	1.9×	96
12h	+3.203%	0.7R	-3.804%	0.8R	0.8×	144
24h	+3.203%	0.7R	-4.775%	1.0R	0.7×	288
48h	+5.724%	1.2R	-4.775%	1.0R	1.2×	576
72h	+5.724%	1.2R	-4.775%	1.0R	1.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 134 min MAE in 1219 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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